Ed Richards

WBD#20MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 26

188cm

Left foot

Drafted 2017 (Pick 16)

Debut 2018

Hawthorn Citizens (Vic)/Carey Grammar (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$527k

$4kthis week

Average

108.3

+110.7L3 avg

Total Points

1,191

+11games

Breakeven

53 above avg

Ownership

11.4%

+38rank

Position Rank

+13change

Value

20.55

+21.01L3 value

Career Avg

78.5

+29.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

99.5

+8.8vs season

Last Year Avg

111.3

-3.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

110.7

Prev: 114.3

5-Game Avg

113.2

Projected

104

Range: 84–138

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 27.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (108.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	55	53 above
BE2 (2-wk)	99	9 above
BE3 (3-wk)	114	6 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$551,400	+$24,600
2 wks	$561,100	+$9,700
3 wks	$559,800	$-1,300

Total Price Change$75k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$562,900 – $570,900	+$36k to +$44k	(API: +$24,600)
2 wks	$582,300 – $594,600	+$19k to +$24k	(API: +$9,700)
3 wks	$589,100 – $603,000	+$7k to +$8k	(API: $-1,300)

Total+$62k to +$76k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13

Hawthorn

Home

MCG

Projected111

Opp Avg Conceded81.6

Venue Avg80.5

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Round 14

Adelaide

Away

Marvel

Projected121

Opp Avg Conceded77.9

Venue Avg82.6

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 15

St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected111

Opp Avg Conceded88.3

Venue Avg82.6

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 13 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Harry Morrison

MID

Avg 54.0

vs HAW: 68.6 avg (11 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 68.0 / you 78.6

Conor Nash

MID

Avg 79.0

vs HAW: 70.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 74.6 / you 84.0

Jai Newcombe

MID

Avg 99.2

vs HAW: 102.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 103.3 / you 88.5

Will Day

MID

Avg 83.0

vs HAW: 82.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 82.2 / you 85.6

Josh Ward

MID

Avg 75.0

vs HAW: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 75.2 / you 95.8

Round 14 vs Adelaide

Home

Marvel

Jordan Dawson

MID

Avg 108.6

vs ADE: 95.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 95.9 / you 79.6

Izak Rankine

MID

Avg 85.8

vs ADE: 69.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 70.3 / you 92.0

Sam Berry

MID

Avg 101.7

vs ADE: 55.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 62.3 / you 92.3

James Peatling

MID

Avg 87.6

vs ADE: 45.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 45.0 / you 95.0

Isaac Cumming

MID

Avg 67.3

vs ADE: 71.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 66.3 / you 94.8

Round 15 vs St Kilda

Away

Marvel

Bradley Hill

MID

Avg 83.3

vs STK: 67.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 70.6 / you 84.4

Mason Wood

MID

Avg 71.2

vs STK: 70.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 74.7 / you 84.1

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

MID

Avg 103.3

vs STK: 82.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 82.6 / you 103.2

Marcus Windhager

MID

Avg 79.1

vs STK: 58.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 58.0 / you 100.5

Hunter Clark

MID

Avg 63.7

vs STK: 68.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 64.0 / you 77.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	78.6	94.8	9	113	52	86.5(+8)	-1.6	17.4
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	75.9	101.3	7	139	36	90.7(+12)	+0.7	18.3
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	88.3	95.1	7	138	34	89.9(+11)	-1.3	19.1
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	78.3	91.9	10	125	51	79.4(+1)	-0.8	18.3
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	64.1	95.7	7	123	22	84.9(+6)	+4.0	21.2
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	74.5	95.5	8	127	28	79.5(+1)	+2.4	17.1
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	87.3	126.4	8	163	48	93.0(+14)	+2.3	21.8
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	72.5	85.2	10	115	44	81.7(+3)	+0.4	16.6
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	81.4	104.3	9	125	33	92.6(+14)	+3.3	21.6
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	71.5	88.0	8	113	43	72.1(-6)	-0.4	17.2
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	75.4	109.7	11	148	26	81.5(+3)	+2.0	18.5