Saad El-Hawli

ESS#41MID

Collarbone. Expected to be available for round 12.

Age 24

184cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 13)

Debut 2025

Altona/Northern Bullants (VFL)

Hot

Price

$289k

Average

63.0

+70.7L3 avg

Total Points

315

+5games

Breakeven

39 above avg

Ownership

0.3%

+384rank

Position Rank

400

-16change

Value

21.77

+24.42L3 value

Career Avg

43.4

+19.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

43.4

+19.6vs season

Last Year Avg

43.4

+19.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

70.7

Prev: 58.3

5-Game Avg

63.0

Projected

Range: 50–76

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 14.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (63.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	24	39 above
BE2 (2-wk)	59	4 above
BE3 (3-wk)	72	9 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$306,700	+$17,300
2 wks	$301,200	$-5,500
3 wks	$298,100	$-3,100

Total Price Change+$54k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$249,900 – $241,100	$39k to $48k	(API: +$17,300)
2 wks	$239,300 – $228,100	$11k to $13k	(API: $-5,500)
3 wks	$257,800 – $250,700	+$19k to +$23k	(API: $-3,100)

Total$32k to $39k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected63

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg68.5

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Round 12

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected47

Opp Avg Conceded4.0

Venue Avg4.0

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Round 13

Carlton

Away

MCG

Projected65

Opp Avg Conceded49.0

Venue Avg68.5

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Tim Taranto

MID

Avg 101.3

vs RIC: 96.9 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Jack Ross

MID

Avg 99.1

vs RIC: 94.4 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Sam Lalor

MID

Avg 81.4

vs RIC: 31.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Kane McAuliffe

MID

Avg 77.7

vs RIC: 86.0 avg (2 gm)No shared games

James Trezise

MID

Avg 70.3

vs RIC: 47.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Round 12 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Tim Kelly

MID

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 81.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 90.0 / you 4.0

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 91.6

vs WCE: 64.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 4.0

Jack Graham

MID

Avg 72.0

vs WCE: 80.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 4.0

Hamish Davis

MID

Avg 56.7

vs WCE: 37.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 37.0 / you 4.0

Brady Hough

MID

Avg 53.8

vs WCE: 57.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 4.0

Round 13 vs Carlton

Home

MCG

Sam Walsh

MID

Avg 98.7

vs CAR: 95.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 105.0 / you 49.0

Patrick Cripps

MID

Avg 93.9

vs CAR: 87.1 avg (13 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 112.0 / you 49.0

Oliver Florent

MID

Avg 89.5

vs CAR: 68.6 avg (14 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 53.0 / you 69.0

George Hewett

MID

Avg 86.7

vs CAR: 79.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 123.0 / you 49.0

Matthew Carroll

MID

Avg 68.0

vs CAR: 48.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 66.0 / you 49.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+2.3	—
12	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	4.0	4.0	1	4	4	4.0(-39)	+3.9	1.4
13	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	49.0	49.0	1	49	49	53.0(+10)	-0.3	16.9
14	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	67.0	67.0	1	67	67	64.2(+21)	+1.9	23.2
15	BYE
16	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	+3.4	—
17	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	53.0	53.0	1	53	53	48.8(+5)	-1.1	18.3
18	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.1	—
19	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	67.0(+24)	-2.2	—
20	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.6	—
21	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.7	—
22	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.7	—
23	SydneySYD	H	MCG	69.0	69.0	1	69	69	69.0(+26)	-0.7	23.8
24	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	16.0	16.0	1	16	16	16.0(-27)	-2.7	5.5