Luke McDonald

NTH#11DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 30

189cm

Left foot

Drafted 2013 (Pick 8)

Debut 2014

Kew Comets (Vic)/Oakleigh U18/Werribee (VFL)

Price

$350k

Average

71.0

+64.3L3 avg

Total Points

781

+11games

Breakeven

16 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+156rank

Position Rank

189

-33change

Value

20.29

+18.38L3 value

Career Avg

73.1

-2.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

72.1

-1.1vs season

Last Year Avg

71.9

-0.9vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

64.3

Prev: 56.3

5-Game Avg

64.2

Projected

Range: 56–68

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 6.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (71.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	87	16 below
BE2 (2-wk)	92	21 below
BE3 (3-wk)	76	5 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$339,100	$-10,900
2 wks	$326,400	$-12,700
3 wks	$312,200	$-14,200

Total Price Change$39k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$318,800 – $311,800	$31k to $38k	(API: $-10,900)
2 wks	$298,600 – $287,000	$20k to $25k	(API: $-12,700)
3 wks	$301,300 – $290,300	+$3k to +$3k	(API: $-14,200)

Total$49k to $60k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13

Fremantle

Away

Hands

Projected62

Opp Avg Conceded69.4

Venue Avg100.0

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 14

West Coast

Away

Optus

Projected63

Opp Avg Conceded79.8

Venue Avg69.2

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Round 15

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected44

Opp Avg Conceded62.7

Venue Avg68.8

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 13 vs Fremantle

Home

Hands

Shai Bolton

FWD

Avg 97.0

vs FRE: 72.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 72.3 / you 65.9

Mason Cox

FWD

Avg 43.6

vs FRE: 44.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 44.5 / you 86.0

Jye Amiss

FWD

Avg 71.9

vs FRE: 41.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 41.5 / you 73.3

Michael Frederick

FWD

Avg 66.0

vs FRE: 48.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 46.5 / you 80.8

Sam Switkowski

FWD

Avg 58.0

vs FRE: 81.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 81.0 / you 73.3

Round 14 vs West Coast

Home

Optus

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs WCE: 77.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 80.7 / you 74.1

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 91.5

vs WCE: 90.8 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 81.3 / you 79.4

Elliot Yeo

FWD

Avg 82.2

vs WCE: 95.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 97.7 / you 65.3

Jack Graham

FWD

Avg 72.0

vs WCE: 92.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 92.7 / you 69.0

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 93.0

vs WCE: 66.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 66.5 / you 84.3

Round 15 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Tom Lynch

FWD

Avg 65.6

vs RIC: 70.1 avg (14 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 76.6 / you 60.6

Dion Prestia

FWD

Avg 69.4

vs RIC: 87.9 avg (11 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 95.1 / you 55.0

Noah Balta

FWD

Avg 63.0

vs RIC: 54.6 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 51.8 / you 55.3

Rhyan Mansell

FWD

Avg 85.0

vs RIC: 55.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 53.3 / you 61.3

Jack Ross

FWD

Avg 97.7

vs RIC: 97.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 101.0 / you 32.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	FremantleFRE	H	Hands	69.4	70.3	13	121	33	75.8(+3)	+0.3	19.2
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	80.5	83.1	11	131	32	74.4(+1)	+0.5	22.1
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	60.4	48.0	13	86	20	52.8(-20)	+3.3	13.1
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	68.0	71.7	13	102	48	76.0(+3)	+0.5	20.4
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	74.8	64.6	10	89	55	77.5(+4)	-1.6	18.7
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	70.9	68.1	10	144	16	74.0(+1)	-1.3	19.6
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	86.5	82.9	12	138	42	99.5(+26)	+0.8	24.6
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	78.9	96.0	12	132	37	80.2(+7)	+1.6	24.8
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	74.8	64.6	13	140	12	78.2(+5)	+0.4	19.9
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	68.4	68.2	15	96	42	67.2(-6)	-0.8	18.8
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	78.5	91.8	12	104	46	85.4(+12)	-2.4	24.3
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	64.6	69.8	13	101	38	71.8(-1)	-1.9	19.9