Lachie Ash

GWS#7DEF

Bye Next Round

Age 24

188cm

Right foot

Drafted 2019 (Pick 4)

Debut 2020

Shepparton Bears (Vic)/Notre Dame College (Vic)/Murray U18

Price

$509k

$-1kthis week

Average

103.8

+104.3L3 avg

Total Points

1,245

+12games

Breakeven

100

4 above avg

Ownership

20.4%

+19rank

Position Rank

+2change

Value

20.37

+20.48L3 value

Career Avg

80.7

+23.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

92.8

+10.9vs season

Last Year Avg

107.7

-4.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

104.3

Prev: 74.7

5-Game Avg

104.2

Projected

Range: 0–0

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 9.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (103.8)

BE1 (1-wk)	100	4 above
BE2 (2-wk)	100	4 above
BE3 (3-wk)	83	21 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$509,400	+$0
2 wks	$516,400	+$7,000
3 wks	$527,200	+$10,800

Total Price Change$74k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$481,600 – $475,400	$28k to $34k	(API: +$0)
2 wks	$469,300 – $460,300	$12k to $15k	(API: +$7,000)
3 wks	$455,600 – $443,600	$14k to $17k	(API: +$10,800)

Total$54k to $66k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13: BYE

Round 14

St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected116

Opp Avg Conceded98.1

Venue Avg79.6

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 15

Carlton

Away

ENGIE

Projected108

Opp Avg Conceded81.0

Venue Avg86.4

Difficulty

Easy (#4)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs St Kilda

Away

Marvel

Jack Higgins

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs STK: 69.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 72.7 / you 86.3

Sam Flanders

FWD

Avg 91.0

vs STK: 95.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 95.8 / you 83.3

Bradley Hill

FWD

Avg 83.3

vs STK: 68.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 69.7 / you 92.8

Rowan Marshall

FWD

Avg 78.5

vs STK: 98.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 102.4 / you 98.8

Mason Wood

FWD

Avg 71.2

vs STK: 51.6 avg (7 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 62.8 / you 93.0

Round 15 vs Carlton

Home

ENGIE

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 69.4

vs CAR: 73.7 avg (14 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 77.8 / you 70.4

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 69.0

vs CAR: 69.6 avg (10 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 62.9 / you 79.1

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 72.4

vs CAR: 84.6 avg (10 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 80.5 / you 85.7

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 64.8

vs CAR: 64.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 59.8 / you 79.0

Matthew Cottrell

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs CAR: 63.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 70.0 / you 76.2

Round 16 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Jack Gunston

FWD

Avg 85.9

vs HAW: 83.5 avg (13 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 77.2 / you 78.4

Dylan Moore

FWD

Avg 71.6

vs HAW: 85.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 90.2 / you 83.2

Connor Macdonald

FWD

Avg 83.6

vs HAW: 64.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 57.5 / you 80.3

Jack Ginnivan

FWD

Avg 82.3

vs HAW: 46.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 45.8 / you 92.8

Mabior Chol

FWD

Avg 60.6

vs HAW: 42.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 38.5 / you 73.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	BYE
14	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	92.8	113.0	6	137	41	90.9(+10)	+1.6	22.2
15	CarltonCAR	H	ENGIE	81.0	99.3	8	112	53	78.1(-3)	-0.2	18.1
16	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	78.7	86.9	6	95	56	81.6(+1)	+0.4	15.9
17	FremantleFRE	H	Manuka	77.3	106.0	7	111	42	84.9(+4)	+0.3	20.7
18	GeelongGEE	H	ENGIE	88.0	92.7	5	113	49	91.3(+11)	-2.4	21.1
19	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	81.1	97.3	8	120	49	83.1(+2)	+0.5	18.4
20	SydneySYD	H	ENGIE	70.4	84.0	10	92	31	74.8(-6)	-1.9	16.5
21	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	79.0	93.0	5	114	48	75.4(-5)	-1.6	18.3
22	Gold CoastGCS	H	Manuka	79.4	93.0	8	114	35	80.5(-0)	+3.1	18.3
23	West CoastWCE	H	ENGIE	89.2	79.6	5	130	21	87.5(+7)	+0.5	17.4
24	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	82.3	93.7	7	108	55	80.0(-1)	+0.9	16.7