Bailey Smith

GEE#3MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 25

185cm

Right foot

Drafted 2018 (Pick 7)

Debut 2019

East Malvern (Vic)/Xavier College (Vic)/Old Xavs (Vic)/Sandringham U18/Western Bulldogs

Price

$638k

Average

67.0

+67.0L3 avg

Total Points

+1games

Breakeven

169

102 below avg

Ownership

2.6%

0rank

Position Rank

Value

10.50

+10.50L3 value

Career Avg

91.6

-24.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

99.6

-32.6vs season

Last Year Avg

118.0

-51.0vs season

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

67.0

Prev: 80.0

5-Game Avg

67.0

Projected

—

Range: 89–141

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 26.2

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (67.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	169	102 below
BE2 (2-wk)	171	104 below
BE3 (3-wk)	175	108 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$638,300	+$0
2 wks	$638,300	+$0
3 wks	$615,700	$-22,600

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	< 3 games	—
2 wks	$564,700 – $548,300	$74k to $90k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$536,900 – $514,300	$28k to $34k	(API: $-22,600)

Total$101k to $124k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 1

Fremantle

Away

GMHBA

Projected115

Opp Avg Conceded85.3

Venue Avg106.1

Difficulty

—

Round 2: BYE

Round 3

Adelaide

Away

GMHBA

Projected125

Opp Avg Conceded111.5

Venue Avg106.1

Difficulty

—

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 1 vs Fremantle

Home

GMHBA

Andrew Brayshaw

MID

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 104.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 101.0 / you 147.0

Caleb Serong

MID

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 102.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 102.0 / you 147.0

Corey Wagner

MID

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 94.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 147.0

Jaeger O'Meara

MID

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 78.7 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 79.0 / you 147.0

Jeremy Sharp

MID

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 61.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 67.0 / you 147.0

Round 3 vs Adelaide

Home

GMHBA

Daniel Curtin

MID

Avg 0.0

vs ADE: 23.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 42.0 / you 126.0

Isaac Cumming

MID

Avg 0.0

vs ADE: 101.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 86.0 / you 126.0

Izak Rankine

MID

Avg 0.0

vs ADE: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 91.0 / you 126.0

Jake Soligo

MID

Avg 0.0

vs ADE: 71.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 63.0 / you 126.0

James Peatling

MID

Avg 0.0

vs ADE: 50.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 126.0

Round 4 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Josh Ward

MID

Avg 66.0

vs HAW: 73.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 65.0 / you 80.0

Jai Newcombe

MID

Avg 63.0

vs HAW: 86.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 134.0 / you 80.0

Conor Nash

MID

Avg 61.0

vs HAW: 50.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 60.0 / you 80.0

Massimo D'Ambrosio

MID

Avg 51.0

vs HAW: 61.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 44.0 / you 80.0

Harry Morrison

MID

Avg 39.0

vs HAW: 58.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 87.0 / you 80.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
1	FremantleFRE	H	GMHBA	85.3	100.4	7	147	46	147.0(+55)	+0.3	15.1
2	BYE
3	AdelaideADE	H	GMHBA	111.5	112.3	6	150	80	126.0(+34)	+0.7	17.1
4	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	73.9	74.9	7	108	44	80.0(-12)	-1.6	11.7
5	West CoastWCE	H	Norwood Oval	96.3	105.5	6	129	56	129.0(+37)	+3.9	16.1
6	Western BulldogsWBD	H	GMHBA	118.0	118.0	1	118	118	118.0(+26)	-3.8	18.5
7	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	104.3	112.8	8	156	82	137.5(+46)	-2.7	18.3
8	North MelbourneNTH	H	GMHBA	90.7	128.4	7	156	3	156.0(+64)	+3.4	19.9
9	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	90.9	95.8	7	144	36	111.0(+19)	-0.8	15.5
10	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	79.9	90.0	7	102	63	83.0(-9)	-0.1	14.0
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	92.2	111.8	5	131	33	131.0(+39)	-0.7	16.5
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	87.5	92.6	6	120	38	122.2(+31)	-0.3	17.4
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	111.5	112.3	6	150	80	126.0(+34)	+0.7	17.1
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	92.8	88.6	6	117	61	108.0(+16)	+2.4	13.9
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	85.3	100.4	7	147	46	147.0(+55)	+0.3	15.1
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	79.9	90.0	7	102	63	83.0(-9)	-0.1	14.0
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	92.0	95.6	8	154	55	104.3(+13)	-2.2	14.9
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	89.2	85.6	6	126	53	81.0(-11)	-1.1	13.5
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	103.8	101.8	8	141	69	102.6(+11)	+1.9	17.1
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	90.9	95.8	7	144	36	111.0(+19)	-0.8	15.5
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	98.6	111.4	7	141	72	122.1(+31)	+0.2	17.8
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	90.7	128.4	7	156	3	156.0(+64)	+3.4	19.9
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	91.1	105.1	7	129	59	129.0(+37)	+2.3	14.8

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

2.6%

+2.6%

Rank

4472.0

1-wk Change

+2.6%

3-wk Change

0.0%

Trades In

Trades Out

Start %

95.9%

Bench %

4.1%

Captain %

0.3%

Vice-Captain %

0.6%

Selection Trends

2.6%-1.82%

1 Mar 11:09 am – 12 Mar 11:10 am

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
0 Gold Coast