Tom Brown

RIC#30DEF

Arm. Subject to fitness test.

Age 22

193cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 17)

Debut 2023

Mooroopna (Vic)/Geelong Grammar (Vic)/Murray U18

Hot

Price

$370k

Average

59.3

+78.3L3 avg

Total Points

415

+7games

Breakeven

110

51 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+363rank

Position Rank

374

-11change

Value

16.03

+21.18L3 value

Career Avg

60.7

-1.5vs season

Last 3 Seasons

60.7

-1.5vs season

Last Year Avg

64.0

-4.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

78.3

Prev: 45.0

5-Game Avg

69.4

Projected

Range: 0–0

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 41.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	110	51 below
BE2 (2-wk)	110	51 below
BE3 (3-wk)	145	86 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$369,900	+$0
2 wks	$350,200	$-19,700
3 wks	$317,300	$-32,900

Total Price Change+$23k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$286,700 – $268,100	$83k to $102k	(API: +$0)
2 wks	$250,700 – $224,100	$36k to $44k	(API: $-19,700)
3 wks	$252,100 – $225,800	+$1k to +$2k	(API: $-32,900)

Total$118k to $144k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 13: BYE

Round 14

Brisbane

Away

Ninja

Projected65

Opp Avg Conceded54.0

Venue Avg67.0

Difficulty

Easy (#2)

Round 15

North Melbourne

Away

MCG

Projected70

Opp Avg Conceded53.7

Venue Avg59.9

Difficulty

Easy (#1)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 14 vs Brisbane

Home

Ninja

Charlie Cameron

FWD

Avg 74.8

vs BRL: 60.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 61.5 / you 54.0

Cam Rayner

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs BRL: 70.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 88.5 / you 54.0

Logan Morris

FWD

Avg 67.5

vs BRL: 74.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 74.0 / you 54.0

Eric Hipwood

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs BRL: 54.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 45.5 / you 54.0

Zac Bailey

FWD

Avg 95.7

vs BRL: 57.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 68.0

Round 15 vs North Melbourne

Home

MCG

Harry Sheezel

FWD

Avg 115.7

vs NTH: 125.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 122.3 / you 53.7

Jy Simpkin

FWD

Avg 82.5

vs NTH: 87.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 79.0 / you 53.7

Colby McKercher

FWD

Avg 80.5

vs NTH: 111.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 111.7 / you 53.7

Cameron Zurhaar

FWD

Avg 71.1

vs NTH: 81.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 55.3 / you 53.7

Jack Darling

FWD

Avg 68.6

vs NTH: 79.7 avg (18 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 84.7 / you 53.7

Round 16 vs Collingwood

Away

MCG

Lachie Schultz

FWD

Avg 76.4

vs COL: 67.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 73.5 / you 44.0

Patrick Lipinski

FWD

Avg 72.1

vs COL: 55.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 44.5 / you 44.0

Ned Long

FWD

Avg 66.8

vs COL: 53.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 73.5 / you 44.0

Jamie Elliott

FWD

Avg 60.5

vs COL: 67.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 70.5 / you 44.0

Tim Membrey

FWD

Avg 56.3

vs COL: 77.2 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 72.0 / you 64.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
13	BYE
14	BrisbaneBRL	H	Ninja	54.0	55.1	2	68	40	56.8(-4)	-1.6	14.6
15	North MelbourneNTH	H	MCG	53.7	49.0	3	67	29	53.7(-7)	-0.4	14.5
16	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	44.0	43.2	2	54	34	48.1(-13)	-1.3	11.9
17	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	62.0	63.8	2	84	40	61.1(+0)	-0.2	16.8
18	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	33.5	31.8	2	55	12	32.0(-29)	+0.8	9.1
19	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	63.5	64.4	2	75	52	63.5(+3)	+0.4	17.2
20	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	70.0	69.5	2	76	64	65.9(+5)	-0.8	18.9
21	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	64.0	57.4	3	97	29	64.7(+4)	+0.5	17.3
22	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	61.5	60.4	2	75	48	59.5(-1)	+0.9	16.6
23	St KildaSTK	H	MCG	72.0	76.4	3	95	44	72.0(+11)	+1.6	19.5
24	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	67.7	68.1	3	75	58	66.7(+6)	-2.4	18.3