Sam De Koning

GEE#16DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

204cm

Right foot

Drafted 2019 (Pick 19)

Debut 2021

Mornington (Vic)/Dandenong U18

Cold

Price

$311k

$-15kthis week

Average

61.1

+54.3L3 avg

Total Points

550

+9games

Breakeven

24 below avg

Ownership

0.9%

+279rank

Position Rank

279

Value

19.63

+17.45L3 value

Career Avg

65.0

-3.9vs season

Last 3 Seasons

65.3

-4.2vs season

Last Year Avg

67.2

-6.1vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

54.3

Prev: 58.0

5-Game Avg

59.8

Projected

Range: 46–64

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 9.2

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (61.1)

BE1 (1-wk)	85	24 below
BE2 (2-wk)	70	9 below
BE3 (3-wk)	60	1 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$298,000	$-13,300
2 wks	$294,900	$-3,100
3 wks	$293,000	$-1,900

Total Price Change$52k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$305,400 – $304,000	$6k to $7k	(API: $-13,300)
2 wks	$307,100 – $306,100	+$2k to +$2k	(API: $-3,100)
3 wks	$308,700 – $308,100	+$2k to +$2k	(API: $-1,900)

Total$3k to $3k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Sydney

Away

GMHBA

Projected55

Opp Avg Conceded62.0

Venue Avg66.5

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 12

Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected63

Opp Avg Conceded71.6

Venue Avg64.7

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 13

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected56

Opp Avg Conceded62.8

Venue Avg62.1

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Sydney

Home

GMHBA

Charlie Curnow

FWD

Avg 58.9

vs SYD: 93.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 99.0 / you 71.6

Hayden McLean

FWD

Avg 95.0

vs SYD: 57.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 50.0 / you 62.0

Tom Papley

FWD

Avg 77.5

vs SYD: 72.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 77.0 / you 62.0

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 66.2

vs SYD: 45.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 50.8 / you 69.8

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs SYD: 90.4 avg (16 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 85.3 / you 62.0

Round 12 vs Carlton

Away

MCG

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 70.3

vs CAR: 60.5 avg (10 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 77.6 / you 71.6

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 64.6

vs CAR: 63.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 54.0 / you 62.0

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 68.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 51.7 / you 78.0

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs CAR: 63.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 46.7 / you 57.0

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 66.3

vs CAR: 60.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 79.0 / you 86.7

Round 13 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Alex Neal-Bullen

FWD

Avg 70.2

vs ADE: 69.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 67.8 / you 75.8

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 68.4

vs ADE: 70.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 80.0 / you 56.8

Darcy Fogarty

FWD

Avg 57.3

vs ADE: 65.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 75.3 / you 56.8

Callum Ah Chee

FWD

Avg 45.0

vs ADE: 62.7 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 75.8 / you 64.3

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 88.2

vs ADE: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 83.3 / you 57.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	62.0	63.4	4	89	34	65.5(+1)	-1.9	19.9
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	71.6	70.1	5	135	27	71.1(+6)	-0.2	23.0
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	56.8	58.5	4	75	35	62.2(-3)	+1.0	16.3
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	57.0	57.4	3	61	55	66.3(+1)	+3.1	18.6
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	90.7	92.9	3	109	77	86.0(+21)	+0.4	31.3
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	64.3	62.7	4	82	50	63.8(-1)	-1.6	20.9
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	78.0	81.3	4	117	49	76.6(+12)	-1.3	24.6
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	60.5	56.3	6	75	35	60.2(-5)	+1.6	18.3
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	84.5	89.2	4	92	72	84.5(+20)	+0.9	28.5
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	60.8	67.9	5	84	37	66.5(+2)	-1.2	20.4
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	49.2	52.5	6	67	32	50.1(-15)	+0.3	16.5
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	44.5	41.5	6	66	27	46.3(-19)	-0.5	14.0
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	75.3	72.3	3	100	57	69.2(+4)	+3.2	20.2