Dan Houston

COL#9DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 28

186cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024

Debut 2017

Greythorn (Vic)/Camberwell Grammar (Vic)/Oakleigh U18/Port Adelaide

Cold

Price

$395k

Average

87.3

+64.3L3 avg

Total Points

1,135

+13games

Breakeven

6 below avg

Ownership

13.9%

+58rank

Position Rank

-18change

Value

22.09

+16.28L3 value

Career Avg

90.6

-3.3vs season

Last 3 Seasons

98.5

-11.2vs season

Last Year Avg

79.7

+7.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

64.3

Prev: 77.3

5-Game Avg

70.8

Projected

Range: 66–102

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 18.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (87.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	93	6 below
BE2 (2-wk)	101	14 below
BE3 (3-wk)	75	12 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$391,300	$-3,900
2 wks	$377,800	$-13,500
3 wks	$379,000	+$1,200

Total Price Change$36k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$361,900 – $354,500	$33k to $41k	(API: $-3,900)
2 wks	$343,800 – $332,400	$18k to $22k	(API: $-13,500)
3 wks	$361,900 – $354,500	+$18k to +$22k	(API: +$1,200)

Total$33k to $41k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 15

Port Adelaide

Away

MCG

Projected84

Opp Avg Conceded132.0

Venue Avg89.3

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 16

Richmond

Away

MCG

Projected70

Opp Avg Conceded93.5

Venue Avg89.3

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Round 17

Gold Coast

Home

People First

Projected78

Opp Avg Conceded96.0

Venue Avg92.0

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 15 vs Port Adelaide

Home

MCG

Jason Horne-Francis

FWD

Avg 95.6

vs PTA: 77.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 83.0 / you 132.0

Jack Lukosius

FWD

Avg 80.3

vs PTA: 63.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 43.0 / you 132.0

Joe Richards

FWD

Avg 79.5

vs PTA: 45.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 45.0 / you 132.0

Darcy Byrne-Jones

FWD

Avg 79.2

vs PTA: 69.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 48.0 / you 132.0

Mitch Georgiades

FWD

Avg 70.0

vs PTA: 44.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 23.0 / you 132.0

Round 16 vs Richmond

Home

MCG

Jack Ross

FWD

Avg 97.7

vs RIC: 83.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 81.0 / you 68.0

Rhyan Mansell

FWD

Avg 85.0

vs RIC: 45.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 41.0 / you 68.0

Dion Prestia

FWD

Avg 73.4

vs RIC: 81.2 avg (13 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 81.0 / you 68.0

Tyler Sonsie

FWD

Avg 71.8

vs RIC: 78.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 78.0 / you 68.0

Noah Balta

FWD

Avg 63.8

vs RIC: 63.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 57.0 / you 68.0

Round 17 vs Gold Coast

Away

People First

Christian Petracca

FWD

Avg 111.5

vs GCS: 97.5 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 109.5 / you 93.0

Touk Miller

FWD

Avg 94.8

vs GCS: 105.8 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 45.0 / you 103.0

Bailey Humphrey

FWD

Avg 63.9

vs GCS: 53.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 86.0 / you 103.0

Ben King

FWD

Avg 62.1

vs GCS: 55.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 68.0 / you 103.0

Ben Long

FWD

Avg 54.6

vs GCS: 45.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 53.0 / you 103.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
15	Port AdelaidePTA	H	MCG	132.0	132.0	1	132	132	132.0(+41)	-1.6	33.4
16	RichmondRIC	H	MCG	93.5	90.9	13	116	62	68.0(-23)	+3.3	25.1
17	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	96.0	102.1	9	131	61	101.0(+10)	+3.1	25.5
18	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	82.0	76.8	10	105	55	74.0(-17)	-0.4	19.6
19	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	95.3	111.3	12	176	48	83.5(-7)	-0.2	26.9
20	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	91.8	99.9	16	125	57	86.0(-5)	+0.9	25.8
21	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	92.4	88.8	10	146	40	79.0(-12)	-2.4	23.7
22	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	87.3	93.3	11	124	53	76.0(-15)	+0.5	23.9
23	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	90.1	113.0	8	148	35	84.0(-7)	+0.4	27.1
24	BrisbaneBRL	H	MCG	83.9	77.8	10	144	51	52.0(-39)	-1.6	20.2