Sam Davidson

WBD#42MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

191cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 51)

Debut 2025

East Brighton JFC/Richmond VFL

Price

$319k

Average

46.7

+46.7L3 avg

Total Points

140

+3games

Breakeven

52 below avg

Ownership

0.3%

+243rank

Position Rank

345

-102change

Value

14.61

+14.61L3 value

Career Avg

63.9

-17.2vs season

Last 3 Seasons

63.9

-17.2vs season

Last Year Avg

63.9

-17.2vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

46.7

Prev: 50.0

5-Game Avg

46.7

Projected

Range: 28–74

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 23.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (46.7)

BE1 (1-wk)	99	52 below
BE2 (2-wk)	89	42 below
BE3 (3-wk)	69	22 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$298,300	$-21,100
2 wks	$278,300	$-20,000
3 wks	$272,000	$-6,300

Total Price Change$26k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$282,900 – $274,700	$36k to $45k	(API: $-21,100)
2 wks	$258,700 – $245,100	$24k to $30k	(API: $-20,000)
3 wks	$262,900 – $250,300	+$4k to +$5k	(API: $-6,300)

Total$56k to $69k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

Essendon

Away

Marvel

Projected51

Opp Avg Conceded58.0

Venue Avg70.9

Difficulty

Hard (#18)

Round 5

Hawthorn

Home

Adelaide

Projected44

Opp Avg Conceded29.0

Venue Avg36.0

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 6

Geelong

Home

GMHBA

Projected55

Opp Avg Conceded77.0

Venue Avg77.0

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 4 vs Essendon

Home

Marvel

Zach Merrett

MID

Avg 111.0

vs ESS: 89.4 avg (14 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 65.0 / you 58.0

Jye Caldwell

MID

Avg 93.3

vs ESS: 58.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 40.0 / you 58.0

Sam Durham

MID

Avg 78.7

vs ESS: 78.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 87.0 / you 58.0

Saad El-Hawli

MID

Avg 58.0

vs ESS: 50.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 47.0 / you 58.0

Brayden Fiorini

MID

Avg 57.5

vs ESS: 76.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 57.0 / you 55.0

Round 5 vs Hawthorn

Away

Adelaide

Jai Newcombe

MID

Avg 90.0

vs HAW: 102.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 114.0 / you 29.0

Conor Nash

MID

Avg 84.3

vs HAW: 70.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 100.0 / you 29.0

Josh Ward

MID

Avg 80.7

vs HAW: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 117.0 / you 29.0

Massimo D'Ambrosio

MID

Avg 60.3

vs HAW: 51.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 58.0 / you 29.0

Sam Butler

MID

Avg 51.7

vs HAW: 39.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 29.0

Round 6 vs Geelong

Away

GMHBA

Max Holmes

MID

Avg 121.7

vs GEE: 93.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 128.0 / you 77.0

Bailey Smith

MID

Avg 119.0

vs GEE: 118.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 118.0 / you 77.0

Tom Atkins

MID

Avg 89.3

vs GEE: 75.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 84.0 / you 77.0

Oliver Dempsey

MID

Avg 82.3

vs GEE: 67.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 77.0

James Worpel

MID

Avg 78.0

vs GEE: 84.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 40.0 / you 29.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
4	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	58.0	58.0	1	58	58	57.4(-6)	+0.2	18.2
5	HawthornHAW	A	Adelaide	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	29.0(-35)	-1.6	9.1
6	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	77.0	77.0	1	77	77	67.4(+4)	-1.7	24.1
7	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	43.0	43.0	1	43	43	43.0(-21)	-0.7	13.5
8	FremantleFRE	H	Marvel	55.5	55.5	2	57	54	55.5(-8)	+0.3	17.4
9	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	46.0	46.0	1	46	46	46.0(-18)	-2.7	14.4
10	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	129.0	129.0	1	129	129	106.8(+43)	-0.3	40.4
11	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	74.0(+10)	+1.9	—
12	CollingwoodCOL	H	Marvel	72.0	72.0	1	72	72	72.0(+8)	-0.8	22.5
13	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	29.0(-35)	-1.6	9.1
14	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	53.0	53.0	1	53	53	53.0(-11)	+0.7	16.6
15	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	74.0	74.0	2	82	66	75.6(+12)	-1.1	23.2
16	BYE
17	SydneySYD	A	SCG	43.0	43.0	1	43	43	43.0(-21)	-0.7	13.5
18	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	104.0	104.0	1	104	104	104.0(+40)	+3.9	32.6
19	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	55.0	55.0	1	55	55	55.0(-9)	+2.4	17.2
20	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	109.0	109.0	1	109	109	109.0(+45)	+2.3	34.1
21	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	55.5	55.5	2	57	54	55.5(-8)	+0.3	17.4
22	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	39.0	39.0	1	39	39	39.0(-25)	+3.4	12.2
23	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	129.0	129.0	1	129	129	106.8(+43)	-0.3	40.4
24	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	74.0(+10)	+1.9	—

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.3%

-0.0%

Rank

507.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.0%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

78.7%

Bench %

21.3%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.28%+0%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
3
2 Adelaide
1 GWS Giants
0 Brisbane