Murphy Reid

FRE#16FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 19

182cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 17)

Debut 2025

Sth Melbourne Districts JFC/Sandringham U18

Price

$442k

$4kthis week

Average

87.2

+92.7L3 avg

Total Points

1,046

+12games

Breakeven

0 above avg

Ownership

14.7%

+57rank

Position Rank

-5change

Value

19.74

+20.99L3 value

Career Avg

68.5

+18.7vs season

Last 3 Seasons

68.5

+18.7vs season

Last Year Avg

68.5

+18.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

92.7

Prev: 54.3

5-Game Avg

87.8

Projected

Range: 59–103

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 22.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (87.2)

BE1 (1-wk)	87	0 above
BE2 (2-wk)	131	44 below
BE3 (3-wk)	131	44 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$438,800	$-2,700
2 wks	$438,800	+$0
3 wks	$417,500	$-21,300

Total Price Change+$71k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$450,100 – $452,100	+$9k to +$11k	(API: $-2,700)
2 wks	$405,500 – $397,500	$45k to $55k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$381,300 – $367,900	$24k to $30k	(API: $-21,300)

Total$60k to $74k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13

North Melbourne

Home

Hands

Projected81

Opp Avg Conceded50.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Hard (#13)

Round 14: BYE

Round 15

Geelong

Away

Optus

Projected82

Opp Avg Conceded69.5

Venue Avg76.6

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 13 vs North Melbourne

Away

Hands

Luke Parker

DEF

Avg 103.7

vs NTH: 100.3 avg (16 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 90.0 / you 50.0

Caleb Daniel

DEF

Avg 92.3

vs NTH: 78.7 avg (14 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 80.0 / you 50.0

Finn O'Sullivan

DEF

Avg 82.4

vs NTH: 51.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 51.0 / you 50.0

Colby McKercher

DEF

Avg 80.5

vs NTH: 77.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 60.0 / you 50.0

Cameron Zurhaar

DEF

Avg 71.1

vs NTH: 53.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 38.0 / you 50.0

Round 15 vs Geelong

Home

Optus

Max Holmes

DEF

Avg 115.3

vs GEE: 73.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 125.0 / you 50.0

Tom Stewart

DEF

Avg 94.1

vs GEE: 90.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 100.0 / you 50.0

Lawson Humphries

DEF

Avg 82.9

vs GEE: 79.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 97.0 / you 50.0

Zach Guthrie

DEF

Avg 76.9

vs GEE: 89.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 102.0 / you 50.0

Connor O'Sullivan

DEF

Avg 73.3

vs GEE: 48.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 48.0 / you 50.0

Round 16 vs Gold Coast

Home

Optus

John Noble

DEF

Avg 103.3

vs GCS: 79.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 95.0 / you 50.0

Bodhi Uwland

DEF

Avg 99.0

vs GCS: 67.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 72.0 / you 50.0

Mac Andrew

DEF

Avg 87.3

vs GCS: 72.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 100.0 / you 50.0

Joel Jeffrey

DEF

Avg 82.3

vs GCS: 52.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 84.0 / you 50.0

Wil Powell

DEF

Avg 81.1

vs GCS: 81.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 59.0 / you 50.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	North MelbourneNTH	A	Hands	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	50.0(-18)	+5.9	11.3
14	BYE
15	GeelongGEE	H	Optus	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	50.0(-18)	-4.0	11.3
16	Gold CoastGCS	H	Optus	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	50.0(-18)	+4.0	11.3
17	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	69.0	69.0	1	69	69	68.4(-0)	-2.1	15.6
18	SydneySYD	H	Optus	85.5	85.5	2	96	75	85.5(+17)	-2.6	19.4
19	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	81.5	81.5	2	104	59	77.0(+9)	-0.9	18.5
20	West CoastWCE	H	Adelaide	113.5	113.5	2	121	106	113.5(+45)	+6.2	25.7
21	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Optus	78.5	78.5	2	84	73	78.5(+10)	+1.1	17.8
22	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	82.0	82.0	1	82	82	82.0(+14)	-2.2	18.6
23	AdelaideADE	H	Optus	35.0	35.0	1	35	35	35.0(-33)	-1.0	7.9
24	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	43.0	43.0	1	43	43	49.4(-19)	+0.7	9.7