Maurice Rioli

RIC#17FWD

Hamstring. Expected to be available for round 13.

Age 23

179cm

Right foot

Drafted 2020 (Pick 51)

Debut 2021

St Mary's (NT)/Scotch College (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$262k

Average

46.8

+47.0L3 avg

Total Points

281

+6games

Breakeven

45 below avg

Ownership

0.3%

+366rank

Position Rank

382

-16change

Value

17.89

+17.95L3 value

Career Avg

44.1

+2.7vs season

Last 3 Seasons

45.2

+1.7vs season

Last Year Avg

49.2

-2.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

47.0

Prev: 45.0

5-Game Avg

47.8

Projected

Range: 24–60

Form Trend

Cold

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 19.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (46.8)

BE1 (1-wk)	92	45 below
BE2 (2-wk)	85	38 below
BE3 (3-wk)	37	10 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$239,600	$-22,200
2 wks	$227,300	$-12,300
3 wks	$226,700	$-600

Total Price Change$4k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$220,000 – $210,600	$42k to $51k	(API: $-22,200)
2 wks	$211,700 – $200,500	$8k to $10k	(API: $-12,300)
3 wks	$220,200 – $210,800	+$9k to +$10k	(API: $-600)

Total$42k to $51k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 9

Adelaide

Away

MCG

Projected42

Opp Avg Conceded17.0

Venue Avg43.6

Difficulty

Hard (#13)

Round 10

St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded59.7

Venue Avg34.8

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 11

Essendon

Away

MCG

Projected36

Opp Avg Conceded41.8

Venue Avg43.6

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 9 vs Adelaide

Home

MCG

Rory Laird

DEF

Avg 78.0

vs ADE: 101.9 avg (13 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 147.0 / you 17.0

Nick Murray

DEF

Avg 70.1

vs ADE: 65.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 82.0 / you 17.0

Max Michalanney

DEF

Avg 63.5

vs ADE: 74.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 48.0 / you 17.0

Mitchell Hinge

DEF

Avg 44.0

vs ADE: 89.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 80.0 / you 17.0

Wayne Milera

DEF

Avg 100.6

vs ADE: 67.3 avg (6 gm)No shared games

Round 10 vs St Kilda

Away

Marvel

Jack Sinclair

DEF

Avg 110.9

vs STK: 98.2 avg (15 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 120.3 / you 59.7

Callum Wilkie

DEF

Avg 110.4

vs STK: 92.9 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 110.3 / you 59.7

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

DEF

Avg 103.3

vs STK: 95.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 107.3 / you 59.7

Liam Stocker

DEF

Avg 34.3

vs STK: 61.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 57.3 / you 59.7

Anthony Caminiti

DEF

Avg 34.0

vs STK: 54.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 39.7 / you 59.7

Round 11 vs Essendon

Home

MCG

Andrew McGrath

DEF

Avg 80.4

vs ESS: 82.7 avg (12 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 93.0 / you 41.8

Mason Redman

DEF

Avg 74.0

vs ESS: 78.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 70.0 / you 41.8

Zach Reid

DEF

Avg 58.0

vs ESS: 58.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.3 / you 43.7

Ben McKay

DEF

Avg 47.0

vs ESS: 54.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 39.7 / you 22.3

Archie Roberts

DEF

Avg 110.3

vs ESS: 120.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 120.5 / you 26.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
9	AdelaideADE	H	MCG	17.0	17.0	1	17	17	17.0(-27)	-1.1	6.5
10	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	59.7	61.6	3	71	44	59.7(+16)	-2.2	22.8
11	EssendonESS	H	MCG	41.8	40.5	4	67	17	35.2(-9)	+1.1	10.1
12	SydneySYD	A	SCG	44.3	51.5	4	79	19	45.9(+2)	-2.6	18.0
13	BYE
14	BrisbaneBRL	H	Ninja	6.0	6.0	1	6	6	6.0(-38)	-0.8	—
15	North MelbourneNTH	H	MCG	38.7	41.5	3	66	24	48.3(+4)	+5.9	17.6
16	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	47.3	44.9	3	72	30	46.7(+3)	-1.0	13.4
17	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	46.3	48.6	3	59	25	48.1(+4)	+0.9	21.8
18	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	44.7	44.6	3	96	15	47.6(+4)	-2.3	17.1
19	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	37.0	36.4	3	69	7	38.1(-6)	-1.4	13.4
20	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	33.0	33.0	1	33	33	33.8(-10)	+1.1	12.6
21	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	52.8	51.4	5	92	25	47.8(+4)	+6.1	18.2
22	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	17.0	17.0	1	17	17	17.0(-27)	-1.1	6.5
23	St KildaSTK	H	MCG	59.7	61.6	3	71	44	59.7(+16)	-2.2	22.8
24	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	65.3	65.3	3	102	29	65.4(+21)	-4.1	25.0