Sam Durham

ESS#22MID/FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

185cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 9)

Debut 2021

Seymour (Vic)/Murray U18/Richmond (VFL)

Hot

Price

$404k

$15kthis week

Average

76.3

+89.3L3 avg

Total Points

763

+10games

Breakeven

2 below avg

Ownership

2.1%

+120rank

Position Rank

130

-10change

Value

18.91

+22.14L3 value

Career Avg

76.2

+0.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

81.4

-5.1vs season

Last Year Avg

90.3

-14.0vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

89.3

Prev: 82.3

5-Game Avg

78.4

Projected

Range: 70–114

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 22.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (76.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	78	2 below
BE2 (2-wk)	96	20 below
BE3 (3-wk)	77	1 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$409,800	+$6,300
2 wks	$399,800	$-10,000
3 wks	$402,100	+$2,300

Total Price Change$85k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$417,500 – $420,600	+$14k to +$17k	(API: +$6,300)
2 wks	$414,500 – $417,000	$3k to $4k	(API: $-10,000)
3 wks	$421,300 – $425,300	+$7k to +$8k	(API: +$2,300)

Total+$18k to +$22k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected92

Opp Avg Conceded90.2

Venue Avg78.3

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Round 12

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected73

Opp Avg Conceded70.5

Venue Avg60.8

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Round 13

Carlton

Away

MCG

Projected82

Opp Avg Conceded73.8

Venue Avg78.3

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Jack Ross

MID

Avg 99.1

vs RIC: 94.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 94.4 / you 83.8

Dion Prestia

MID

Avg 69.7

vs RIC: 88.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 82.2 / you 83.8

Tim Taranto

MID

Avg 101.3

vs RIC: 96.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 102.3 / you 95.3

Jacob Hopper

MID

Avg 62.9

vs RIC: 90.1 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 83.3 / you 90.5

Tyler Sonsie

MID

Avg 66.5

vs RIC: 45.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 45.7 / you 78.7

Round 12 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Brady Hough

MID

Avg 53.8

vs WCE: 57.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 57.0 / you 70.5

Tim Kelly

MID

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 81.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 95.8 / you 65.6

Elliot Yeo

MID

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 88.6 avg (12 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 98.4 / you 68.4

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 91.6

vs WCE: 64.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 64.5 / you 87.0

Jack Graham

MID

Avg 72.0

vs WCE: 80.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 73.5 / you 94.0

Round 13 vs Carlton

Home

MCG

Oliver Florent

MID

Avg 89.5

vs CAR: 68.6 avg (14 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 68.1 / you 61.8

Sam Walsh

MID

Avg 98.7

vs CAR: 95.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 91.3 / you 73.8

Patrick Cripps

MID

Avg 93.9

vs CAR: 87.1 avg (13 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 80.5 / you 73.8

George Hewett

MID

Avg 86.7

vs CAR: 79.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 96.3 / you 60.3

Blake Acres

MID

Avg 0.0

vs CAR: 63.9 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 76.8 / you 77.8

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	90.2	109.5	6	122	35	86.4(+10)	+2.3	26.6
12	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	70.5	78.9	6	95	42	77.1(+1)	+3.9	18.9
13	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	73.8	86.4	4	90	35	69.5(-7)	-0.3	21.5
14	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	79.0	86.9	4	105	62	79.1(+3)	+1.9	21.0
15	BYE
16	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	74.5	88.6	6	120	49	73.2(-3)	+3.4	19.9
17	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	76.2	83.5	5	112	39	78.8(+3)	-1.1	18.9
18	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	58.4	57.4	5	86	39	57.5(-19)	-0.1	14.0
19	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	68.8	70.0	6	99	42	70.8(-5)	-2.2	15.6
20	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	96.3	95.1	3	108	89	95.2(+19)	-1.6	23.9
21	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	86.4	86.3	5	109	70	79.4(+3)	+0.7	22.4
22	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	72.3	79.8	4	89	47	71.7(-5)	-1.7	17.9
23	SydneySYD	H	MCG	61.8	74.4	8	95	28	62.0(-14)	-0.7	18.6
24	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	84.3	87.7	4	109	60	82.8(+7)	-2.7	22.1