Sam Durham

ESS#22MID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 24

185cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 9)

Debut 2021

Seymour (Vic)/Murray U18/Richmond (VFL)

Price

$466k

$-23kthis week

Average

78.7

+78.7L3 avg

Total Points

236

+3games

Breakeven

140

61 below avg

Ownership

1.2%

+158rank

Position Rank

155

+3change

Value

16.90

+16.90L3 value

Career Avg

76.2

+2.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

81.4

-2.8vs season

Last Year Avg

90.3

-11.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

78.7

Prev: 89.3

5-Game Avg

78.7

Projected

Range: 71–107

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 18.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (78.7)

BE1 (1-wk)	140	61 below
BE2 (2-wk)	113	34 below
BE3 (3-wk)	74	5 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$443,000	$-22,600
2 wks	$434,800	$-8,200
3 wks	$439,900	+$5,100

Total Price Change$23k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$451,700 – $448,700	$14k to $17k	(API: $-22,600)
2 wks	$449,000 – $445,400	$3k to $3k	(API: $-8,200)
3 wks	$457,100 – $455,300	+$8k to +$10k	(API: +$5,100)

Total$8k to $10k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

Western Bulldogs

Home

Marvel

Projected89

Opp Avg Conceded78.0

Venue Avg77.1

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 5

Melbourne

Away

Adelaide

Projected94

Opp Avg Conceded79.0

Venue Avg89.8

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 6

Gold Coast

Home

People First

Projected85

Opp Avg Conceded88.6

Venue Avg72.5

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 4 vs Western Bulldogs

Away

Marvel

Marcus Bontempelli

MID

Avg 138.0

vs WBD: 108.8 avg (14 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 124.3 / you 78.0

Ed Richards

MID

Avg 108.7

vs WBD: 78.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 85.8 / you 78.0

Tom Liberatore

MID

Avg 105.7

vs WBD: 101.9 avg (14 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 107.3 / you 78.0

Bailey Williams

MID

Avg 92.7

vs WBD: 74.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 64.3 / you 78.0

Matthew Kennedy

MID

Avg 98.7

vs WBD: 69.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 79.4 / you 77.2

Round 5 vs Melbourne

Home

Adelaide

Kysaiah Pickett

MID

Avg 98.3

vs MEL: 57.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 66.5 / you 79.0

Ed Langdon

MID

Avg 72.0

vs MEL: 83.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 106.0 / you 79.0

Jack Viney

MID

Avg 0.0

vs MEL: 76.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 84.3 / you 79.0

Jack Steele

MID

Avg 103.7

vs MEL: 110.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 125.0 / you 79.7

Xavier Lindsay

MID

Avg 69.7

vs MEL: 48.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 48.0 / you 105.0

Round 6 vs Gold Coast

Away

People First

Noah Anderson

MID

Avg 109.3

vs GCS: 110.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 115.9 / you 88.6

Matt Rowell

MID

Avg 0.0

vs GCS: 99.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 99.9 / you 88.6

Touk Miller

MID

Avg 113.0

vs GCS: 97.1 avg (13 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 105.0 / you 86.5

Bailey Humphrey

MID

Avg 85.0

vs GCS: 65.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 65.0 / you 93.3

Lachie Weller

MID

Avg 63.3

vs GCS: 72.4 avg (10 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 66.8 / you 90.3

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
4	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	78.0	87.3	6	101	55	77.8(+2)	-3.8	18.5
5	MelbourneMEL	H	Adelaide	79.0	86.9	4	105	62	84.3(+8)	+1.9	18.2
6	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	88.6	90.5	7	104	70	89.4(+13)	+2.4	19.6
7	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	77.5	85.0	8	108	32	79.1(+3)	-0.8	16.7
8	BrisbaneBRL	H	Marvel	58.4	57.4	5	86	39	57.5(-19)	-0.1	12.2
9	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	68.8	70.0	6	99	42	71.2(-5)	-2.2	13.5
10	FremantleFRE	H	MCG	68.3	72.2	3	109	45	73.4(-3)	+0.3	16.5
11	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	90.2	109.5	6	122	35	86.4(+10)	+2.3	23.1
12	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	70.5	78.9	6	95	42	77.1(+1)	+3.9	16.4
13	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	73.8	86.4	4	90	35	69.5(-7)	-0.3	18.6
14	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	79.0	86.9	4	105	62	84.3(+8)	+1.9	18.2
15	BYE
16	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	74.5	88.6	6	120	49	73.2(-3)	+3.4	17.2
17	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	76.2	83.5	5	112	39	79.6(+3)	-1.1	16.4
18	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	58.4	57.4	5	86	39	57.5(-19)	-0.1	12.2
19	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	68.8	70.0	6	99	42	71.2(-5)	-2.2	13.5
20	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	96.3	95.1	3	108	89	95.2(+19)	-1.6	20.7
21	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	86.4	86.3	5	109	70	80.2(+4)	+0.7	19.4
22	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	72.3	79.8	4	89	47	71.7(-5)	-1.7	15.5
23	SydneySYD	H	MCG	61.8	74.4	8	95	28	62.0(-14)	-0.7	16.1
24	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	84.3	87.7	4	109	60	81.6(+5)	-2.7	19.1

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

1.2%

-0.2%

Rank

1904.0

1-wk Change

-0.2%

3-wk Change

-0.1%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

297

0.1%

Start %

97.6%

Bench %

2.4%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

1.05%-0.01%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
3 North Melbourne
2 Port Adelaide
1 Hawthorn
0