Christian Moraes

PTA#11MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 19

183cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 38)

Debut 2025

Knox/Eastern U18

Cold

Price

$287k

$-8kthis week

Average

59.6

+53.3L3 avg

Total Points

298

+5games

Breakeven

10 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+412rank

Position Rank

406

+6change

Value

20.78

+18.60L3 value

Career Avg

46.9

+12.7vs season

Last 3 Seasons

46.9

+12.7vs season

Last Year Avg

46.9

+12.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

53.3

Prev: 41.7

5-Game Avg

59.6

Projected

Range: 45–85

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 20.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.6)

BE1 (1-wk)	70	10 below
BE2 (2-wk)	64	4 below
BE3 (3-wk)	64	4 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$284,500	$-2,300
2 wks	$284,500	+$0
3 wks	$282,700	$-1,800

Total Price Change+$33k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$290,500 – $291,300	+$4k to +$5k	(API: $-2,300)
2 wks	$268,900 – $264,900	$22k to $26k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$259,600 – $253,600	$9k to $11k	(API: $-1,800)

Total$27k to $33k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Carlton

Away

Adelaide

Projected65

Opp Avg Conceded62.0

Venue Avg51.0

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Round 12: BYE

Round 13

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected60

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg55.0

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Carlton

Home

Adelaide

Sam Walsh

MID

Avg 98.7

vs CAR: 110.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 112.0 / you 62.0

Patrick Cripps

MID

Avg 93.9

vs CAR: 105.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 122.0 / you 62.0

Oliver Florent

MID

Avg 89.5

vs CAR: 65.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 71.0 / you 30.0

George Hewett

MID

Avg 86.7

vs CAR: 92.8 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 128.0 / you 62.0

Cooper Lord

MID

Avg 77.0

vs CAR: 67.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 74.0 / you 62.0

Round 13 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Tim Kelly

MID

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 89.3 avg (7 gm)No shared games

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 91.6

vs WCE: 80.0 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Willem Duursma

MID

Avg 85.4

vs WCE: 0.0 avg (0 gm)No shared games

Deven Robertson

MID

Avg 84.5

vs WCE: 46.0 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Elliot Yeo

MID

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 82.0 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Round 14 vs Sydney

Home

Adelaide

Isaac Heeney

MID

Avg 123.4

vs SYD: 100.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 116.0 / you 35.5

Justin McInerney

MID

Avg 99.2

vs SYD: 71.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 80.5 / you 35.5

Chad Warner

MID

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 87.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 82.0 / you 35.5

Matt Roberts

MID

Avg 76.7

vs SYD: 99.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 107.0 / you 35.5

James Rowbottom

MID

Avg 69.8

vs SYD: 71.1 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 95.0 / you 35.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	CarltonCAR	H	Adelaide	62.0	62.0	1	62	62	55.6(+9)	-0.3	21.6
12	BYE
13	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	—	—	—	—	—	—	+3.9	—
14	SydneySYD	H	Adelaide	35.5	35.5	2	41	30	35.5(-11)	-0.7	12.4
15	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.8	—
16	AdelaideADE	H	Adelaide	24.0	24.0	1	24	24	24.0(-23)	+0.7	8.4
17	North MelbourneNTH	H	Adelaide	55.0	55.0	1	55	55	55.0(+8)	+3.4	19.2
18	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	43.0	43.0	1	43	43	46.6(-0)	-1.1	15.0
19	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	33.0	33.0	2	55	11	28.6(-18)	+0.3	11.5
20	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.1	—
21	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Adelaide	19.0	19.0	1	19	19	19.0(-28)	-2.2	6.6
22	SydneySYD	A	SCG	35.5	35.5	2	41	30	35.5(-11)	-0.7	12.4
23	MelbourneMEL	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	—	+1.9	—
24	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	94.0	94.0	1	94	94	94.0(+47)	+0.2	32.8