Lawson Humphries

GEE#17DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 22

182cm

Right foot

Drafted 2023 (Pick 63)

Debut 2024

Wickham Wolves JFC (WA)/Swan Districts (WAFL)

Price

$412k

$3kthis week

Average

79.5

+84.7L3 avg

Total Points

795

+10games

Breakeven

14 above avg

Ownership

2.0%

+117rank

Position Rank

112

+5change

Value

19.31

+20.56L3 value

Career Avg

74.7

+4.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

74.7

+4.8vs season

Last Year Avg

73.5

+6.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

84.7

Prev: 91.3

5-Game Avg

90.0

Projected

Range: 74–96

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 11.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (79.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	66	14 above
BE2 (2-wk)	82	3 below
BE3 (3-wk)	77	3 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$420,200	+$8,400
2 wks	$426,400	+$6,200
3 wks	$433,600	+$7,200

Total Price Change+$14k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$427,900 – $431,500	+$16k to +$20k	(API: +$8,400)
2 wks	$440,000 – $446,200	+$12k to +$15k	(API: +$6,200)
3 wks	$451,500 – $460,300	+$12k to +$14k	(API: +$7,200)

Total+$40k to +$49k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Sydney

Away

GMHBA

Projected85

Opp Avg Conceded59.0

Venue Avg75.8

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 12

Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected96

Opp Avg Conceded92.0

Venue Avg78.7

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 13

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected93

Opp Avg Conceded70.3

Venue Avg91.0

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Sydney

Home

GMHBA

Hayden McLean

FWD

Avg 95.0

vs SYD: 57.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 66.0 / you 59.0

Chad Warner

FWD

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 86.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 89.0 / you 59.0

Tom Papley

FWD

Avg 77.5

vs SYD: 72.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 67.0 / you 59.0

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 66.2

vs SYD: 45.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 46.0 / you 59.0

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs SYD: 90.4 avg (16 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 59.0

Round 12 vs Carlton

Away

MCG

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 68.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 20.0 / you 92.0

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 70.3

vs CAR: 60.5 avg (10 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 130.0 / you 92.0

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs CAR: 63.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 3.0 / you 87.0

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 66.3

vs CAR: 60.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 106.0 / you 92.0

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 64.6

vs CAR: 63.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 20.0 / you 59.0

Round 13 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Riley Thilthorpe

FWD

Avg 72.8

vs ADE: 61.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 82.5 / you 80.0

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 68.4

vs ADE: 70.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 85.5 / you 80.0

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 62.6

vs ADE: 65.9 avg (19 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 59.5 / you 80.0

Darcy Fogarty

FWD

Avg 57.3

vs ADE: 65.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 78.0 / you 80.0

Zac Taylor

FWD

Avg 56.5

vs ADE: 53.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 53.5 / you 80.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	59.0	59.0	1	59	59	59.0(-16)	-1.9	14.3
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	92.0	92.0	1	92	92	84.4(+10)	-0.2	22.3
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	80.0	80.2	2	82	78	80.0(+5)	+1.0	19.4
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	87.0	87.0	1	87	87	86.8(+12)	+3.1	21.1
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	79.0	80.5	2	97	61	86.2(+11)	+0.4	19.2
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	81.0	81.0	2	93	69	81.0(+6)	-1.6	19.7
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	48.0	48.0	1	48	48	52.3(-22)	-1.3	11.7
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	84.0	88.0	3	105	67	84.0(+9)	+1.6	20.4
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	86.0	86.0	1	86	86	86.0(+11)	+0.9	20.9
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	83.0	81.0	2	108	58	82.7(+8)	-1.2	20.2
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	76.3	79.1	3	91	64	76.6(+2)	+0.3	18.5
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	59.0	57.1	2	82	36	59.0(-16)	-0.5	14.3
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	56.5	56.5	2	76	37	56.5(-18)	+3.2	13.7