Bailey Macdonald

HAW#42DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 21

182cm

Right foot

Drafted 2022 (Pick 51)

Debut 2023

Surrey Park (Vic)/Wesley College (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$123k

Average

55.0

+55.0L3 avg

Total Points

110

+2games

Breakeven

-34

89 above avg

Ownership

2.1%

+569rank

Position Rank

543

+26change

Value

44.86

+44.86L3 value

Career Avg

30.0

+25.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

30.0

+25.0vs season

Last Year Avg

25.2

+29.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

55.0

Prev: 26.0

5-Game Avg

55.0

Projected

Range: 22–54

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 16.2

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (55.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	-34	89 above
BE2 (2-wk)	6	49 above
BE3 (3-wk)	6	49 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$154,400	+$31,800
2 wks	$154,400	+$0
3 wks	$169,300	+$14,900

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$149,100 – $154,900	+$27k to +$32k	(API: +$31,800)
2 wks	$147,400 – $152,800	$2k to $2k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$142,100 – $146,300	$5k to $6k	(API: +$14,900)

Total+$20k to +$24k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13

Western Bulldogs

Away

MCG

Projected38

Opp Avg Conceded44.0

Venue Avg22.7

Difficulty

Hard (#18)

Round 14: BYE

Round 15

Gold Coast

Home

People First

Projected40

Opp Avg Conceded29.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 13 vs Western Bulldogs

Home

MCG

Aaron Naughton

FWD

Avg 73.6

vs WBD: 67.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 36.0 / you 44.0

Adam Treloar

FWD

Avg 65.0

vs WBD: 98.8 avg (16 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 44.0

Rhylee West

FWD

Avg 64.8

vs WBD: 71.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 44.0

Arthur Jones

FWD

Avg 54.3

vs WBD: 28.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 15.0 / you 44.0

Laitham Vandermeer

FWD

Avg 46.0

vs WBD: 50.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 68.0 / you 44.0

Round 15 vs Gold Coast

Away

People First

Christian Petracca

FWD

Avg 118.0

vs GCS: 102.3 avg (14 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 99.0 / you 41.0

Touk Miller

FWD

Avg 96.1

vs GCS: 99.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 99.0 / you 29.0

Bailey Humphrey

FWD

Avg 71.1

vs GCS: 68.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 97.0 / you 29.0

Ben King

FWD

Avg 61.0

vs GCS: 74.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 52.0 / you 29.0

Ben Long

FWD

Avg 57.1

vs GCS: 70.1 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 29.0

Round 16 vs GWS Giants

Home

MCG

Harvey Thomas

FWD

Avg 86.0

vs GWS: 37.0 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Brent Daniels

FWD

Avg 82.6

vs GWS: 62.3 avg (7 gm)No shared games

Toby Greene

FWD

Avg 82.3

vs GWS: 90.6 avg (14 gm)No shared games

Aaron Cadman

FWD

Avg 77.7

vs GWS: 45.5 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Phoenix Gothard

FWD

Avg 71.1

vs GWS: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	Western BulldogsWBD	H	MCG	44.0	44.0	1	44	44	44.0(+14)	-0.8	35.9
14	BYE
15	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	31.4(+1)	+3.1	23.7
16	GWS GiantsGWS	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.2	—
17	MelbourneMEL	H	UTAS	41.0	41.0	1	41	41	41.0(+11)	+0.8	33.4
18	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	13.0	13.0	1	13	13	16.2(-14)	-0.2	10.6
19	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	14.0	14.0	1	14	14	14.0(-16)	+3.3	11.4
20	EssendonESS	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.5	—
21	North MelbourneNTH	H	UTAS	—	—	—	—	—	41.0(+11)	-0.4	—
22	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	—	—	—	—	—	16.0(-14)	-1.6	—
23	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.3	—
24	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	16.0	16.0	1	16	16	16.0(-14)	+0.5	13.1