Ethan Read

GCS#20FWD

Knee. Expected to be available for round 15 - 17.

Age 20

202cm

Right foot

Drafted 2023 (Pick 9)

Debut 2024

Palm Beach Currumbin JAFC (Qld)/Palm Beach Currumbin AFC (Qld)

Cold

Price

$232k

Average

46.2

+31.3L3 avg

Total Points

416

+9games

Breakeven

38 below avg

Ownership

0.3%

+371rank

Position Rank

386

-15change

Value

19.95

+13.52L3 value

Career Avg

45.8

+0.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

45.8

+0.4vs season

Last Year Avg

47.2

-1.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

31.3

Prev: 38.0

5-Game Avg

36.8

Projected

Range: 13–59

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 23.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (46.2)

BE1 (1-wk)	84	38 below
BE2 (2-wk)	80	34 below
BE3 (3-wk)	40	6 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$210,600	$-21,100
2 wks	$193,200	$-17,400
3 wks	$192,000	$-1,200

Total Price Change$24k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$194,200 – $185,800	$37k to $46k	(API: $-21,100)
2 wks	$182,700 – $171,700	$11k to $14k	(API: $-17,400)
3 wks	$189,100 – $179,500	+$6k to +$8k	(API: $-1,200)

Total$43k to $52k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 14

Geelong

Home

GMHBA

Projected36

Opp Avg Conceded43.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 15

Hawthorn

Away

People First

Projected41

Opp Avg Conceded46.0

Venue Avg47.2

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Round 16

Fremantle

Home

Optus

Projected37

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg100.0

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs Geelong

Away

GMHBA

Max Holmes

DEF

Avg 114.9

vs GEE: 103.5 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Tom Stewart

DEF

Avg 92.1

vs GEE: 103.3 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Lawson Humphries

DEF

Avg 82.9

vs GEE: 87.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Connor O'Sullivan

DEF

Avg 75.8

vs GEE: 50.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Zach Guthrie

DEF

Avg 75.2

vs GEE: 73.2 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Round 15 vs Hawthorn

Home

People First

James Sicily

DEF

Avg 100.9

vs HAW: 90.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 92.0 / you 54.0

Jarman Impey

DEF

Avg 85.5

vs HAW: 63.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 72.0 / you 54.0

Karl Amon

DEF

Avg 84.9

vs HAW: 97.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 106.0 / you 54.0

Blake Hardwick

DEF

Avg 78.3

vs HAW: 70.8 avg (10 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 41.0 / you 54.0

Josh Weddle

DEF

Avg 72.5

vs HAW: 76.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 92.0 / you 54.0

Round 16 vs Fremantle

Away

Optus

Judd McVee

DEF

Avg 58.1

vs FRE: 55.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 54.0 / you 51.0

Jordan Clark

DEF

Avg 94.3

vs FRE: 99.0 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Luke Ryan

DEF

Avg 92.3

vs FRE: 95.9 avg (9 gm)No shared games

Karl Worner

DEF

Avg 77.5

vs FRE: 26.5 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Heath Chapman

DEF

Avg 72.8

vs FRE: 74.3 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
14	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	—	—	—	—	—	—	-4.0	—
15	HawthornHAW	H	People First	54.0	54.0	1	54	54	54.0(+8)	-1.2	23.3
16	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	—	—	—	—	—	51.0(+5)	-1.1	—
17	CollingwoodCOL	H	People First	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	30.5(-15)	-1.1	12.5
18	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	45.0	45.0	2	60	30	45.0(-1)	-1.0	19.4
19	Western BulldogsWBD	H	People First	—	—	—	—	—	—	+1.1	—
20	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	57.0	57.0	1	57	57	51.9(+6)	+0.7	24.6
21	MelbourneMEL	H	People First	49.0	49.0	2	51	47	49.0(+3)	-2.2	21.1
22	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	41.0	41.6	3	47	32	44.2(-2)	-2.1	17.7
23	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	28.0	28.8	3	32	22	28.0(-18)	-0.8	12.1
24	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	29.0(-17)	-2.2	12.5