Luke Ryan

FRE#13DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 29

186cm

Right foot

Drafted 2016 (Pick 66)

Debut 2017

Moonee Valley (Vic)/Calder U18/Maribyrnong Park/Coburg (VFL)

Price

$482k

$-14kthis week

Average

91.1

+89.3L3 avg

Total Points

820

+9games

Breakeven

142

51 below avg

Ownership

0.9%

+100rank

Position Rank

100

Value

18.90

+18.53L3 value

Career Avg

99.8

-8.7vs season

Last 3 Seasons

106.6

-15.5vs season

Last Year Avg

93.7

-2.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

89.3

Prev: 97.7

5-Game Avg

95.6

Projected

107

Range: 73–111

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 19.8

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (91.1)

BE1 (1-wk)	142	51 below
BE2 (2-wk)	104	13 below
BE3 (3-wk)	85	6 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$459,900	$-22,100
2 wks	$458,200	$-1,700
3 wks	$465,300	+$7,100

Total Price Change$25k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$471,400 – $469,000	$11k to $13k	(API: $-22,100)
2 wks	$476,800 – $475,600	+$5k to +$7k	(API: $-1,700)
3 wks	$488,600 – $490,000	+$12k to +$14k	(API: +$7,100)

Total+$7k to +$8k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

St Kilda

Away

Optus

Projected92

Opp Avg Conceded116.1

Venue Avg103.2

Difficulty

Hard (#13)

Round 12

Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected100

Opp Avg Conceded101.8

Venue Avg112.3

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Round 13

North Melbourne

Home

Hands

Projected101

Opp Avg Conceded104.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Easy (#1)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs St Kilda

Home

Optus

Liam Ryan

FWD

Avg 44.6

vs STK: 53.6 avg (11 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 53.6 / you 84.2

Rowan Marshall

FWD

Avg 78.3

vs STK: 100.8 avg (11 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 102.8 / you 121.2

Jack Higgins

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs STK: 72.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 72.2 / you 106.0

Mason Wood

FWD

Avg 73.1

vs STK: 63.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 63.1 / you 117.9

Dan Butler

FWD

Avg 35.6

vs STK: 50.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 51.9 / you 101.9

Round 12 vs Brisbane

Away

Gabba

Eric Hipwood

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs BRL: 52.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 53.7 / you 105.1

Charlie Cameron

FWD

Avg 76.6

vs BRL: 76.8 avg (14 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 77.8 / you 109.8

Cam Rayner

FWD

Avg 70.8

vs BRL: 66.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 66.6 / you 107.4

Oscar Allen

FWD

Avg 54.4

vs BRL: 57.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 56.6 / you 91.5

Zac Bailey

FWD

Avg 94.7

vs BRL: 96.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 98.1 / you 106.7

Round 13 vs North Melbourne

Away

Hands

Jack Darling

FWD

Avg 66.9

vs NTH: 80.1 avg (27 gm)H2H: 14 gm — them 77.3 / you 86.2

Jy Simpkin

FWD

Avg 80.6

vs NTH: 70.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 69.7 / you 104.0

Zac Fisher

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs NTH: 69.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 70.7 / you 100.1

Cameron Zurhaar

FWD

Avg 68.4

vs NTH: 53.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 53.8 / you 103.0

Charlie Spargo

FWD

Avg 45.8

vs NTH: 65.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 65.0 / you 95.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	St KildaSTK	H	Optus	116.1	125.3	11	171	65	106.2(+6)	+1.6	25.4
12	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	101.8	119.3	10	165	53	104.1(+4)	-1.6	24.3
13	North MelbourneNTH	A	Hands	104.0	116.1	9	136	75	97.8(-2)	-0.5	24.3
14	BYE
15	GeelongGEE	H	Optus	92.4	104.9	8	156	49	101.4(+2)	-2.5	21.7
16	Gold CoastGCS	H	Optus	95.9	95.4	9	128	63	97.8(-2)	+3.1	19.7
17	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	89.7	87.1	10	136	51	92.8(-7)	-1.3	18.3
18	SydneySYD	H	Optus	101.1	100.7	13	142	32	103.1(+3)	-1.9	21.0
19	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	103.6	111.1	11	145	67	101.8(+2)	-1.9	23.2
20	West CoastWCE	H	Adelaide	83.3	81.5	15	125	65	88.0(-12)	+0.5	17.2
21	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Optus	106.5	107.9	12	146	48	107.0(+7)	-0.7	22.2
22	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	101.7	93.2	10	141	68	104.1(+4)	+0.9	20.4
23	AdelaideADE	H	Optus	110.4	104.3	8	145	70	105.7(+6)	+1.0	22.1
24	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	101.0	104.6	11	168	50	102.3(+3)	-0.2	23.3