Bailey Williams

WBD#34DEF/MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 28

190cm

Right foot

Drafted 2015 (Pick 48)

Debut 2016

Brighton District & Old Scholars (SA)/Glenelg (SANFL)

Price

$471k

$1kthis week

Average

94.6

+94.3L3 avg

Total Points

662

+7games

Breakeven

8 above avg

Ownership

1.6%

+47rank

Position Rank

+9change

Value

20.09

+20.04L3 value

Career Avg

71.7

+22.9vs season

Last 3 Seasons

75.6

+19.0vs season

Last Year Avg

79.8

+14.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

94.3

Prev: 90.7

5-Game Avg

99.2

Projected

Range: 86–102

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 8.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (94.6)

BE1 (1-wk)	87	8 above
BE2 (2-wk)	87	8 above
BE3 (3-wk)	109	14 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$473,700	+$3,000
2 wks	$469,300	$-4,400
3 wks	$465,600	$-3,700

Total Price Change+$39k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$481,700 – $484,100	+$11k to +$13k	(API: +$3,000)
2 wks	$483,900 – $486,700	+$2k to +$3k	(API: $-4,400)
3 wks	$485,100 – $488,100	+$1k to +$1k	(API: $-3,700)

Total+$14k to +$17k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 8

Fremantle

Away

Marvel

Projected94

Opp Avg Conceded67.0

Venue Avg71.6

Difficulty

Easy (#4)

Round 9

Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected77

Opp Avg Conceded69.8

Venue Avg73.4

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Round 10

Carlton

Home

Marvel

Projected101

Opp Avg Conceded54.9

Venue Avg71.6

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 8 vs Fremantle

Home

Marvel

Michael Frederick

FWD

Avg 48.0

vs FRE: 52.1 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 52.1 / you 70.1

Shai Bolton

FWD

Avg 100.3

vs FRE: 82.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 79.9 / you 70.3

Josh Treacy

FWD

Avg 98.4

vs FRE: 85.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 85.3 / you 68.3

Mason Cox

FWD

Avg 54.0

vs FRE: 55.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 52.7 / you 76.5

Jye Amiss

FWD

Avg 72.0

vs FRE: 48.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 48.0 / you 71.4

Round 9 vs Port Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Darcy Byrne-Jones

FWD

Avg 71.1

vs PTA: 75.9 avg (13 gm)H2H: 12 gm — them 75.7 / you 69.8

Todd Marshall

FWD

Avg 71.8

vs PTA: 69.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 69.9 / you 68.5

Sam Powell-Pepper

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs PTA: 66.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 67.5 / you 78.8

Mitch Georgiades

FWD

Avg 76.0

vs PTA: 62.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 62.3 / you 69.2

Jason Horne-Francis

FWD

Avg 96.3

vs PTA: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 75.2 / you 70.8

Round 10 vs Carlton

Away

Marvel

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 59.1

vs CAR: 63.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 63.8 / you 77.7

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 57.5

vs CAR: 59.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 57.7 / you 72.0

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 85.2

vs CAR: 75.6 avg (10 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 75.7 / you 55.0

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 62.2

vs CAR: 85.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 88.9 / you 48.0

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 72.4

vs CAR: 50.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 49.8 / you 55.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
8	FremantleFRE	H	Marvel	67.0	72.8	10	91	26	71.3(-0)	+0.4	15.8
9	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	69.8	63.0	12	109	34	71.4(-0)	-1.9	14.4
10	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	54.9	78.3	9	104	11	61.5(-10)	-0.2	16.5
11	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	70.5	79.4	12	103	24	73.0(+1)	+0.9	16.8
12	CollingwoodCOL	H	Marvel	71.8	65.2	8	121	42	67.4(-4)	-1.2	13.4
13	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	63.2	72.5	9	89	33	63.8(-8)	+0.6	16.3
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	85.3	76.9	7	119	56	77.9(+6)	+1.0	17.1
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	77.5	83.9	8	129	42	81.6(+10)	+1.6	19.2
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	72.0	82.1	9	99	40	69.2(-3)	-1.9	16.7
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	70.3	86.2	11	116	35	73.4(+2)	+0.5	17.6
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	77.7	80.3	9	94	43	75.1(+3)	+3.1	17.1
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	79.9	88.0	8	102	66	80.6(+9)	+3.2	17.6
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	67.0	72.8	10	91	26	71.3(-0)	+0.4	15.8
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	73.1	66.6	11	91	49	70.4(-1)	-0.5	14.1
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	54.9	78.3	9	104	11	61.5(-10)	-0.2	16.5
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	70.5	79.4	12	103	24	73.0(+1)	+0.9	16.8