Luke Trainor

RIC#11DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 19

195cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 21)

Debut 2025

St Peters FC/Sandringham U18

Cold

Price

$241k

Average

56.4

+41.3L3 avg

Total Points

395

+7games

Breakeven

14 above avg

Ownership

0.8%

+387rank

Position Rank

397

-10change

Value

23.44

+17.17L3 value

Career Avg

52.7

+3.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

52.7

+3.8vs season

Last Year Avg

52.7

+3.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

41.3

Prev: 46.7

5-Game Avg

43.8

Projected

Range: 28–74

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 23.8

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (56.4)

BE1 (1-wk)	42	14 above
BE2 (2-wk)	33	23 above
BE3 (3-wk)	56	0 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$244,500	+$3,800
2 wks	$249,500	+$5,000
3 wks	$244,800	$-4,700

Total Price Change$44k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$233,200 – $231,600	$7k to $9k	(API: +$3,800)
2 wks	$219,400 – $214,800	$14k to $17k	(API: +$5,000)
3 wks	$227,400 – $224,600	+$8k to +$10k	(API: $-4,700)

Total$13k to $16k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 14

Brisbane

Away

Ninja

Projected51

Opp Avg Conceded82.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Easy (#4)

Round 15

North Melbourne

Away

MCG

Projected44

Opp Avg Conceded52.0

Venue Avg58.7

Difficulty

Easy (#1)

Round 16

Collingwood

Home

MCG

Projected45

Opp Avg Conceded57.0

Venue Avg58.7

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs Brisbane

Home

Ninja

Zac Bailey

FWD

Avg 95.7

vs BRL: 57.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 82.0

Logan Morris

FWD

Avg 75.4

vs BRL: 74.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 75.0 / you 82.0

Charlie Cameron

FWD

Avg 75.2

vs BRL: 60.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 52.0 / you 82.0

Cam Rayner

FWD

Avg 67.6

vs BRL: 70.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 80.0 / you 82.0

Will McLachlan

FWD

Avg 28.0

vs BRL: 8.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 8.0 / you 82.0

Round 15 vs North Melbourne

Home

MCG

Harry Sheezel

FWD

Avg 113.3

vs NTH: 125.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 52.0

Jy Simpkin

FWD

Avg 80.3

vs NTH: 87.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 72.0 / you 52.0

Colby McKercher

FWD

Avg 79.3

vs NTH: 111.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 129.0 / you 52.0

Cameron Zurhaar

FWD

Avg 69.7

vs NTH: 81.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 87.0 / you 52.0

Jack Darling

FWD

Avg 67.7

vs NTH: 79.7 avg (18 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 95.0 / you 52.0

Round 16 vs Collingwood

Away

MCG

Lachie Schultz

FWD

Avg 77.8

vs COL: 67.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 57.0

Patrick Lipinski

FWD

Avg 72.9

vs COL: 55.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 47.0 / you 57.0

Ned Long

FWD

Avg 66.8

vs COL: 53.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 86.0 / you 57.0

Jamie Elliott

FWD

Avg 60.5

vs COL: 67.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 38.0 / you 57.0

Daniel McStay

FWD

Avg 58.2

vs COL: 62.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 84.0 / you 57.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
14	BrisbaneBRL	H	Ninja	82.0	82.0	1	82	82	82.0(+29)	-1.6	34.1
15	North MelbourneNTH	H	MCG	52.0	52.0	1	52	52	52.0(-1)	-0.4	21.6
16	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	57.0	57.0	1	57	57	57.0(+4)	-1.3	23.7
17	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	47.1(-6)	-0.2	20.8
18	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	66.0	66.0	1	66	66	66.0(+13)	+0.8	27.4
19	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	82.0	82.0	1	82	82	82.0(+29)	+0.4	34.1
20	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	63.0	63.0	1	63	63	55.3(+3)	-0.8	26.2
21	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	38.0	38.0	2	46	30	38.0(-15)	+0.5	15.8
22	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	57.0	57.0	1	57	57	57.0(+4)	+0.9	23.7
23	St KildaSTK	H	MCG	90.0	90.0	1	90	90	66.5(+14)	+1.6	37.4
24	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	43.0	43.0	2	53	33	43.0(-10)	-2.4	17.9