Sam Darcy

WBD#10FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 22

208cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 2)

Debut 2022

Glen Iris (Vic)/Scotch College (Vic)/Oakleigh U18

Price

$483k

Average

73.7

+73.7L3 avg

Total Points

221

+3games

Breakeven

125

51 below avg

Ownership

9.8%

+84rank

Position Rank

191

-107change

Value

15.25

+15.25L3 value

Career Avg

79.9

-6.2vs season

Last 3 Seasons

81.7

-8.1vs season

Last Year Avg

95.6

-22.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

73.7

Prev: 77.0

5-Game Avg

73.7

Projected

Range: 71–103

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 16.6

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (73.7)

BE1 (1-wk)	125	51 below
BE2 (2-wk)	127	53 below
BE3 (3-wk)	105	31 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$466,100	$-17,000
2 wks	$439,400	$-26,700
3 wks	$426,800	$-12,600

Total Price Change$34k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$434,500 – $423,700	$49k to $59k	(API: $-17,000)
2 wks	$400,500 – $382,100	$34k to $42k	(API: $-26,700)
3 wks	$406,200 – $389,000	+$6k to +$7k	(API: $-12,600)

Total$77k to $94k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

Essendon

Away

Marvel

Projected87

Opp Avg Conceded116.0

Venue Avg80.2

Difficulty

Hard (#18)

Round 5

Hawthorn

Home

Adelaide

Projected67

Opp Avg Conceded55.5

Venue Avg68.3

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Round 6

Geelong

Home

GMHBA

Projected77

Opp Avg Conceded87.5

Venue Avg91.0

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 4 vs Essendon

Home

Marvel

Andrew McGrath

DEF

Avg 82.0

vs ESS: 76.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 89.0 / you 116.0

Mason Redman

DEF

Avg 74.0

vs ESS: 89.1 avg (8 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 105.0 / you 116.0

Archie Roberts

DEF

Avg 85.0

vs ESS: 83.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 73.0 / you 150.0

Jaxon Prior

DEF

Avg 78.0

vs ESS: 70.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 78.0 / you 150.0

Lachlan Blakiston

DEF

Avg 62.3

vs ESS: 53.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 53.0 / you 150.0

Round 5 vs Hawthorn

Away

Adelaide

James Sicily

DEF

Avg 108.0

vs HAW: 103.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 121.5 / you 55.5

Josh Battle

DEF

Avg 81.0

vs HAW: 59.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 55.5 / you 32.5

Blake Hardwick

DEF

Avg 77.0

vs HAW: 82.1 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 109.5 / you 55.5

Jack Scrimshaw

DEF

Avg 69.3

vs HAW: 73.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 85.5 / you 55.5

Josh Weddle

DEF

Avg 77.0

vs HAW: 76.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 80.0 / you 49.0

Round 6 vs Geelong

Away

GMHBA

Tom Stewart

DEF

Avg 119.0

vs GEE: 99.6 avg (13 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 99.0 / you 87.5

Jack Henry

DEF

Avg 71.0

vs GEE: 60.7 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 64.0 / you 87.5

Sam De Koning

DEF

Avg 63.7

vs GEE: 68.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 85.0 / you 87.5

Zach Guthrie

DEF

Avg 61.7

vs GEE: 87.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 102.5 / you 87.5

Jake Kolodjashnij

DEF

Avg 0.0

vs GEE: 52.9 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 66.5 / you 87.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
4	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	116.0	118.8	2	150	82	136.4(+57)	+1.0	24.0
5	HawthornHAW	A	Adelaide	55.5	55.0	2	62	49	49.6(-30)	-1.5	10.1
6	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	87.5	87.5	2	91	84	87.5(+8)	-4.0	18.1
7	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	45.0	48.7	4	73	14	45.2(-35)	-2.7	9.3
8	FremantleFRE	H	Marvel	81.5	80.0	4	141	42	81.1(+1)	-1.0	19.6
9	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	50.0	50.0	1	50	50	50.0(-30)	-1.0	10.3
10	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	112.0	113.1	2	125	99	107.2(+27)	+0.9	23.2
11	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	68.7	73.4	3	94	28	70.2(-10)	-2.4	14.2
12	CollingwoodCOL	H	Marvel	99.0	100.5	2	117	81	93.3(+13)	-1.0	20.5
13	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	55.5	55.0	2	62	49	49.6(-30)	-1.5	10.1
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	78.5	78.5	2	79	78	78.5(-1)	-1.1	16.2
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	47.3	45.6	4	108	16	47.3(-33)	-2.1	9.8
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	45.0	48.7	4	73	14	45.2(-35)	-2.7	9.3
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	68.5	69.7	2	83	54	71.4(-8)	+6.0	14.2
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	109.0	109.0	1	109	109	104.2(+24)	+3.9	22.6
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	128.5	129.8	2	144	113	128.5(+49)	+0.7	26.6
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	81.5	80.0	4	141	42	81.1(+1)	-1.0	19.6
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	91.5	90.1	4	146	71	91.0(+11)	+5.9	18.9
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	112.0	113.1	2	125	99	107.2(+27)	+0.9	23.2
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	68.7	73.4	3	94	28	70.2(-10)	-2.4	14.2

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

9.8%

+0.3%

Rank

18183.0

1-wk Change

+0.3%

3-wk Change

-0.1%

Trades In

710

0.3%

Trades Out

251

0.1%

Start %

96.5%

Bench %

3.5%

Captain %

0.1%

Vice-Captain %

0.1%

Selection Trends

10.06%+0.15%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
3
2 Adelaide
1 GWS Giants
0 Brisbane