Neil Erasmus

FRE#28MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 22

190cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 10)

Debut 2022

Sorrento-Duncraig (WA)/Hale School (WA)/Subiaco (WAFL)

Price

$300k

$-4kthis week

Average

59.4

+58.3L3 avg

Total Points

594

+10games

Breakeven

7 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+251rank

Position Rank

241

+10change

Value

19.82

+19.46L3 value

Career Avg

49.8

+9.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

49.5

+9.9vs season

Last Year Avg

63.1

-3.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

58.3

Prev: 56.0

5-Game Avg

60.0

Projected

Range: 62–76

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 7.6

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.4)

BE1 (1-wk)	66	7 below
BE2 (2-wk)	46	13 above
BE3 (3-wk)	68	9 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$301,000	+$1,300
2 wks	$300,600	$-400
3 wks	$294,600	$-6,000

Total Price Change$42k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$307,000 – $308,600	+$7k to +$9k	(API: +$1,300)
2 wks	$311,200 – $313,800	+$4k to +$5k	(API: $-400)
3 wks	$309,000 – $311,200	$2k to $3k	(API: $-6,000)

Total+$9k to +$12k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

St Kilda

Away

Optus

Projected69

Opp Avg Conceded97.0

Venue Avg49.4

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Round 12

Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected45

Opp Avg Conceded35.5

Venue Avg5.0

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Round 13

North Melbourne

Home

Hands

Projected54

Opp Avg Conceded30.5

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs St Kilda

Home

Optus

Jack Macrae

MID

Avg 74.0

vs STK: 104.4 avg (15 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 99.0 / you 46.0

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

MID

Avg 103.3

vs STK: 81.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 117.0 / you 97.0

Sam Flanders

MID

Avg 94.2

vs STK: 89.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 90.0 / you 94.0

Hugo Garcia

MID

Avg 91.6

vs STK: 75.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 79.0 / you 97.0

Marcus Windhager

MID

Avg 83.1

vs STK: 65.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 94.0 / you 97.0

Round 12 vs Brisbane

Away

Gabba

Zac Bailey

MID

Avg 94.7

vs BRL: 96.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 97.8 / you 35.5

Josh Dunkley

MID

Avg 84.5

vs BRL: 93.3 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 102.3 / you 35.5

Jarrod Berry

MID

Avg 77.7

vs BRL: 86.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 89.5 / you 35.5

Hugh McCluggage

MID

Avg 72.0

vs BRL: 93.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 98.8 / you 35.5

Lachie Neale

MID

Avg 108.3

vs BRL: 110.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 107.0 / you 35.0

Round 13 vs North Melbourne

Away

Hands

Luke Parker

MID

Avg 106.8

vs NTH: 100.3 avg (16 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 115.3 / you 55.0

Luke Davies-Uniacke

MID

Avg 112.0

vs NTH: 95.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 99.5 / you 30.5

Jy Simpkin

MID

Avg 80.6

vs NTH: 70.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 58.0 / you 30.5

Harry Sheezel

MID

Avg 114.8

vs NTH: 114.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 115.0 / you 40.0

George Wardlaw

MID

Avg 82.9

vs NTH: 84.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 67.0 / you 40.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	St KildaSTK	H	Optus	97.0	97.0	1	97	97	86.2(+36)	-1.1	32.4
12	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	35.5	37.0	4	65	5	35.4(-14)	-0.1	11.8
13	North MelbourneNTH	A	Hands	30.5	31.3	2	40	21	39.2(-11)	+3.4	13.3
14	BYE
15	GeelongGEE	H	Optus	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	39.5(-10)	-1.7	16.7
16	Gold CoastGCS	H	Optus	77.0	78.4	2	94	60	77.0(+27)	+2.4	31.4
17	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	49.0	47.7	3	70	22	44.2(-6)	-2.2	12.8
18	SydneySYD	H	Optus	51.5	50.6	4	70	40	52.2(+2)	-0.7	17.2
19	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	53.3	43.5	4	138	2	44.9(-5)	-2.7	17.8
20	West CoastWCE	H	Adelaide	42.6	37.0	5	80	12	41.1(-9)	+3.9	12.9
21	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Optus	38.0	41.5	2	81	-5	51.3(+1)	-3.8	12.7
22	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	97.0(+47)	+1.9	—
23	AdelaideADE	H	Optus	—	—	—	—	—	66.7(+17)	+0.7	—
24	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	57.5	58.8	2	73	42	51.9(+2)	-0.3	19.2