Aaron Naughton

WBD#33FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 26

196cm

Left foot

Drafted 2017 (Pick 9)

Debut 2018

Rockingham (WA)/Peel Thunder (WAFL)

Hot

Price

$392k

$4kthis week

Average

72.5

+81.3L3 avg

Total Points

943

+13games

Breakeven

103

30 below avg

Ownership

1.2%

+133rank

Position Rank

133

Value

18.50

+20.74L3 value

Career Avg

71.3

+1.3vs season

Last 3 Seasons

75.6

-3.0vs season

Last Year Avg

80.1

-7.5vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

81.3

Prev: 59.3

5-Game Avg

82.6

Projected

Range: 68–102

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 17.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (72.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	103	30 below
BE2 (2-wk)	87	14 below
BE3 (3-wk)	56	17 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$384,100	$-8,000
2 wks	$386,700	+$2,600
3 wks	$386,700	+$0

Total Price Change$41k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$392,700 – $392,900	+$1k to +$1k	(API: $-8,000)
2 wks	$400,900 – $402,900	+$8k to +$10k	(API: +$2,600)
3 wks	$382,700 – $380,700	$18k to $22k	(API: +$0)

Total$9k to $11k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 14

Adelaide

Away

Marvel

Projected85

Opp Avg Conceded73.6

Venue Avg73.6

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 15

St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected93

Opp Avg Conceded77.9

Venue Avg73.6

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 16: BYE

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs Adelaide

Home

Marvel

Rory Laird

DEF

Avg 83.5

vs ADE: 96.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 108.6 / you 76.3

Chayce Jones

DEF

Avg 47.3

vs ADE: 57.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 57.0 / you 76.6

Jordon Butts

DEF

Avg 53.4

vs ADE: 40.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 40.5 / you 81.0

Wayne Milera

DEF

Avg 102.5

vs ADE: 60.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 66.0 / you 85.7

Nick Murray

DEF

Avg 67.3

vs ADE: 58.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.0 / you 59.3

Round 15 vs St Kilda

Away

Marvel

Jack Sinclair

DEF

Avg 115.1

vs STK: 77.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 87.9 / you 79.6

Callum Wilkie

DEF

Avg 100.5

vs STK: 86.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 79.7 / you 80.9

Jack Silvagni

DEF

Avg 70.2

vs STK: 54.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 55.0 / you 60.0

Ryan Byrnes

DEF

Avg 56.6

vs STK: 52.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 52.6 / you 92.0

Liam Stocker

DEF

Avg 39.0

vs STK: 54.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 54.4 / you 88.4

Round 17 vs Sydney

Away

SCG

Harry Cunningham

DEF

Avg 61.4

vs SYD: 64.5 avg (13 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 65.2 / you 76.2

Nick Blakey

DEF

Avg 102.1

vs SYD: 84.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 83.4 / you 76.0

Callum Mills

DEF

Avg 93.7

vs SYD: 86.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 86.5 / you 84.4

Dane Rampe

DEF

Avg 67.6

vs SYD: 71.0 avg (14 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 70.8 / you 73.9

Sam Wicks

DEF

Avg 64.3

vs SYD: 57.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 60.4 / you 81.4

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	76.3	72.2	7	127	24	75.8(+4)	-1.0	18.9
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	77.9	95.8	8	124	40	80.2(+9)	-2.2	23.6
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	76.2	99.7	9	130	11	78.4(+7)	-2.6	22.3
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	67.4	79.0	10	112	26	78.4(+7)	+6.2	20.4
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	69.6	62.9	8	114	31	72.9(+2)	+4.0	16.2
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	88.6	84.0	8	134	48	89.0(+18)	+0.5	21.7
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	67.5	69.2	11	116	26	67.5(-4)	-1.1	17.4
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	78.5	89.5	11	129	31	80.1(+9)	+5.9	22.9
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	62.5	57.2	8	82	21	62.7(-9)	+0.7	16.8
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	68.5	75.9	11	108	40	67.4(-4)	-2.2	17.2