avatar

Nick Watson

avatarHAW#5FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 20
170cm
Right foot
Drafted 2023 (Pick 5)
Debut 2024
East Ringwood (Vic)/Eastern Ranges U18

Price

$387k

$-21kthis week

Average

82.2

+66.0L3 avg

Total Points

822

+10games

Breakeven

106

24 below avg

Ownership

4.0%

+79rank

Position Rank

97

-18change

Value

21.26

+17.07L3 value

Career Avg

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last Year Avg

64.9

+17.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

66.0

Prev: 69.7

5-Game Avg

74.4

Projected

68

Range: 57–79

Form Trend

Neutral
prev wk
ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 11.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (82.2)

BE1 (1-wk)10624 below
BE2 (2-wk)9917 below
BE3 (3-wk)7111 above

Price Projections

Next wk$370,100$-16,600
2 wks$361,500$-8,600
3 wks$357,400$-4,100
Total Price Change+$36k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$379,200 – $377,600$7k to $9k(API: $-16,600)
2 wks$376,900 – $374,700$2k to $3k(API: $-8,600)
3 wks$377,200 – $375,000+$0k to +$0k(API: $-4,100)
Total$9k to $12k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

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Adelaide

Away

UTAS

Projected68
Opp Avg Conceded65.3
Venue Avg82.0
Difficulty
Medium (#10)

Round 12

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St Kilda

Home

Marvel

Projected79
Opp Avg Conceded74.0
Venue Avg60.0
Difficulty
Easy (#2)

Round 13

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Western Bulldogs

Away

MCG

Projected62
Opp Avg Conceded53.5
Venue Avg71.4
Difficulty
Medium (#9)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 11 vs Adelaide
Home
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Mitchell Hinge
DEF
Avg 44.0
vs ADE: 68.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 49.7 / you 65.3
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Mark Keane
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs ADE: 72.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 72.3 / you 65.3
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Wayne Milera
DEF
Avg 100.3
vs ADE: 64.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 73.0 / you 66.5
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Josh Worrell
DEF
Avg 97.7
vs ADE: 99.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 99.0 / you 66.5
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Rory Laird
DEF
Avg 84.3
vs ADE: 104.3 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 116.5 / you 54.0
avatarRound 12 vs St Kilda
Away
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Jack Sinclair
DEF
Avg 114.3
vs STK: 84.6 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 77.5 / you 74.0
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Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera
DEF
Avg 103.3
vs STK: 105.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 134.0 / you 74.0
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Callum Wilkie
DEF
Avg 101.8
vs STK: 82.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 81.0 / you 74.0
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Marcus Windhager
DEF
Avg 83.1
vs STK: 59.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 82.0 / you 74.0
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Angus Hastie
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs STK: 31.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 31.0 / you 74.0
avatarRound 13 vs Western Bulldogs
Home
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Bailey Dale
DEF
Avg 99.5
vs WBD: 94.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 116.0 / you 26.0
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Bailey Williams
DEF
Avg 78.3
vs WBD: 63.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 76.0 / you 26.0
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James O'Donnell
DEF
Avg 60.5
vs WBD: 61.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 14.0 / you 26.0
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Lachlan Bramble
DEF
Avg 60.2
vs WBD: 63.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 26.0
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Buku Khamis
DEF
Avg 54.9
vs WBD: 56.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 54.0 / you 26.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
11
avatarADE
H
65.364.9363.5(-2)-1.116.9
12
avatarSTK
A
74.074.3274.0(+9)-2.219.1
13
avatarWBD
H
26.026.0126.0(-39)+1.16.7
14BYE
15
avatarGCS
A
68.068.0172.4(+7)+3.917.6
16
avatarGWS
H
85.589.4285.5(+20)-2.022.1
17
avatarMEL
H
49.050.3349.0(-16)-2.312.7
18
avatarCAR
A
78.379.0378.3(+13)+0.920.3
19
avatarRIC
A
75.773.9375.7(+11)+0.719.6
20
avatarESS
H
63.066.0270.4(+5)+1.116.3
21
avatarNTH
H
94.093.8292.8(+28)+5.924.3
22
avatarBRL
A
41.541.5241.5(-24)-0.810.7
23
avatarCOL
H
82.785.6375.1(+10)-1.021.4
24
avatarWCE
A
68.566.8267.6(+2)+6.117.7

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

4.0%

-0.1%

Rank

7282.0

1-wk Change

-0.1%

3-wk Change

+0.0%

Trades In

109

0.1%

Trades Out

271

0.1%

Start %

97.6%

Bench %

2.4%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

3.89%-0.01%

21 May 5:35 am – 22 May 8:22 am

Settings

Player History