avatar

Nick Watson

avatarHAW#5FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 20
170cm
Right foot
Drafted 2023 (Pick 5)
Debut 2024
East Ringwood (Vic)/Eastern Ranges U18

Price

$397k

Average

82.3

+70.3L3 avg

Total Points

1,234

+15games

Breakeven

114

32 below avg

Ownership

3.9%

+112rank

Position Rank

133

-21change

Value

20.75

+17.74L3 value

Career Avg

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last Year Avg

64.9

+17.4vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

70.3

Prev: 93.0

5-Game Avg

82.4

Projected

92

Range: 73–107

Form Trend

Neutral
prev wk
ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 17.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (82.3)

BE1 (1-wk)11432 below
BE2 (2-wk)864 below
BE3 (3-wk)5725 above

Price Projections

Next wk$386,000$-10,500
2 wks$386,300+$300
3 wks$405,900+$19,600
Total Price Change+$46k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$343,900 – $332,100$53k to $64k(API: $-10,500)
2 wks$339,700 – $326,900$4k to $5k(API: +$300)
3 wks$378,000 – $373,700+$38k to +$47k(API: +$19,600)
Total$18k to $23k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 19

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Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected90
Opp Avg Conceded75.7
Venue Avg71.4
Difficulty
Hard (#18)

Round 20

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Essendon

Away

MCG

Projected87
Opp Avg Conceded79.0
Venue Avg71.4
Difficulty
Hard (#17)

Round 21

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North Melbourne

Away

UTAS

Projected102
Opp Avg Conceded94.0
Venue Avg83.8
Difficulty
Medium (#8)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 19 vs Richmond
Away
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Jayden Short
DEF
Avg 93.5
vs RIC: 91.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 91.0 / you 75.7
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Ben Miller
DEF
Avg 74.2
vs RIC: 63.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 68.0 / you 75.7
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Nick Vlastuin
DEF
Avg 72.5
vs RIC: 86.2 avg (16 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 97.0 / you 75.7
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Noah Balta
DEF
Avg 67.2
vs RIC: 70.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.3 / you 75.7
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Nathan Broad
DEF
Avg 63.1
vs RIC: 76.3 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 64.0 / you 75.7
avatarRound 20 vs Essendon
Home
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Mason Redman
DEF
Avg 84.6
vs ESS: 74.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 83.5 / you 63.0
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Andrew McGrath
DEF
Avg 76.9
vs ESS: 92.2 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 102.5 / you 63.0
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Zach Reid
DEF
Avg 64.6
vs ESS: 33.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 30.0 / you 63.0
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Ben McKay
DEF
Avg 49.9
vs ESS: 49.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 56.5 / you 63.0
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Archie Roberts
DEF
Avg 104.5
vs ESS: 64.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 64.0 / you 100.0
avatarRound 21 vs North Melbourne
Home
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Colby McKercher
DEF
Avg 80.6
vs NTH: 75.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 96.0 / you 94.0
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Luke McDonald
DEF
Avg 69.6
vs NTH: 74.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 62.0 / you 94.0
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Cameron Zurhaar
DEF
Avg 66.1
vs NTH: 60.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 38.5 / you 94.0
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Toby Pink
DEF
Avg 58.8
vs NTH: 42.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 42.5 / you 94.0
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Luke Parker
DEF
Avg 107.5
vs NTH: 94.8 avg (20 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 107.0 / you 91.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
19
avatarRIC
A
75.773.9375.7(+11)+0.419.1
20
avatarESS
H
63.066.0270.4(+5)+1.015.9
21
avatarNTH
H
94.093.8293.4(+28)+5.823.7
22
avatarBRL
A
41.541.5241.5(-24)-0.710.5
23
avatarCOL
H
82.785.6375.1(+10)-0.920.8
24
avatarWCE
A
68.566.8267.6(+2)+6.417.3

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

3.9%

-0.1%

Rank

7235.0

1-wk Change

-0.1%

3-wk Change

-1.0%

Trades In

47

0.0%

Trades Out

170

0.1%

Start %

89.9%

Bench %

10.1%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

3.79%+0%

16 July 7:51 am – 17 July 12:32 am

Settings

Player History