avatar

Nick Watson

avatarHAW#5FWD
Hamstring. Expected to be available for round 18.
Age 20
170cm
Right foot
Drafted 2023 (Pick 5)
Debut 2024
East Ringwood (Vic)/Eastern Ranges U18

Price

$397k

$-20kthis week

Average

82.3

+70.3L3 avg

Total Points

1,234

+15games

Breakeven

117

35 below avg

Ownership

4.8%

+88rank

Position Rank

82

+6change

Value

20.75

+17.74L3 value

Career Avg

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

65.1

+17.1vs season

Last Year Avg

64.9

+17.4vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

70.3

Prev: 84.0

5-Game Avg

82.4

Projected

91

Range: 53–87

Form Trend

Cold
prev wk
ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 17.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (82.3)

BE1 (1-wk)11735 below
BE2 (2-wk)10321 below
BE3 (3-wk)6616 above

Price Projections

Next wk$375,900$-20,600
2 wks$370,900$-5,000
3 wks$381,300+$10,400
Total Price Change+$46k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$387,200 – $385,200$9k to $11k(API: $-20,600)
2 wks$389,600 – $388,200+$2k to +$3k(API: $-5,000)
3 wks$404,400 – $406,200+$15k to +$18k(API: +$10,400)
Total+$8k to +$10k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 17

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Melbourne

Away

UTAS

Projected70
Opp Avg Conceded51.0
Venue Avg83.8
Difficulty
Hard (#15)

Round 18

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Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected92
Opp Avg Conceded78.3
Venue Avg71.4
Difficulty
Hard (#14)

Round 19

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Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected90
Opp Avg Conceded75.7
Venue Avg71.4
Difficulty
Hard (#18)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 17 vs Melbourne
Home
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Trent Rivers
DEF
Avg 78.4
vs MEL: 84.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 84.3 / you 49.0
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Christian Salem
DEF
Avg 76.8
vs MEL: 78.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 91.0 / you 49.0
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Tom McDonald
DEF
Avg 58.2
vs MEL: 78.9 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 42.3 / you 49.0
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Steven *** May
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs MEL: 80.1 avg (16 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.3 / you 49.0
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Steven May
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs MEL: 80.1 avg (16 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.3 / you 49.0
avatarRound 18 vs Carlton
Away
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Jacob Weitering
DEF
Avg 77.5
vs CAR: 78.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 66.7 / you 78.3
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Zac Williams
DEF
Avg 77.3
vs CAR: 77.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 59.3 / you 78.3
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Adam Saad
DEF
Avg 75.0
vs CAR: 82.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 76.7 / you 78.3
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Oliver Hollands
DEF
Avg 74.6
vs CAR: 66.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 66.3 / you 78.3
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Lachlan Cowan
DEF
Avg 66.9
vs CAR: 60.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 60.7 / you 78.3
avatarRound 19 vs Richmond
Away
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Jayden Short
DEF
Avg 94.9
vs RIC: 91.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 91.0 / you 75.7
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Ben Miller
DEF
Avg 77.1
vs RIC: 63.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 68.0 / you 75.7
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Nick Vlastuin
DEF
Avg 72.9
vs RIC: 86.2 avg (16 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 97.0 / you 75.7
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Noah Balta
DEF
Avg 64.6
vs RIC: 70.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 58.3 / you 75.7
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Nathan Broad
DEF
Avg 63.9
vs RIC: 76.3 avg (10 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 64.0 / you 75.7

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
17
avatarMEL
H
49.050.3349.0(-16)-2.112.4
18
avatarCAR
A
78.379.0378.3(+13)+0.619.8
19
avatarRIC
A
75.773.9375.7(+11)+0.519.1
20
avatarESS
H
63.066.0270.4(+5)+1.115.9
21
avatarNTH
H
94.093.8293.4(+28)+5.923.7
22
avatarBRL
A
41.541.5241.5(-24)-0.710.5
23
avatarCOL
H
82.785.6375.1(+10)-1.120.8
24
avatarWCE
A
68.566.8267.6(+2)+6.217.3

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

4.8%

-0.6%

Rank

8043.0

1-wk Change

-0.6%

3-wk Change

-0.3%

Trades In

37

0.0%

Trades Out

1,136

0.7%

Start %

77.4%

Bench %

22.6%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

4.23%-0.24%

2 July 6:20 am – 3 July 8:10 am

Settings

Player History