Paddy Dow

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4: BYE

Round 5

Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected42

Opp Avg Conceded49.2

Venue Avg68.0

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Round 6

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected55

Opp Avg Conceded64.3

Venue Avg68.0

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 5 vs Port Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Zak Butters

MID

Avg 118.3

vs PTA: 91.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 114.0 / you 38.0

Jason Horne-Francis

MID

Avg 90.0

vs PTA: 101.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 118.0 / you 38.0

Willem Drew

MID

Avg 90.0

vs PTA: 75.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 88.0 / you 38.0

Connor Rozee

MID

Avg 80.0

vs PTA: 78.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 103.0 / you 38.0

Jackson Mead

MID

Avg 54.0

vs PTA: 61.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 63.0 / you 38.0

Round 6 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Jordan Dawson

MID

Avg 97.0

vs ADE: 98.1 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Sam Berry

MID

Avg 95.7

vs ADE: 81.7 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Jake Soligo

MID

Avg 79.3

vs ADE: 91.0 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Brayden Cook

MID

Avg 78.0

vs ADE: 46.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

James Peatling

MID

Avg 74.7

vs ADE: 57.3 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Round 7 vs West Coast

Home

Marvel

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 90.3

vs WCE: 83.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 71.0 / you 73.0

Jack Graham

MID

Avg 78.7

vs WCE: 79.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 74.0 / you 109.0

Elliot Yeo

MID

Avg 74.3

vs WCE: 89.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 94.0 / you 73.0

Brady Hough

MID

Avg 56.3

vs WCE: 73.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 73.0

Tim Kelly

MID

Avg 104.5

vs WCE: 88.1 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
4	BYE
5	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	49.2	38.2	5	77	27	38.0(-18)	-2.7	19.8
6	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	64.3	65.0	3	88	31	—	+0.7	—
7	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	72.5	73.5	4	76	70	82.0(+26)	+3.9	45.4
8	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	61.0	61.0	1	61	61	63.4(+7)	-0.3	37.1
9	Gold CoastGCS	A	TIO	61.8	62.8	8	99	28	75.0(+19)	+2.4	41.2
10	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	59.4	71.0	5	109	27	109.0(+53)	+2.3	66.4
11	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	58.5	52.4	6	84	27	61.8(+6)	+0.3	30.5
12	HawthornHAW	H	Marvel	45.5	45.8	2	49	42	—	-1.6	—
13	SydneySYD	A	SCG	49.0	52.0	3	65	40	—	-0.7	—
14	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	52.5	51.6	6	66	11	71.0(+15)	-2.2	40.2
15	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Marvel	61.0	60.8	4	75	41	61.0(+5)	-3.8	—
16	BYE
17	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	41.0	30.7	4	71	16	76.0(+20)	+0.2	10.4
18	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	49.2	38.2	5	77	27	38.0(-18)	-2.7	19.8
19	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	55.3	49.7	4	72	47	47.0(-9)	-1.7	28.6
20	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	56.0	59.2	3	89	38	—	+3.4	—
21	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	49.0	52.0	3	65	40	—	-0.7	—
22	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	61.0	61.0	1	61	61	63.4(+7)	-0.3	37.1
23	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	59.4	71.0	5	109	27	109.0(+53)	+2.3	66.4
24	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	61.8	62.8	8	99	28	75.0(+19)	+2.4	41.2

Ownership & Trading

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm