Francis Evans

CAR#44FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

182cm

Right foot

Drafted 2019 (Pick 41)

Debut 2021

Brunswick North O.B. (Vic)/Brunswick Secondary College (Vic)/Calder U18/Geelong/Port Adelaide

Price

$318k

$1kthis week

Average

59.7

+64.3L3 avg

Total Points

358

+6games

Breakeven

1 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+365rank

Position Rank

346

+19change

Value

18.75

+20.21L3 value

Career Avg

46.5

+13.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

49.5

+10.2vs season

Last Year Avg

64.8

-5.1vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

64.3

Prev: 57.3

5-Game Avg

61.8

Projected

Range: 39–55

Form Trend

Cold

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 8.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.7)

BE1 (1-wk)	61	1 below
BE2 (2-wk)	64	4 below
BE3 (3-wk)	84	24 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$312,000	$-6,300
2 wks	$307,000	$-5,000
3 wks	$301,500	$-5,500

Total Price Change$32k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$318,600 – $318,600	+$0k to +$0k	(API: $-6,300)
2 wks	$318,300 – $318,300	$0k to $0k	(API: $-5,000)
3 wks	$316,500 – $316,100	$2k to $2k	(API: $-5,500)

Total$2k to $2k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 9

Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected47

Opp Avg Conceded30.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 10

Western Bulldogs

Away

Marvel

Projected53

Opp Avg Conceded28.0

Venue Avg70.7

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Round 11

Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected72

Opp Avg Conceded69.0

Venue Avg44.8

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 9 vs Brisbane

Away

Gabba

Dayne Zorko

DEF

Avg 97.3

vs BRL: 103.1 avg (15 gm)No shared games

Harris Andrews

DEF

Avg 95.0

vs BRL: 82.8 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Darcy Wilmot

DEF

Avg 87.0

vs BRL: 81.7 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Jaspa Fletcher

DEF

Avg 79.0

vs BRL: 72.5 avg (2 gm)No shared games

Ryan Lester

DEF

Avg 79.0

vs BRL: 79.2 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Round 10 vs Western Bulldogs

Home

Marvel

Bailey Dale

DEF

Avg 90.8

vs WBD: 79.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 81.0 / you 33.0

Bailey Williams

DEF

Avg 86.0

vs WBD: 54.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 104.0 / you 33.0

Connor Budarick

DEF

Avg 77.8

vs WBD: 59.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 61.0 / you 106.0

Lachlan Bramble

DEF

Avg 63.1

vs WBD: 65.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 69.0 / you 33.0

Rory Lobb

DEF

Avg 62.2

vs WBD: 72.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 79.0 / you 33.0

Round 11 vs Port Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Aliir Aliir

DEF

Avg 89.9

vs PTA: 76.1 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 66.0 / you 104.0

Kane Farrell

DEF

Avg 86.8

vs PTA: 82.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 104.0

Connor Rozee

DEF

Avg 80.0

vs PTA: 85.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 75.0 / you 104.0

Darcy Byrne-Jones

DEF

Avg 73.0

vs PTA: 78.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 74.0 / you 104.0

Lachie Jones

DEF

Avg 60.1

vs PTA: 68.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 78.0 / you 104.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
9	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	30.0	28.1	2	54	6	—	-0.8	1.9
10	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Marvel	28.0	28.4	2	33	23	47.6(+1)	+1.1	8.8
11	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	69.0	71.8	2	104	34	104.0(+57)	-0.9	32.7
12	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	27.5	25.4	2	53	2	—	-4.1	8.6
13	EssendonESS	A	MCG	55.0	61.3	3	116	22	116.0(+69)	+1.1	22.5
14	BYE
15	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	23.0	22.2	3	35	9	—	-2.0	5.3
16	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	10.0	10.0	1	10	10	—	+6.1	3.1
17	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	53.2	47.3	5	85	13	26.0(-21)	+0.7	16.7
18	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	1.0	1.0	1	1	1	—	-1.4	—
19	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	42.5	41.9	2	50	35	35.0(-12)	-1.0	13.4
20	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	94.0	95.0	2	106	82	106.0(+59)	+3.9	29.5
21	BrisbaneBRL	H	Marvel	30.0	28.1	2	54	6	—	-0.8	1.9
22	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	42.0	42.0	1	42	42	42.0(-5)	-2.2	13.2
23	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	28.0	28.4	2	33	23	47.6(+1)	+1.1	8.8
24	FremantleFRE	H	Marvel	59.0	60.5	2	78	40	78.0(+31)	-0.9	18.5