Charlie Spargo

NTH#13FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$235k

$-3kthis week

Average

46.8

+45.7L3 avg

Total Points

374

+8games

Breakeven

4 above avg

Ownership

0.1%

+417rank

Position Rank

409

+8change

Value

19.94

+19.47L3 value

Career Avg

53.0

-6.3vs season

Last 3 Seasons

44.5

+2.2vs season

Last Year Avg

42.5

+4.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

45.7

Prev: 43.7

5-Game Avg

45.0

Projected

Range: 46–60

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 7.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (46.8)

BE1 (1-wk)	43	4 above
BE2 (2-wk)	46	1 above
BE3 (3-wk)	47	0 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$239,000	+$4,500
2 wks	$237,400	$-1,600
3 wks	$231,900	$-5,500

Total Price Change+$5k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$221,500 – $218,700	$13k to $16k	(API: +$4,500)
2 wks	$229,200 – $228,200	+$8k to +$10k	(API: $-1,600)
3 wks	$230,900 – $230,300	+$2k to +$2k	(API: $-5,500)

Total$4k to $4k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 14

West Coast

Away

Optus

Projected53

Opp Avg Conceded45.2

Venue Avg47.9

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Round 15

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected43

Opp Avg Conceded48.3

Venue Avg57.4

Difficulty

Hard (#18)

Round 16

Essendon

Away

Marvel

Projected35

Opp Avg Conceded42.7

Venue Avg55.2

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs West Coast

Home

Optus

Tom McCarthy

DEF

Avg 93.3

vs WCE: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Liam Duggan

DEF

Avg 78.5

vs WCE: 78.0 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Josh Lindsay

DEF

Avg 74.8

vs WCE: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Reuben Ginbey

DEF

Avg 73.4

vs WCE: 76.3 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Liam Baker

DEF

Avg 67.5

vs WCE: 89.1 avg (7 gm)No shared games

Round 15 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Jayden Short

DEF

Avg 99.7

vs RIC: 78.1 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Ben Miller

DEF

Avg 75.7

vs RIC: 68.3 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Nick Vlastuin

DEF

Avg 73.7

vs RIC: 75.7 avg (14 gm)No shared games

James Trezise

DEF

Avg 66.0

vs RIC: 55.5 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Nathan Broad

DEF

Avg 63.9

vs RIC: 57.9 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Round 16 vs Essendon

Home

Marvel

Archie Roberts

DEF

Avg 109.1

vs ESS: 101.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Mason Redman

DEF

Avg 77.8

vs ESS: 86.0 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Andrew McGrath

DEF

Avg 74.9

vs ESS: 82.8 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Jaxon Prior

DEF

Avg 73.2

vs ESS: 50.5 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Jacob Farrow

DEF

Avg 69.5

vs ESS: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	45.2	59.0	6	61	9	—	+6.2	24.9
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	44.7	45.3	3	68	30	—	+0.5	15.4
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	42.7	35.1	6	81	4	—	+0.9	10.7
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	51.2	55.0	5	59	35	—	-0.9	23.5
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	53.9	40.0	7	87	31	—	-1.1	13.2
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	-2.2	—
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	52.6	46.8	7	78	34	—	-2.2	17.5
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	53.2	52.1	5	73	39	—	-1.2	23.5
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	57.1	64.0	8	91	31	—	+1.1	34.5
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	37.7	8.6	6	79	-2	—	-4.0	1.1
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	47.7	41.7	9	73	31	—	-2.6	18.5