Luke McDonald

NTH#11DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 30

189cm

Left foot

Drafted 2013 (Pick 8)

Debut 2014

Kew Comets (Vic)/Oakleigh U18/Werribee (VFL)

Price

$361k

$-9kthis week

Average

72.6

+67.7L3 avg

Total Points

726

+10games

Breakeven

7 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+152rank

Position Rank

149

+3change

Value

20.12

+18.75L3 value

Career Avg

73.1

-0.5vs season

Last 3 Seasons

72.1

+0.5vs season

Last Year Avg

71.9

+0.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

67.7

Prev: 48.7

5-Game Avg

71.8

Projected

Range: 66–88

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 11.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (72.6)

BE1 (1-wk)	80	7 below
BE2 (2-wk)	66	7 above
BE3 (3-wk)	66	7 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$359,500	$-1,300
2 wks	$359,500	+$0
3 wks	$360,700	+$1,200

Total Price Change$28k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$366,800 – $368,200	+$6k to +$7k	(API: $-1,300)
2 wks	$345,400 – $342,000	$21k to $26k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$327,300 – $319,900	$18k to $22k	(API: +$1,200)

Total$33k to $41k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Gold Coast

Away

Marvel

Projected77

Opp Avg Conceded76.3

Venue Avg71.4

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 12: BYE

Round 13

Fremantle

Away

Hands

Projected69

Opp Avg Conceded69.4

Venue Avg100.0

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Gold Coast

Home

Marvel

Touk Miller

FWD

Avg 97.3

vs GCS: 90.6 avg (17 gm)H2H: 14 gm — them 88.9 / you 80.9

Nick Holman

FWD

Avg 65.0

vs GCS: 58.8 avg (10 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 59.6 / you 76.8

Ben Long

FWD

Avg 56.3

vs GCS: 68.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 68.3 / you 73.9

Christian Petracca

FWD

Avg 118.0

vs GCS: 103.9 avg (11 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 110.5 / you 99.0

Ben King

FWD

Avg 62.8

vs GCS: 61.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 60.4 / you 76.7

Round 13 vs Fremantle

Home

Hands

Shai Bolton

FWD

Avg 100.8

vs FRE: 72.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 72.3 / you 65.9

Mason Cox

FWD

Avg 53.4

vs FRE: 44.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 44.5 / you 86.0

Michael Frederick

FWD

Avg 69.2

vs FRE: 48.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 46.5 / you 80.8

Jye Amiss

FWD

Avg 67.6

vs FRE: 41.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 41.5 / you 73.3

Sam Switkowski

FWD

Avg 54.7

vs FRE: 81.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 81.0 / you 73.3

Round 14 vs West Coast

Home

Optus

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs WCE: 77.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 80.7 / you 74.1

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 90.8 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 81.3 / you 79.4

Elliot Yeo

FWD

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 95.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 97.7 / you 65.3

Jack Graham

FWD

Avg 72.0

vs WCE: 92.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 92.7 / you 69.0

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 88.5

vs WCE: 66.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 66.5 / you 84.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	76.3	69.2	15	101	12	81.5(+8)	+3.1	20.6
12	BYE
13	FremantleFRE	H	Hands	69.4	70.3	13	121	33	75.8(+3)	+0.4	18.7
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	80.5	83.1	11	131	32	74.4(+1)	+0.5	21.5
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	60.4	48.0	13	86	20	52.8(-20)	+3.2	12.7
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	68.0	71.7	13	102	48	76.0(+3)	+0.3	19.8
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	74.8	64.6	10	89	55	77.5(+4)	-1.9	18.1
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	70.9	68.1	10	144	16	74.0(+1)	-1.2	19.0
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	86.5	82.9	12	138	42	99.5(+26)	+0.9	23.9
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	78.9	96.0	12	132	37	80.2(+7)	+1.6	24.0
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	74.8	64.6	13	140	12	78.2(+5)	+0.6	19.3
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	68.4	68.2	15	96	42	67.2(-6)	-0.7	18.2
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	78.5	91.8	12	104	46	85.4(+12)	-2.5	23.6
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	64.6	69.8	13	101	38	71.8(-1)	-1.9	19.3