Daniel McStay

COL#11FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 30

196cm

Left foot

Drafted 2013 (Pick 25)

Debut 2014

Vermont (Vic)/Eastern U18/Brisbane

Price

$273k

$-8kthis week

Average

51.3

+50.3L3 avg

Total Points

410

+8games

Breakeven

8 above avg

Ownership

0.1%

+328rank

Position Rank

308

+20change

Value

18.80

+18.46L3 value

Career Avg

60.0

-8.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

61.9

-10.6vs season

Last Year Avg

64.6

-13.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

50.3

Prev: 58.3

5-Game Avg

55.2

Projected

Range: 45–71

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 13.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (51.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	43	8 above
BE2 (2-wk)	43	8 above
BE3 (3-wk)	54	3 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$279,400	+$6,800
2 wks	$287,000	+$7,600
3 wks	$288,200	+$1,200

Total Price Change$77k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$283,900 – $286,500	+$11k to +$14k	(API: +$6,800)
2 wks	$294,800 – $299,800	+$11k to +$13k	(API: +$7,600)
3 wks	$298,900 – $304,900	+$4k to +$5k	(API: +$1,200)

Total+$26k to +$32k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 9

Geelong

Home

MCG

Projected58

Opp Avg Conceded54.9

Venue Avg60.4

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Round 10

Sydney

Home

SCG

Projected60

Opp Avg Conceded65.1

Venue Avg66.5

Difficulty

Easy (#1)

Round 11

West Coast

Away

MCG

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded53.4

Venue Avg60.4

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 9 vs Geelong

Away

MCG

Tom Stewart

DEF

Avg 93.1

vs GEE: 89.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 43.5 / you 63.5

Zach Guthrie

DEF

Avg 75.9

vs GEE: 61.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 54.5 / you 63.5

Mark O'Connor

DEF

Avg 70.3

vs GEE: 66.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 79.0 / you 63.5

Sam De Koning

DEF

Avg 63.9

vs GEE: 60.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 56.0 / you 63.5

Jake Kolodjashnij

DEF

Avg 48.7

vs GEE: 59.7 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 30.0 / you 86.0

Round 10 vs Sydney

Away

SCG

Nick Blakey

DEF

Avg 97.0

vs SYD: 74.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 92.0 / you 76.0

Tom McCartin

DEF

Avg 84.0

vs SYD: 55.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 42.0 / you 76.0

Matt Roberts

DEF

Avg 83.5

vs SYD: 80.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 85.5 / you 76.0

Dane Rampe

DEF

Avg 68.4

vs SYD: 68.5 avg (13 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 58.5 / you 76.0

Joel Hamling

DEF

Avg 63.0

vs SYD: 55.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 43.5 / you 67.0

Round 11 vs West Coast

Home

MCG

Brandon Starcevich

DEF

Avg 0.0

vs WCE: 55.1 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 50.0 / you 63.0

Liam Baker

DEF

Avg 63.4

vs WCE: 81.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 115.0 / you 70.0

Tylar Young

DEF

Avg 62.0

vs WCE: 50.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 50.0 / you 77.5

Tom McCarthy

DEF

Avg 88.1

vs WCE: 101.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 101.0 / you 71.0

Ryan Maric

DEF

Avg 76.7

vs WCE: 65.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 87.0 / you 71.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
9	GeelongGEE	A	MCG	54.9	70.6	11	100	32	68.0(+8)	-4.1	23.3
10	SydneySYD	A	SCG	65.1	83.2	9	105	29	74.2(+14)	-2.6	27.9
11	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	53.4	56.4	9	92	12	70.5(+10)	+6.1	26.0
12	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	65.9	53.2	10	84	45	48.0(-12)	+1.1	18.3
13	MelbourneMEL	H	MCG	59.0	53.8	12	93	25	61.6(+2)	-2.3	23.3
14	BYE
15	Port AdelaidePTA	H	MCG	63.4	76.3	12	118	35	76.0(+16)	-0.9	27.9
16	RichmondRIC	H	MCG	62.9	75.2	12	110	26	75.3(+15)	+0.7	27.3
17	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	60.5	63.9	16	125	25	43.9(-16)	+3.9	14.7
18	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	49.5	72.2	12	92	5	81.0(+21)	+5.9	—
19	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	71.0	65.7	13	105	42	65.2(+5)	+0.9	25.5
20	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	65.5	74.0	8	102	24	47.0(-13)	-1.1	17.2
21	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	54.9	70.6	11	100	32	68.0(+8)	-4.1	23.3
22	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	53.4	56.4	9	92	12	70.5(+10)	+6.1	26.0
23	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	61.0	58.3	11	96	37	53.1(-7)	-1.4	21.6
24	BrisbaneBRL	H	MCG	68.6	67.5	5	91	47	69.0(+9)	-0.8	25.2