avatar

Ned Long

avatarCOL#44MID
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 22
194cm
Right foot
Drafted 2024 (Pick 19)
Debut 2022
Melbourne Grammar (Vic)/Northern U18/ Collingwood (VFL)

Price

$409k

$-11kthis week

Average

74.3

+74.3L3 avg

Total Points

223

+3games

Breakeven

88

14 below avg

Ownership

0.4%

+261rank

Position Rank

186

+75change

Value

18.17

+18.17L3 value

Career Avg

65.4

+9.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

66.0

+8.3vs season

Last Year Avg

77.6

-3.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

74.3

Prev: 73.3

5-Game Avg

74.3

Projected

72

Range: 70–90

Form Trend

Neutral
prev wk
ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 10.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (74.3)

BE1 (1-wk)8814 below
BE2 (2-wk)695 above
BE3 (3-wk)8410 below

Price Projections

Next wk$405,200$-3,800
2 wks$408,700+$3,500
3 wks$399,200$-9,500
Total Price Change$11k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$386,000 – $380,800$23k to $28k(API: $-3,800)
2 wks$400,000 – $397,900+$14k to +$17k(API: +$3,500)
3 wks$399,600 – $397,400$0k to $0k(API: $-9,500)
Total$9k to $12k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

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Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected80
Opp Avg Conceded58.7
Venue Avg96.0
Difficulty
Easy (#1)

Round 5

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Fremantle

Away

Adelaide

Projected77
Opp Avg Conceded79.5
Venue Avg100.5
Difficulty
Medium (#11)

Round 6

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Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected63
Opp Avg Conceded43.3
Venue Avg60.9
Difficulty
Medium (#12)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 4 vs Brisbane
Away
avatar
Josh Dunkley
MID
Avg 96.0
vs BRL: 96.3 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 108.7 / you 58.7
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Lachie Neale
MID
Avg 96.0
vs BRL: 99.7 avg (18 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 126.0 / you 58.7
avatar
Zac Bailey
MID
Avg 95.5
vs BRL: 75.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 57.7 / you 58.7
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Jarrod Berry
MID
Avg 94.0
vs BRL: 78.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 59.7 / you 58.7
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Will Ashcroft
MID
Avg 84.7
vs BRL: 74.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 73.7 / you 58.7
avatarRound 5 vs Fremantle
Home
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Shai Bolton
MID
Avg 113.3
vs FRE: 86.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 78.3 / you 73.3
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Caleb Serong
MID
Avg 117.7
vs FRE: 101.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 113.0 / you 79.5
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Andrew Brayshaw
MID
Avg 88.0
vs FRE: 100.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 127.5 / you 79.5
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Matthew Johnson
MID
Avg 76.0
vs FRE: 70.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 69.5 / you 79.5
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Corey Wagner
MID
Avg 71.7
vs FRE: 53.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 48.0 / you 79.5
avatarRound 6 vs Carlton
Away
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Patrick Cripps
MID
Avg 88.7
vs CAR: 100.4 avg (18 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 85.0 / you 43.3
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George Hewett
MID
Avg 87.3
vs CAR: 83.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 115.0 / you 43.3
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Adam Cerra
MID
Avg 0.0
vs CAR: 81.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 75.3 / you 43.3
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Blake Acres
MID
Avg 0.0
vs CAR: 87.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 102.7 / you 43.3
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Sam Walsh
MID
Avg 104.0
vs CAR: 111.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 108.0 / you 31.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
4
avatarBRL
A
58.752.5358.7(-7)-0.114.3
5
avatarFRE
H
79.579.5278.3(+13)+0.319.4
6
avatarCAR
A
43.342.1341.0(-24)-0.310.6
7
avatarESS
A
56.058.5256.0(-9)+0.213.7
8
avatarHAW
H
51.347.5359.7(-6)-1.612.6
9
avatarGEE
A
67.569.6264.3(-1)-1.716.5
10
avatarSYD
A
91.593.3291.5(+26)-0.722.4
11
avatarWCE
H
72.072.0175.0(+10)+3.917.6
12
avatarWBD
A
50.050.6255.0(-10)-3.813.9
13
avatarMEL
H
67.061.9381.1(+16)+1.916.4
14BYE
15
avatarPTA
H
113.0113.01113.0(+48)-2.727.6
16
avatarRIC
H
53.058.3373.5(+8)+2.313.0
17
avatarGCS
A
44.044.0151.3(-14)+2.410.8
18
avatarNTH
H
134.0134.01127.5(+62)+3.432.8
19
avatarCAR
H
43.342.1341.0(-24)-0.310.6
20
avatarADE
A
77.372.4390.5(+25)+0.718.9
21
avatarGEE
H
67.569.6264.3(-1)-1.716.5
22
avatarWCE
A
72.072.0175.0(+10)+3.917.6
23
avatarHAW
A
51.347.5359.7(-6)-1.612.6
24
avatarBRL
H
58.752.5358.7(-7)-0.114.3

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.4%

+0.0%

Rank

776.0

1-wk Change

+0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.1%

Trades In

9

0.0%

Trades Out

10

0.0%

Start %

94.1%

Bench %

5.9%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.43%0%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

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