Tom Brown

RIC#30DEF

Arm. Expected to be available for round 14 - 15.

Age 22

193cm

Right foot

Drafted 2021 (Pick 17)

Debut 2023

Mooroopna (Vic)/Geelong Grammar (Vic)/Murray U18

Hot

Price

$370k

Average

59.3

+78.3L3 avg

Total Points

415

+7games

Breakeven

106

47 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+328rank

Position Rank

341

-13change

Value

16.03

+21.18L3 value

Career Avg

60.7

-1.5vs season

Last 3 Seasons

60.7

-1.5vs season

Last Year Avg

64.0

-4.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Hot

3-Game Avg

78.3

Prev: 50.3

5-Game Avg

69.4

Projected

Range: 36–118

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 41.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (59.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	106	47 below
BE2 (2-wk)	133	74 below
BE3 (3-wk)	49	10 above

Price Projections

Next wk	$357,400	$-12,500
2 wks	$331,400	$-26,000
3 wks	$331,400	+$0

Total Price Change+$23k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$320,400 – $309,400	$49k to $60k	(API: $-12,500)
2 wks	$310,900 – $297,700	$9k to $12k	(API: $-26,000)
3 wks	$303,700 – $288,900	$7k to $9k	(API: +$0)

Total$66k to $81k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Essendon

Away

MCG

Projected77

Opp Avg Conceded73.7

Venue Avg59.9

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Round 12

Sydney

Home

SCG

Projected74

Opp Avg Conceded68.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 13: BYE

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Essendon

Home

MCG

Peter Wright

FWD

Avg 86.9

vs ESS: 71.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 77.0 / you 73.7

Sam Durham

FWD

Avg 76.3

vs ESS: 90.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 107.7 / you 73.7

Nate Caddy

FWD

Avg 59.6

vs ESS: 34.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 34.0 / you 73.7

Nic Martin

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs ESS: 77.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 91.7 / you 73.7

Kyle Langford

FWD

Avg 63.4

vs ESS: 71.3 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 69.0 / you 66.0

Round 12 vs Sydney

Away

SCG

Justin McInerney

FWD

Avg 99.2

vs SYD: 68.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 84.0 / you 68.0

Hayden McLean

FWD

Avg 95.0

vs SYD: 57.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 56.5 / you 68.0

Chad Warner

FWD

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 80.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 80.5 / you 68.0

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 66.2

vs SYD: 69.8 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 72.5 / you 68.0

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs SYD: 92.3 avg (15 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 94.0 / you 68.0

Round 14 vs Brisbane

Home

Ninja

Charlie Cameron

FWD

Avg 76.6

vs BRL: 60.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 61.5 / you 54.0

Logan Morris

FWD

Avg 76.2

vs BRL: 74.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 74.0 / you 54.0

Cam Rayner

FWD

Avg 70.8

vs BRL: 70.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 88.5 / you 54.0

Eric Hipwood

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs BRL: 54.0 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 45.5 / you 54.0

Zac Bailey

FWD

Avg 94.7

vs BRL: 57.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 70.0 / you 68.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	EssendonESS	H	MCG	73.7	69.9	3	89	54	72.1(+11)	+0.3	19.9
12	SydneySYD	A	SCG	68.0	68.6	2	76	60	68.0(+7)	-1.9	18.4
13	BYE
14	BrisbaneBRL	H	Ninja	54.0	55.1	2	68	40	56.8(-4)	-1.6	14.6
15	North MelbourneNTH	H	MCG	53.7	49.0	3	67	29	53.7(-7)	-0.5	14.5
16	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	44.0	43.2	2	54	34	48.1(-13)	-1.2	11.9
17	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	62.0	63.8	2	84	40	60.0(-1)	-0.2	16.8
18	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	33.5	31.8	2	55	12	33.5(-27)	+0.9	9.1
19	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	63.5	64.4	2	75	52	63.5(+3)	+0.6	17.2
20	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	70.0	69.5	2	76	64	65.9(+5)	-0.7	18.9
21	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	64.0	57.4	3	97	29	64.7(+4)	+0.5	17.3
22	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	61.5	60.4	2	75	48	58.0(-3)	+1.0	16.6
23	St KildaSTK	H	MCG	72.0	76.4	3	95	44	72.0(+11)	+1.6	19.5
24	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	67.7	68.1	3	75	58	66.7(+6)	-2.5	18.3