Matthew Jefferson

MEL#21FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 21

195cm

Right foot

Drafted 2022 (Pick 15)

Debut 2025

Ashburton (Vic) /Wesley College (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$198k

$15kthis week

Average

49.2

+48.0L3 avg

Total Points

246

+5games

Breakeven

22 above avg

Ownership

0.6%

+458rank

Position Rank

429

+29change

Value

24.81

+24.21L3 value

Career Avg

26.4

+22.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

26.4

+22.8vs season

Last Year Avg

26.4

+22.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

48.0

Prev: 51.7

5-Game Avg

49.2

Projected

Range: 33–65

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 16.9

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (49.2)

BE1 (1-wk)	27	22 above
BE2 (2-wk)	11	38 above
BE3 (3-wk)	32	17 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$208,100	+$9,800
2 wks	$228,500	+$20,400
3 wks	$236,000	+$7,500

Total Price Change+$70k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$205,500 – $207,100	+$7k to +$9k	(API: +$9,800)
2 wks	$221,900 – $227,100	+$16k to +$20k	(API: +$20,400)
3 wks	$228,000 – $234,600	+$6k to +$8k	(API: +$7,500)

Total+$30k to +$36k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Western Bulldogs

Home

Marvel

Projected49

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg13.5

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Round 12

GWS Giants

Away

TIO Traeger

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded41.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Round 13

Collingwood

Home

MCG

Projected49

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg42.3

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Western Bulldogs

Away

Marvel

Connor Budarick

DEF

Avg 80.3

vs WBD: 50.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 26.0 / you 31.0

Bailey Dale

DEF

Avg 99.5

vs WBD: 82.3 avg (11 gm)No shared games

Bailey Williams

DEF

Avg 78.3

vs WBD: 70.5 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Jedd Busslinger

DEF

Avg 74.5

vs WBD: 28.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Lachie Jaques

DEF

Avg 67.3

vs WBD: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Round 12 vs GWS Giants

Home

TIO Traeger

Lachie Whitfield

DEF

Avg 106.6

vs GWS: 92.2 avg (13 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 128.0 / you 41.0

Lachie Ash

DEF

Avg 103.1

vs GWS: 78.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 80.0 / you 41.0

Connor Idun

DEF

Avg 89.0

vs GWS: 56.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 41.0

Harry Himmelberg

DEF

Avg 67.0

vs GWS: 77.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 110.0 / you 41.0

Jack Buckley

DEF

Avg 62.6

vs GWS: 75.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 41.0

Round 13 vs Collingwood

Away

MCG

Josh Daicos

DEF

Avg 96.7

vs COL: 71.1 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Dan Houston

DEF

Avg 94.2

vs COL: 93.8 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Brayden Maynard

DEF

Avg 92.2

vs COL: 86.8 avg (15 gm)No shared games

Jeremy Howe

DEF

Avg 83.0

vs COL: 85.7 avg (13 gm)No shared games

Isaac Quaynor

DEF

Avg 77.0

vs COL: 78.8 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	31.0(+5)	+1.1	—
12	GWS GiantsGWS	H	TIO Traeger	41.0	41.0	1	41	41	41.0(+15)	-2.0	20.7
13	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.0	—
14	EssendonESS	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+1.1	—
15	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	26.0	26.0	1	26	26	26.0(-0)	-1.1	13.1
16	BYE
17	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	1.0	1.0	1	1	1	1.0(-25)	-1.4	0.5
18	RichmondRIC	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.7	—
19	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	23.0	23.0	2	46	0	23.0(-3)	+5.9	11.6
20	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-4.1	—
21	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	31.0	31.0	1	31	31	31.0(+5)	+3.9	15.6
22	FremantleFRE	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.9	—
23	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	41.0(+15)	-0.9	—
24	Western BulldogsWBD	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	31.0(+5)	+1.1	—