avatar

Nick Larkey

avatarNTH#20FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 27
198cm
Right foot
Drafted 2016 (Pick 73)
Debut 2017
Hawthorn Citizens (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$337k

$19kthis week

Average

68.8

+79.7L3 avg

Total Points

1,032

+15games

Breakeven

73

4 below avg

Ownership

1.6%

+164rank

Position Rank

163

+1change

Value

20.42

+23.64L3 value

Career Avg

61.4

+7.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

66.9

+1.9vs season

Last Year Avg

71.4

-2.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

79.7

Prev: 68.3

5-Game Avg

66.8

Projected

67

Range: 42–84

Form Trend

Neutral
prev wk
ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 21.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (68.8)

BE1 (1-wk)734 below
BE2 (2-wk)8112 below
BE3 (3-wk)636 above

Price Projections

Next wk$332,500$-4,500
2 wks$331,400$-1,100
3 wks$331,900+$500
Total Price Change$49k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$341,100 – $342,100+$4k to +$5k(API: $-4,500)
2 wks$346,200 – $348,400+$5k to +$6k(API: $-1,100)
3 wks$351,200 – $354,600+$5k to +$6k(API: +$500)
Total+$14k to +$18k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 17

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Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected63
Opp Avg Conceded63.3
Venue Avg71.1
Difficulty
Medium (#9)

Round 18

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Collingwood

Home

Marvel

Projected78
Opp Avg Conceded61.3
Venue Avg60.6
Difficulty
Easy (#5)

Round 19

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Melbourne

Away

Marvel

Projected64
Opp Avg Conceded53.6
Venue Avg60.6
Difficulty
Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 17 vs Port Adelaide
Away
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Darcy Byrne-Jones
DEF
Avg 80.2
vs PTA: 67.6 avg (10 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 70.4 / you 59.3
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Connor Rozee
DEF
Avg 80.0
vs PTA: 94.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 94.3 / you 64.7
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Todd Marshall
DEF
Avg 52.8
vs PTA: 60.6 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 60.6 / you 62.7
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Kane Farrell
DEF
Avg 88.6
vs PTA: 51.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 51.5 / you 50.3
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Aliir Aliir
DEF
Avg 83.3
vs PTA: 71.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 69.5 / you 52.3
avatarRound 18 vs Collingwood
Away
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Dan Houston
DEF
Avg 88.9
vs COL: 82.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 83.9 / you 62.4
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Brayden Maynard
DEF
Avg 84.4
vs COL: 87.1 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 86.0 / you 61.3
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Josh Daicos
DEF
Avg 94.9
vs COL: 83.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 81.3 / you 67.3
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Darcy Moore
DEF
Avg 33.5
vs COL: 87.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 93.0 / you 53.5
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Isaac Quaynor
DEF
Avg 76.7
vs COL: 88.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 88.4 / you 81.0
avatarRound 19 vs Melbourne
Home
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Trent Rivers
DEF
Avg 78.4
vs MEL: 71.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 71.6 / you 52.6
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Jake Lever
DEF
Avg 72.4
vs MEL: 68.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 69.6 / you 56.6
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Christian Salem
DEF
Avg 76.8
vs MEL: 73.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 78.3 / you 56.8
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Steven *** May
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs MEL: 75.8 avg (12 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 84.8 / you 51.2
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Steven May
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs MEL: 75.8 avg (12 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 84.8 / you 51.2

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
17
avatarPTA
A
62.053.7857.9(-4)-0.916.5
18
avatarCOL
A
61.385.1865.1(+4)-1.125.7
19
avatarMEL
H
53.647.6853.7(-8)-2.113.8
20
avatarSTK
H
58.561.9862.0(+1)-2.217.7
21
avatarHAW
A
55.575.4856.9(-5)-1.616.9
22
avatarWBD
A
68.476.0968.4(+7)+1.022.0
23
avatarGEE
H
47.945.9946.3(-15)-4.014.8
24
avatarSYD
A
61.060.2761.1(-0)-2.618.3

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

1.6%

-0.0%

Rank

2918.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

+0.3%

Trades In

8

0.0%

Trades Out

63

0.0%

Start %

95.2%

Bench %

4.8%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

1.53%-0.01%

2 July 6:20 am – 3 July 8:10 am

Settings

Player History