Jai Newcombe

HAW#3MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

187cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 2)

Debut 2021

Poowong (Vic)/Gippsland U18/Box Hill (VFL)

Cold

Price

$485k

$-25kthis week

Average

99.2

+86.0L3 avg

Total Points

1,190

+12games

Breakeven

133

34 below avg

Ownership

3.3%

+28rank

Position Rank

+2change

Value

20.43

+17.72L3 value

Career Avg

92.2

+7.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

97.4

+1.8vs season

Last Year Avg

95.5

+3.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

86.0

Prev: 62.3

5-Game Avg

92.0

Projected

Range: 91–115

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 12.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (99.2)

BE1 (1-wk)	133	34 below
BE2 (2-wk)	90	9 above
BE3 (3-wk)	90	9 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$472,100	$-13,200
2 wks	$472,100	+$0
3 wks	$469,400	$-2,700

Total Price Change$32k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$485,300 – $485,300	+$0k to +$0k	(API: $-13,200)
2 wks	$457,700 – $451,500	$28k to $34k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$431,300 – $419,300	$26k to $32k	(API: $-2,700)

Total$54k to $66k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13

Western Bulldogs

Away

MCG

Projected103

Opp Avg Conceded103.3

Venue Avg90.7

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 14: BYE

Round 15

Gold Coast

Home

People First

Projected84

Opp Avg Conceded98.3

Venue Avg82.0

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 13 vs Western Bulldogs

Home

MCG

Marcus Bontempelli

MID

Avg 121.6

vs WBD: 105.3 avg (13 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 120.7 / you 102.0

Bailey Williams

MID

Avg 78.3

vs WBD: 63.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 65.7 / you 102.0

Adam Treloar

MID

Avg 65.0

vs WBD: 98.8 avg (16 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 89.6 / you 102.0

Ed Richards

MID

Avg 108.3

vs WBD: 78.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 88.5 / you 103.3

Tom Liberatore

MID

Avg 95.3

vs WBD: 89.1 avg (15 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 83.0 / you 102.2

Round 15 vs Gold Coast

Away

People First

Christian Petracca

MID

Avg 118.0

vs GCS: 102.3 avg (14 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 121.8 / you 82.8

Noah Anderson

MID

Avg 107.0

vs GCS: 106.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 116.0 / you 90.8

Matt Rowell

MID

Avg 94.0

vs GCS: 96.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 96.0 / you 90.8

Nick Holman

MID

Avg 48.0

vs GCS: 63.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 79.0 / you 90.8

Touk Miller

MID

Avg 96.1

vs GCS: 99.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 109.8 / you 87.8

Round 16 vs GWS Giants

Home

MCG

Toby Greene

MID

Avg 82.3

vs GWS: 90.6 avg (14 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 83.6 / you 95.7

Xavier O'Halloran

MID

Avg 54.0

vs GWS: 42.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 42.8 / you 102.8

Tom Green

MID

Avg 0.0

vs GWS: 89.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 92.3 / you 102.8

Clayton Oliver

MID

Avg 107.8

vs GWS: 102.3 avg (14 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 98.2 / you 82.8

Finn Callaghan

MID

Avg 101.8

vs GWS: 75.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 75.4 / you 105.4

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	Western BulldogsWBD	H	MCG	102.0	113.7	7	174	65	102.3(+10)	-3.7	24.9
14	BYE
15	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	90.8	95.9	5	121	61	88.6(-4)	+2.4	19.6
16	GWS GiantsGWS	H	MCG	95.7	100.6	7	121	53	97.9(+6)	-2.0	21.7
17	MelbourneMEL	H	UTAS	82.8	84.7	5	117	57	87.3(-5)	+2.0	17.6
18	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	89.6	91.1	5	149	58	89.1(-3)	-0.4	19.1
19	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	96.3	117.5	7	162	7	105.3(+13)	+2.3	24.9
20	EssendonESS	H	MCG	68.6	73.0	5	102	24	69.7(-22)	+0.2	14.9
21	North MelbourneNTH	H	UTAS	118.6	119.2	7	140	93	120.0(+28)	+3.3	24.2
22	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	93.6	89.0	5	121	70	93.7(+2)	-0.0	17.9
23	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	101.5	103.6	6	126	76	101.5(+9)	-0.8	21.0
24	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	104.3	106.4	4	118	94	99.2(+7)	+4.0	22.2