Aaron Naughton

WBD#33FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 26

196cm

Left foot

Drafted 2017 (Pick 9)

Debut 2018

Rockingham (WA)/Peel Thunder (WAFL)

Cold

Price

$325k

$-36kthis week

Average

66.1

+44.7L3 avg

Total Points

463

+7games

Breakeven

29 below avg

Ownership

0.8%

+172rank

Position Rank

204

-32change

Value

20.35

+13.74L3 value

Career Avg

71.3

-5.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

75.6

-9.4vs season

Last Year Avg

80.1

-13.9vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

44.7

Prev: 44.0

5-Game Avg

52.0

Projected

Range: 34–62

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 14.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (66.1)

BE1 (1-wk)	95	29 below
BE2 (2-wk)	98	32 below
BE3 (3-wk)	81	15 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$304,200	$-20,900
2 wks	$276,900	$-27,300
3 wks	$262,100	$-14,800

Total Price Change$108k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$311,600 – $308,600	$13k to $16k	(API: $-20,900)
2 wks	$290,500 – $282,900	$21k to $26k	(API: $-27,300)
3 wks	$279,600 – $269,600	$11k to $13k	(API: $-14,800)

Total$45k to $55k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 8

Fremantle

Away

Marvel

Projected48

Opp Avg Conceded67.5

Venue Avg73.0

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Round 9

Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected36

Opp Avg Conceded65.7

Venue Avg63.6

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Round 10

Carlton

Home

Marvel

Projected48

Opp Avg Conceded62.5

Venue Avg73.0

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 8 vs Fremantle

Home

Marvel

Luke Ryan

DEF

Avg 92.0

vs FRE: 106.5 avg (12 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 109.0 / you 67.5

Jordan Clark

DEF

Avg 100.7

vs FRE: 84.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 84.9 / you 73.5

Alex Pearce

DEF

Avg 53.6

vs FRE: 51.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 53.0 / you 65.0

Brennan Cox

DEF

Avg 66.6

vs FRE: 84.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 84.9 / you 64.3

Bailey Banfield

DEF

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 74.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 79.0 / you 67.4

Round 9 vs Port Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Aliir Aliir

DEF

Avg 88.0

vs PTA: 69.8 avg (11 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 71.7 / you 67.5

Darcy Byrne-Jones

DEF

Avg 71.1

vs PTA: 75.9 avg (13 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 77.7 / you 65.7

Connor Rozee

DEF

Avg 80.0

vs PTA: 93.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 94.6 / you 63.6

Kane Farrell

DEF

Avg 91.3

vs PTA: 51.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 53.1 / you 60.7

Todd Marshall

DEF

Avg 71.8

vs PTA: 69.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 78.2 / you 60.5

Round 10 vs Carlton

Away

Marvel

Nick Haynes

DEF

Avg 72.0

vs CAR: 77.9 avg (17 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 72.1 / you 62.5

Oliver Florent

DEF

Avg 85.7

vs CAR: 63.4 avg (11 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 64.7 / you 76.2

Jacob Weitering

DEF

Avg 79.8

vs CAR: 69.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 70.3 / you 60.3

Nic Newman

DEF

Avg 85.3

vs CAR: 77.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 78.0 / you 58.6

Zac Williams

DEF

Avg 85.2

vs CAR: 75.6 avg (10 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 62.0 / you 56.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
8	FremantleFRE	H	Marvel	67.5	69.2	11	116	26	67.5(-4)	-0.9	21.0
9	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	65.7	48.2	9	124	-3	63.6(-8)	-0.9	14.5
10	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	62.5	57.2	8	82	21	62.7(-9)	+0.9	20.3
11	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	68.5	75.9	11	108	40	65.3(-6)	-2.3	20.8
12	CollingwoodCOL	H	Marvel	61.6	76.2	7	104	18	59.2(-12)	-1.0	21.1
13	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	67.9	65.3	10	113	32	71.2(-0)	-1.4	21.4
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	76.3	72.2	7	127	24	75.8(+4)	-1.1	22.8
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	77.9	95.8	8	124	40	80.2(+9)	-2.2	28.5
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	76.2	99.7	9	130	11	78.4(+7)	-2.6	26.9
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	67.4	79.0	10	112	26	74.8(+4)	+6.1	24.6
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	69.6	62.9	8	114	31	72.9(+2)	+3.9	19.5
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	88.6	84.0	8	134	48	89.0(+18)	+0.7	26.2
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	67.5	69.2	11	116	26	67.5(-4)	-0.9	21.0
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	78.5	89.5	11	129	31	85.8(+15)	+5.9	27.6
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	62.5	57.2	8	82	21	62.7(-9)	+0.9	20.3
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	68.5	75.9	11	108	40	65.3(-6)	-2.3	20.8