Bailey Williams

WBD#34DEF/MID

Hamstring. Expected to be available for round 18 - 20.

Age 28

190cm

Right foot

Drafted 2015 (Pick 48)

Debut 2016

Brighton District & Old Scholars (SA)/Glenelg (SANFL)

Cold

Price

$355k

Average

78.3

+40.3L3 avg

Total Points

783

+10games

Breakeven

120

42 below avg

Ownership

0.7%

+186rank

Position Rank

234

-48change

Value

22.03

+11.35L3 value

Career Avg

71.7

+6.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

75.6

+2.7vs season

Last Year Avg

79.8

-1.5vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

40.3

Prev: 42.3

5-Game Avg

63.0

Projected

Range: 26–90

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 32.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (78.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	120	42 below
BE2 (2-wk)	114	36 below
BE3 (3-wk)	59	19 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$328,100	$-27,300
2 wks	$308,200	$-19,900
3 wks	$308,200	+$0

Total Price Change$76k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$299,000 – $286,400	$56k to $69k	(API: $-27,300)
2 wks	$284,700 – $268,900	$14k to $17k	(API: $-19,900)
3 wks	$274,000 – $255,800	$11k to $13k	(API: +$0)

Total$81k to $100k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 14

Adelaide

Away

Marvel

Projected58

Opp Avg Conceded88.6

Venue Avg70.6

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 15

St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected69

Opp Avg Conceded77.5

Venue Avg70.6

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 16: BYE

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs Adelaide

Home

Marvel

Alex Neal-Bullen

FWD

Avg 73.6

vs ADE: 70.0 avg (13 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 70.7 / you 65.3

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 85.8

vs ADE: 69.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 69.1 / you 77.9

Callum Ah Chee

FWD

Avg 50.3

vs ADE: 80.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 77.1 / you 80.9

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 65.8

vs ADE: 79.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 80.7 / you 85.0

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 64.0

vs ADE: 74.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 62.6 / you 80.6

Round 15 vs St Kilda

Away

Marvel

Jack Higgins

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs STK: 60.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 62.3 / you 80.5

Bradley Hill

FWD

Avg 84.5

vs STK: 67.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 62.4 / you 82.6

Dan Butler

FWD

Avg 35.6

vs STK: 44.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 44.0 / you 79.0

Rowan Marshall

FWD

Avg 80.9

vs STK: 86.6 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 77.3 / you 84.0

Mason Wood

FWD

Avg 69.6

vs STK: 70.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 71.5 / you 82.0

Round 17 vs Sydney

Away

SCG

Tom Papley

FWD

Avg 73.8

vs SYD: 93.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 89.5 / you 72.4

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 70.2

vs SYD: 97.3 avg (14 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 102.3 / you 73.0

Charlie Curnow

FWD

Avg 68.1

vs SYD: 84.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 92.3 / you 58.9

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 65.1

vs SYD: 59.6 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 59.6 / you 68.3

Taylor Adams

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs SYD: 74.8 avg (14 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 67.1 / you 73.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	85.3	76.9	7	119	56	77.9(+6)	+0.9	22.6
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	77.5	83.9	8	129	42	81.6(+10)	+1.6	25.4
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	72.0	82.1	9	99	40	69.2(-3)	-1.9	22.2
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	70.3	86.2	11	116	35	73.4(+2)	+0.5	23.3
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	77.7	80.3	9	94	43	75.1(+3)	+3.1	22.6
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	79.9	88.0	8	102	66	80.6(+9)	+3.3	23.3
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	67.0	72.8	10	91	26	71.3(-0)	+0.3	20.9
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	73.1	66.6	11	91	49	70.4(-1)	-0.4	18.7
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	54.9	78.3	9	104	11	61.5(-10)	-0.2	21.9
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	70.5	79.4	12	103	24	71.8(+0)	+0.8	22.3