avatar

Tom Papley

avatarSYD#11FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 29
177cm
Right foot
Drafted 2016
Debut 2016
Bunyip (Vic)/Gippsland U18

Price

$339k

Average

54.3

+54.3L3 avg

Total Points

163

+3games

Breakeven

83

29 below avg

Ownership

0.3%

+187rank

Position Rank

296

-109change

Value

16.05

+16.05L3 value

Career Avg

74.5

-20.2vs season

Last 3 Seasons

73.8

-19.5vs season

Last Year Avg

66.1

-11.8vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

54.3

Prev: 85.7

5-Game Avg

54.3

Projected

0

Range: 67–145

Form Trend

Hot
prev wk
ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 40.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (54.3)

BE1 (1-wk)8329 below
BE2 (2-wk)4014 above
BE3 (3-wk)2430 above

Price Projections

Next wk$348,700+$10,200
2 wks$370,100+$21,400
3 wks$387,200+$17,100
Total Price Change$19k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$329,700 – $327,700$9k to $11k(API: +$10,200)
2 wks$334,500 – $333,500+$5k to +$6k(API: +$21,400)
3 wks$363,700 – $369,100+$29k to +$36k(API: +$17,100)
Total+$25k to +$31k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

avatar

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected106
Opp Avg Conceded73.8
Venue Avg82.9
Difficulty
Hard (#13)

Round 5

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Gold Coast

Away

Norwood Oval

Projected88
Opp Avg Conceded81.6
Venue Avg0.0
Difficulty
Easy (#1)

Round 6

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GWS Giants

Away

SCG

Projected63
Opp Avg Conceded67.4
Venue Avg76.7
Difficulty
Hard (#14)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 4 vs West Coast
Away
avatar
Liam Duggan
DEF
Avg 81.7
vs WCE: 76.0 avg (10 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 75.4 / you 64.7
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Liam Baker
DEF
Avg 68.0
vs WCE: 89.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 89.9 / you 98.5
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Tom Cole
DEF
Avg 51.0
vs WCE: 71.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 71.2 / you 79.2
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Brandon Starcevich
DEF
Avg 0.0
vs WCE: 50.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 50.8 / you 40.4
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Reuben Ginbey
DEF
Avg 70.7
vs WCE: 49.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 49.3 / you 85.7
avatarRound 5 vs Gold Coast
Home
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Daniel Rioli
DEF
Avg 74.0
vs GCS: 67.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 66.8 / you 83.8
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Charlie Ballard
DEF
Avg 72.0
vs GCS: 62.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 62.4 / you 81.0
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Sam Collins
DEF
Avg 80.7
vs GCS: 60.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 59.1 / you 74.6
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Wil Powell
DEF
Avg 89.0
vs GCS: 54.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 51.0 / you 75.9
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John Noble
DEF
Avg 92.7
vs GCS: 76.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 72.0 / you 65.5
avatarRound 6 vs GWS Giants
Home
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Lachie Whitfield
DEF
Avg 99.3
vs GWS: 88.0 avg (22 gm)H2H: 13 gm — them 87.3 / you 68.8
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Harry Himmelberg
DEF
Avg 65.8
vs GWS: 80.6 avg (15 gm)H2H: 13 gm — them 81.0 / you 69.5
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Lachie Ash
DEF
Avg 110.3
vs GWS: 70.4 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 73.5 / you 66.5
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Connor Idun
DEF
Avg 93.0
vs GWS: 69.3 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 65.6 / you 70.4
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Jayden Laverde
DEF
Avg 74.5
vs GWS: 66.3 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 61.0 / you 90.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
4
avatarWCE
A
73.889.61073.7(-1)+6.025.3
5
avatarGCS
H
81.680.01076.2(+2)+3.928.0
6
avatarGWS
H
67.465.81673.1(-1)-1.918.7
7
avatarWBD
A
93.078.7981.2(+7)+1.223.7
8
avatarMEL
H
79.783.8979.8(+5)-2.426.1
9
avatarNTH
A
75.693.01083.7(+9)+5.927.8
10
avatarCOL
H
65.563.3866.6(-8)-1.016.1
11
avatarGEE
A
72.782.51174.6(+0)-4.022.7
12
avatarRIC
H
83.879.91083.1(+9)+0.726.2
13
avatarSTK
H
76.769.31273.8(-1)-2.120.7
14
avatarPTA
A
65.668.5866.4(-8)-1.021.6
15BYE
16
avatarBRL
A
59.030.91155.3(-19)-0.89.5
17
avatarWBD
H
93.078.7981.2(+7)+1.223.7
18
avatarFRE
A
69.365.61468.0(-6)-1.020.2
19
avatarADE
H
71.182.2981.7(+7)-1.119.1
20
avatarGWS
A
67.465.81673.1(-1)-1.918.7
21
avatarSTK
A
76.769.31273.8(-1)-2.120.7
22
avatarPTA
H
65.668.5866.4(-8)-1.021.6
23
avatarESS
A
83.8105.51377.3(+3)+1.031.1
24
avatarNTH
H
75.693.01083.7(+9)+5.927.8

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.3%

+0.1%

Rank

666.0

1-wk Change

+0.1%

3-wk Change

+0.0%

Trades In

83

0.0%

Trades Out

14

0.0%

Start %

93.5%

Bench %

6.5%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.37%+0.02%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

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