avatar

Ned Long

avatarCOL#44MID
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 22
194cm
Right foot
Drafted 2024 (Pick 19)
Debut 2022
Melbourne Grammar (Vic)/Northern U18/ Collingwood (VFL)

Price

$386k

$-13kthis week

Average

68.0

+69.0L3 avg

Total Points

340

+5games

Breakeven

112

44 below avg

Ownership

0.4%

+177rank

Position Rank

199

-22change

Value

17.63

+17.89L3 value

Career Avg

65.4

+2.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

66.0

+2.0vs season

Last Year Avg

77.6

-9.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

69.0

Prev: 60.0

5-Game Avg

68.0

Projected

75

Range: 44–70

Form Trend

Cold
prev wk
ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 13.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (68.0)

BE1 (1-wk)11244 below
BE2 (2-wk)11042 below
BE3 (3-wk)8214 below

Price Projections

Next wk$361,100$-24,500
2 wks$340,400$-20,700
3 wks$330,500$-9,900
Total Price Change$34k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$369,500 – $365,900$16k to $20k(API: $-24,500)
2 wks$354,900 – $348,100$15k to $18k(API: $-20,700)
3 wks$348,900 – $340,700$6k to $7k(API: $-9,900)
Total$37k to $45k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 6

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Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected57
Opp Avg Conceded43.3
Venue Avg60.9
Difficulty
Hard (#14)

Round 7

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Essendon

Home

MCG

Projected63
Opp Avg Conceded56.0
Venue Avg60.9
Difficulty
Hard (#18)

Round 8

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Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Projected60
Opp Avg Conceded51.3
Venue Avg60.9
Difficulty
Medium (#10)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 6 vs Carlton
Away
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George Hewett
MID
Avg 91.5
vs CAR: 83.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 115.0 / you 43.3
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Patrick Cripps
MID
Avg 89.8
vs CAR: 100.4 avg (18 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 85.0 / you 43.3
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Adam Cerra
MID
Avg 84.0
vs CAR: 81.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 75.3 / you 43.3
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Blake Acres
MID
Avg 0.0
vs CAR: 87.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 102.7 / you 43.3
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Sam Walsh
MID
Avg 104.2
vs CAR: 111.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 108.0 / you 31.5
avatarRound 7 vs Essendon
Away
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Zach Merrett
MID
Avg 115.2
vs ESS: 104.3 avg (18 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 117.0 / you 56.0
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Sam Durham
MID
Avg 74.2
vs ESS: 77.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 104.0 / you 56.0
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Xavier Duursma
MID
Avg 64.0
vs ESS: 70.7 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 65.5 / you 56.0
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Kyle Langford
MID
Avg 59.4
vs ESS: 75.1 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 77.0 / you 56.0
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Harrison Jones
MID
Avg 0.0
vs ESS: 53.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 62.0 / you 56.0
avatarRound 8 vs Hawthorn
Home
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Jai Newcombe
MID
Avg 93.8
vs HAW: 101.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 93.7 / you 51.3
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Conor Nash
MID
Avg 76.6
vs HAW: 77.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 94.0 / you 51.3
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Massimo D'Ambrosio
MID
Avg 74.8
vs HAW: 86.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 94.7 / you 51.3
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Josh Ward
MID
Avg 72.8
vs HAW: 81.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 80.3 / you 51.3
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Josh Weddle
MID
Avg 72.2
vs HAW: 62.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 63.0 / you 62.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
6
avatarCAR
A
43.342.1341.0(-24)-0.311.2
7
avatarESS
A
56.058.5256.0(-9)+0.214.5
8
avatarHAW
H
51.347.5353.5(-12)-1.613.3
9
avatarGEE
A
67.569.6264.3(-1)-1.717.5
10
avatarSYD
A
91.593.3291.5(+26)-0.723.7
11
avatarWCE
H
72.072.0172.0(+7)+3.918.7
12
avatarWBD
A
50.050.6255.0(-10)-3.814.8
13
avatarMEL
H
67.061.9381.8(+16)+1.917.4
14BYE
15
avatarPTA
H
113.0113.01113.0(+48)-2.729.3
16
avatarRIC
H
53.058.3371.0(+6)+2.313.7
17
avatarGCS
A
44.044.0151.3(-14)+2.411.4
18
avatarNTH
H
134.0134.01127.5(+62)+3.434.8
19
avatarCAR
H
43.342.1341.0(-24)-0.311.2
20
avatarADE
A
77.372.4390.5(+25)+0.720.1
21
avatarGEE
H
67.569.6264.3(-1)-1.717.5
22
avatarWCE
A
72.072.0172.0(+7)+3.918.7
23
avatarHAW
A
51.347.5353.5(-12)-1.613.3
24
avatarBRL
H
58.752.5358.7(-7)-0.115.2

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.4%

-0.0%

Rank

704.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.0%

Trades In

2

0.0%

Trades Out

43

0.0%

Start %

91.8%

Bench %

8.2%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.39%0%

16 Apr 7:18 am – 18 Apr 4:20 am

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