Esava Ratugolea

PTA#27DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 27

197cm

Right foot

Drafted 2016 (Pick 43)

Debut 2018

Cobram (Vic)/Murray U18/Geelong Cats

Price

$343k

$-13kthis week

Average

59.8

+62.0L3 avg

Total Points

239

+4games

Breakeven

23 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+468rank

Position Rank

437

+31change

Value

17.41

+18.07L3 value

Career Avg

59.5

+0.3vs season

Last 3 Seasons

60.9

-1.1vs season

Last Year Avg

70.8

-11.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

62.0

Prev: 35.7

5-Game Avg

59.8

Projected

Range: 34–80

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 23.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.8)

BE1 (1-wk)	83	23 below
BE2 (2-wk)	69	9 below
BE3 (3-wk)	69	9 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$331,400	$-11,700
2 wks	$331,400	+$0
3 wks	$322,900	$-8,500

Total Price Change$40k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$319,100 – $313,700	$24k to $29k	(API: $-11,700)
2 wks	$301,100 – $291,700	$18k to $22k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$277,900 – $263,300	$23k to $28k	(API: $-8,500)

Total$65k to $80k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Carlton

Away

Adelaide

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded63.1

Venue Avg67.5

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 12: BYE

Round 13

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected50

Opp Avg Conceded61.9

Venue Avg59.4

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Carlton

Home

Adelaide

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 66.3

vs CAR: 67.5 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 64.0 / you 81.7

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 64.6

vs CAR: 52.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 66.0 / you 68.7

Lachie Fogarty

FWD

Avg 47.0

vs CAR: 65.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 63.0 / you 81.7

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 84.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 81.0 / you 85.0

Brodie Kemp

FWD

Avg 58.9

vs CAR: 60.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 74.5 / you 74.0

Round 13 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Matthew Owies

FWD

Avg 48.7

vs WCE: 47.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 50.0 / you 74.0

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 89.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 83.0 / you 39.0

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 88.5

vs WCE: 76.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 92.0 / you 39.0

Elliot Yeo

FWD

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 82.0 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 96.0 / you 39.0

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 76.3

vs WCE: 59.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 73.0 / you 39.0

Round 14 vs Sydney

Home

Adelaide

Hayden McLean

FWD

Avg 95.0

vs SYD: 63.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 70.3 / you 68.7

Chad Warner

FWD

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 87.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 81.0 / you 68.7

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 66.2

vs SYD: 64.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 60.0 / you 68.7

Charlie Curnow

FWD

Avg 58.9

vs SYD: 81.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 93.0 / you 81.7

Justin McInerney

FWD

Avg 99.2

vs SYD: 71.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 80.5 / you 74.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	CarltonCAR	H	Adelaide	63.1	72.0	8	97	-2	78.2(+19)	-0.2	20.1
12	BYE
13	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	63.8	54.6	6	88	35	46.0(-13)	+0.5	18.5
14	SydneySYD	H	Adelaide	66.0	62.1	10	114	24	72.4(+13)	-1.9	17.8
15	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	42.9	44.6	8	58	24	58.0(-1)	-1.2	14.3
16	AdelaideADE	H	Adelaide	59.5	60.7	6	88	47	54.3(-5)	+1.0	18.0
17	North MelbourneNTH	H	Adelaide	56.5	73.4	6	90	24	84.5(+25)	-0.5	20.6
18	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	60.6	59.4	7	98	14	75.5(+16)	+1.6	16.3
19	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	58.8	67.4	6	79	36	48.9(-11)	+0.4	17.7
20	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	49.2	32.2	5	84	5	37.1(-22)	-1.6	8.9
21	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Adelaide	57.0	64.5	7	98	37	72.0(+13)	-1.3	17.6
22	SydneySYD	A	SCG	66.0	62.1	10	114	24	72.4(+13)	-1.9	17.8
23	MelbourneMEL	H	Adelaide	65.5	85.0	6	116	32	82.7(+23)	+0.9	24.1
24	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	46.4	58.0	5	67	19	63.5(+4)	+0.3	16.5