avatar

Nick Watson

avatarHAW#5FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 20
170cm
Right foot
Drafted 2023 (Pick 5)
Debut 2024
East Ringwood (Vic)/Eastern Ranges U18

Price

$383k

Average

91.3

+91.3L3 avg

Total Points

274

+3games

Breakeven

30

61 above avg

Ownership

2.7%

+29rank

Position Rank

83

-54change

Value

23.85

+23.85L3 value

Career Avg

65.1

+26.2vs season

Last 3 Seasons

65.1

+26.2vs season

Last Year Avg

64.9

+26.5vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

91.3

Prev: 74.7

5-Game Avg

91.3

Projected

0

Range: 64–116

Form Trend

Hot
prev wk
ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 26.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (91.3)

BE1 (1-wk)3061 above
BE2 (2-wk)6724 above
BE3 (3-wk)847 above

Price Projections

Next wk$409,600+$26,600
2 wks$410,100+$500
3 wks$402,100$-8,000
Total Price Change+$32k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$367,900 – $364,500$15k to $18k(API: +$26,600)
2 wks$349,600 – $342,200$18k to $22k(API: +$500)
3 wks$362,700 – $358,200+$13k to +$16k(API: $-8,000)
Total$20k to $25k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

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Geelong

Away

MCG

Projected90
Opp Avg Conceded67.3
Venue Avg71.0
Difficulty
Medium (#11)

Round 5

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Western Bulldogs

Away

Adelaide

Projected68
Opp Avg Conceded26.0
Venue Avg57.5
Difficulty
Easy (#4)

Round 6

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Port Adelaide

Away

Marvel

Projected66
Opp Avg Conceded43.3
Venue Avg50.7
Difficulty
Medium (#8)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 4 vs Geelong
Home
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Tom Stewart
DEF
Avg 119.0
vs GEE: 91.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 92.7 / you 67.3
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Sam De Koning
DEF
Avg 63.7
vs GEE: 78.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 89.0 / you 67.3
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Zach Guthrie
DEF
Avg 61.7
vs GEE: 71.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 79.3 / you 67.3
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Jack Henry
DEF
Avg 71.0
vs GEE: 57.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 79.0 / you 59.5
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Lawson Humphries
DEF
Avg 71.0
vs GEE: 71.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 71.0 / you 65.0
avatarRound 5 vs Western Bulldogs
Home
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Bailey Williams
DEF
Avg 92.7
vs WBD: 63.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 76.0 / you 26.0
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Bailey Dale
DEF
Avg 65.0
vs WBD: 94.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 116.0 / you 26.0
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Oskar Baker
DEF
Avg 61.3
vs WBD: 41.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 35.0 / you 26.0
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Lachlan Bramble
DEF
Avg 59.7
vs WBD: 63.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 26.0
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Buku Khamis
DEF
Avg 55.3
vs WBD: 56.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 54.0 / you 26.0
avatarRound 6 vs Port Adelaide
Home
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Kane Farrell
DEF
Avg 99.0
vs PTA: 69.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 105.7 / you 43.3
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Jase Burgoyne
DEF
Avg 92.3
vs PTA: 80.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 80.0 / you 43.3
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Aliir Aliir
DEF
Avg 79.3
vs PTA: 66.7 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 68.7 / you 43.3
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Miles Bergman
DEF
Avg 50.5
vs PTA: 61.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 64.0 / you 43.3
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Josh Sinn
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs PTA: 34.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 43.0 / you 43.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
4
avatarGEE
H
67.372.2365.3(+0)-4.017.6
5
avatarWBD
H
26.026.0126.0(-39)+1.26.8
6
avatarPTA
H
43.343.8343.3(-22)-1.011.3
7
avatarGCS
H
68.068.0172.4(+7)+3.917.8
8
avatarCOL
A
82.785.6375.1(+10)-1.021.6
9
avatarFRE
A
64.062.5261.0(-4)-1.016.7
10
avatarMEL
A
49.050.3349.0(-16)-2.412.8
11
avatarADE
H
65.364.9363.5(-2)-1.117.1
12
avatarSTK
A
74.074.3275.0(+10)-2.119.3
13
avatarWBD
H
26.026.0126.0(-39)+1.26.8
14BYE
15
avatarGCS
A
68.068.0172.4(+7)+3.917.8
16
avatarGWS
H
85.589.4285.5(+20)-1.922.3
17
avatarMEL
H
49.050.3349.0(-16)-2.412.8
18
avatarCAR
A
78.379.0378.8(+14)+0.920.5
19
avatarRIC
A
75.773.9375.7(+11)+0.719.8
20
avatarESS
H
63.066.0270.4(+5)+1.016.4
21
avatarNTH
H
94.093.8292.8(+28)+5.924.5
22
avatarBRL
A
41.541.5241.5(-24)-0.810.8
23
avatarCOL
H
82.785.6375.1(+10)-1.021.6
24
avatarWCE
A
68.566.8267.6(+2)+6.017.9

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

2.7%

+0.4%

Rank

5506.0

1-wk Change

+0.4%

3-wk Change

+1.0%

Trades In

490

0.2%

Trades Out

21

0.0%

Start %

95.9%

Bench %

4.1%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

3.04%+0.12%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

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Player History