Colby McKercher

NTH#10DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 20

182cm

Left foot

Drafted 2023 (Pick 2)

Debut 2024

Launceston (Tas)/Tasmania Devils U18

Price

$420k

$-15kthis week

Average

82.9

+76.0L3 avg

Total Points

663

+8games

Breakeven

105

22 below avg

Ownership

12.7%

+99rank

Position Rank

+3change

Value

19.72

+18.08L3 value

Career Avg

85.3

-2.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

85.3

-2.4vs season

Last Year Avg

83.1

-0.2vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

76.0

Prev: 84.0

5-Game Avg

81.4

Projected

Range: 66–96

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 15.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (82.9)

BE1 (1-wk)	105	22 below
BE2 (2-wk)	80	3 above
BE3 (3-wk)	86	3 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$409,500	$-10,800
2 wks	$408,700	$-800
3 wks	$411,700	+$3,000

Total Price Change$29k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$418,200 – $417,800	$2k to $2k	(API: $-10,800)
2 wks	$423,200 – $423,900	+$5k to +$6k	(API: $-800)
3 wks	$430,200 – $432,500	+$7k to +$9k	(API: +$3,000)

Total+$10k to +$12k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 9

Sydney

Away

Marvel

Projected81

Opp Avg Conceded72.3

Venue Avg87.7

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Round 10

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected78

Opp Avg Conceded83.3

Venue Avg62.0

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Round 11

Gold Coast

Away

Marvel

Projected93

Opp Avg Conceded82.3

Venue Avg87.7

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 9 vs Sydney

Home

Marvel

Charlie Curnow

FWD

Avg 62.0

vs SYD: 90.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 91.8 / you 79.0

Chad Warner

FWD

Avg 88.4

vs SYD: 101.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 96.3 / you 72.3

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs SYD: 75.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 74.3 / you 72.3

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 66.9

vs SYD: 91.6 avg (14 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 92.3 / you 72.3

Braeden Campbell

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs SYD: 65.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 59.0 / you 72.3

Round 10 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 67.8

vs ADE: 103.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 109.7 / you 83.3

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 62.6

vs ADE: 88.0 avg (17 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 86.0 / you 83.3

Darcy Fogarty

FWD

Avg 42.7

vs ADE: 74.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 67.0 / you 83.3

Josh Rachele

FWD

Avg 84.9

vs ADE: 57.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 49.5 / you 86.0

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 76.4

vs ADE: 100.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 116.0 / you 86.0

Round 11 vs Gold Coast

Home

Marvel

Touk Miller

FWD

Avg 98.3

vs GCS: 90.6 avg (17 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 87.0 / you 82.3

Bailey Humphrey

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs GCS: 44.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 44.7 / you 82.3

Ben King

FWD

Avg 64.8

vs GCS: 61.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 55.3 / you 82.3

Ben Long

FWD

Avg 58.8

vs GCS: 68.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 79.7 / you 82.3

Nick Holman

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs GCS: 58.8 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 43.7 / you 82.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
9	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	72.3	73.6	3	80	58	73.7(-12)	-1.9	17.2
10	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	83.3	86.9	3	102	70	84.4(-1)	+1.0	19.8
11	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	82.3	63.6	3	134	22	82.3(-3)	+3.1	19.6
12	BYE
13	FremantleFRE	H	Hands	77.5	76.1	2	95	60	78.3(-7)	+0.4	18.4
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	145.0	144.9	2	146	144	128.5(+43)	+0.5	34.5
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	111.7	110.0	3	129	103	112.5(+27)	+3.2	26.6
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	51.0	51.0	1	51	51	51.0(-34)	+0.3	12.1
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	54.0	54.0	1	54	54	69.7(-16)	-1.9	12.8
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	63.0	63.0	1	63	63	70.2(-15)	-1.2	15.0
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	83.0	83.0	2	110	56	83.0(-2)	+0.9	19.7
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	129.0	128.5	2	135	123	119.7(+34)	+1.6	30.7
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	75.3	85.5	3	108	34	75.3(-10)	+0.6	17.9
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	95.3	95.6	3	123	66	95.3(+10)	-0.7	22.7
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	56.0	60.1	2	106	6	56.0(-29)	-2.5	13.3
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	72.3	73.6	3	80	58	73.7(-12)	-1.9	17.2