avatar

Tom Papley

avatarSYD#11FWD
Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)
Age 29
177cm
Right foot
Drafted 2016
Debut 2016
Bunyip (Vic)/Gippsland U18

Price

$407k

$-11kthis week

Average

77.5

+75.7L3 avg

Total Points

775

+10games

Breakeven

106

29 below avg

Ownership

0.7%

+117rank

Position Rank

121

-4change

Value

19.07

+18.61L3 value

Career Avg

74.5

+3.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

73.8

+3.7vs season

Last Year Avg

66.1

+11.4vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

75.7

Prev: 80.0

5-Game Avg

77.0

Projected

72

Range: 66–82

Form Trend

Neutral
prev wk
ConsistencyVery Consistent

Std Dev: 8.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (77.5)

BE1 (1-wk)10629 below
BE2 (2-wk)9619 below
BE3 (3-wk)753 above

Price Projections

Next wk$392,600$-13,900
2 wks$387,700$-4,900
3 wks$390,200+$2,500
Total Price Change+$49k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Projected Price Range

Next wk$401,900 – $400,900$5k to $6k(API: $-13,900)
2 wks$403,300 – $402,700+$1k to +$2k(API: $-4,900)
3 wks$410,100 – $411,000+$7k to +$8k(API: +$2,500)
Total+$4k to +$5k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

avatar

Geelong

Home

GMHBA

Projected74
Opp Avg Conceded72.7
Venue Avg66.2
Difficulty
Medium (#11)

Round 12

avatar

Richmond

Away

SCG

Projected85
Opp Avg Conceded83.8
Venue Avg76.6
Difficulty
Hard (#18)

Round 13

avatar

St Kilda

Away

SCG

Projected81
Opp Avg Conceded76.7
Venue Avg76.6
Difficulty
Easy (#2)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

avatarRound 11 vs Geelong
Away
avatar
Tom Stewart
DEF
Avg 95.7
vs GEE: 98.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 98.0 / you 73.5
avatar
Jake Kolodjashnij
DEF
Avg 45.8
vs GEE: 69.8 avg (12 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 67.3 / you 74.9
avatar
Jack Henry
DEF
Avg 58.2
vs GEE: 67.2 avg (10 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 70.6 / you 73.6
avatar
Zach Guthrie
DEF
Avg 75.6
vs GEE: 49.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 47.7 / you 76.4
avatar
Mark O'Connor
DEF
Avg 66.8
vs GEE: 68.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 68.7 / you 74.3
avatarRound 12 vs Richmond
Home
avatar
Nick Vlastuin
DEF
Avg 74.6
vs RIC: 85.1 avg (14 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 89.8 / you 75.6
avatar
Jayden Short
DEF
Avg 101.1
vs RIC: 77.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 74.0 / you 76.3
avatar
Noah Balta
DEF
Avg 65.7
vs RIC: 61.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 58.5 / you 92.8
avatar
Nathan Broad
DEF
Avg 62.9
vs RIC: 68.8 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 72.0 / you 82.0
avatar
Ben Miller
DEF
Avg 75.9
vs RIC: 79.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 78.7 / you 88.7
avatarRound 13 vs St Kilda
Home
avatar
Jack Sinclair
DEF
Avg 114.3
vs STK: 92.8 avg (12 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 91.6 / you 76.7
avatar
Callum Wilkie
DEF
Avg 101.8
vs STK: 90.0 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 86.4 / you 73.3
avatar
Dougal Howard
DEF
Avg 58.8
vs STK: 67.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 67.7 / you 69.0
avatar
Ryan Byrnes
DEF
Avg 69.5
vs STK: 58.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 58.6 / you 80.0
avatar
Jack Silvagni
DEF
Avg 66.6
vs STK: 53.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 47.0 / you 69.8

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

RdOpponentH/ACareer AvgL3 AvgGPKey Opp. Avgvs PosValue
11
avatarGEE
A
72.782.51174.6(+0)-4.118.9
12
avatarRIC
H
83.879.91083.1(+9)+0.721.8
13
avatarSTK
H
76.769.31273.8(-1)-2.217.2
14
avatarPTA
A
65.668.5865.2(-9)-0.918.0
15BYE
16
avatarBRL
A
59.030.91155.3(-19)-0.87.9
17
avatarWBD
H
93.078.7981.2(+7)+1.119.8
18
avatarFRE
A
69.365.61468.0(-6)-0.916.8
19
avatarADE
H
71.182.2980.8(+6)-1.115.9
20
avatarGWS
A
67.465.81673.1(-1)-2.015.5
21
avatarSTK
A
76.769.31273.8(-1)-2.217.2
22
avatarPTA
H
65.668.5865.2(-9)-0.918.0
23
avatarESS
A
83.8105.51377.3(+3)+1.125.9
24
avatarNTH
H
75.693.01083.7(+9)+5.923.1

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.7%

-0.0%

Rank

1239.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.0%

Trades In

5

0.0%

Trades Out

58

0.0%

Start %

96.6%

Bench %

3.4%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.66%-0.01%

21 May 5:35 am – 22 May 8:22 am

Settings

Player History