Wil Dawson

NTH#18DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 20

200cm

Right foot

Drafted 2023 (Pick 22)

Debut 2024

Leongatha Junior Football Club (Vic)/Gippsland Power U18

Price

$194k

Average

40.5

+40.5L3 avg

Total Points

+2games

Breakeven

5 above avg

Ownership

0.5%

+550rank

Position Rank

545

+5change

Value

20.89

+20.89L3 value

Career Avg

42.3

-1.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

42.3

-1.8vs season

Last Year Avg

44.8

-4.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

40.5

Prev: 25.3

5-Game Avg

40.5

Projected

Range: 28–48

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 10.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (40.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	36	5 above
BE2 (2-wk)	54	14 below
BE3 (3-wk)	54	14 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$194,700	+$800
2 wks	$194,700	+$0
3 wks	$187,800	$-6,900

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$188,900 – $187,700	$5k to $6k	(API: +$800)
2 wks	$167,300 – $161,300	$22k to $26k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$155,000 – $146,200	$12k to $15k	(API: $-6,900)

Total$39k to $48k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Gold Coast

Away

Marvel

Projected38

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg47.8

Difficulty

Easy (#5)

Round 12: BYE

Round 13

Fremantle

Away

Hands

Projected38

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Gold Coast

Home

Marvel

Christian Petracca

FWD

Avg 118.0

vs GCS: 103.9 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 84.0 / you 43.0

Touk Miller

FWD

Avg 97.3

vs GCS: 90.6 avg (17 gm)No shared games

Bailey Humphrey

FWD

Avg 70.1

vs GCS: 44.3 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Nick Holman

FWD

Avg 65.0

vs GCS: 58.8 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Ben King

FWD

Avg 62.8

vs GCS: 61.0 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Round 13 vs Fremantle

Home

Hands

Josh Treacy

FWD

Avg 101.8

vs FRE: 61.3 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Shai Bolton

FWD

Avg 100.8

vs FRE: 72.3 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Murphy Reid

FWD

Avg 86.1

vs FRE: 50.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Michael Frederick

FWD

Avg 69.2

vs FRE: 48.0 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Jye Amiss

FWD

Avg 67.6

vs FRE: 41.5 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Round 14 vs West Coast

Home

Optus

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 88.5

vs WCE: 66.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 32.0 / you 0.0

Elliot Yeo

FWD

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 95.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 127.0 / you 0.0

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 76.3

vs WCE: 57.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 112.0 / you 0.0

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs WCE: 77.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 116.0 / you 0.0

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 90.8 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	43.0(+1)	+3.1	—
12	BYE
13	FremantleFRE	H	Hands	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.4	—
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	0.0	0.0	1	0	0	0.0(-42)	+0.5	0.0
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+3.2	—
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	35.0	35.0	1	35	35	35.0(-7)	+0.3	18.1
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	79.0	79.0	1	79	79	79.0(+37)	-1.9	40.7
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	29.0(-13)	-1.2	—
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	43.0	43.0	1	43	43	43.0(+1)	+0.9	22.2
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	0.0(-42)	+1.6	—
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	51.0	51.0	1	51	51	51.0(+9)	+0.6	26.3
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	64.0	64.0	1	64	64	64.0(+22)	-0.7	33.0
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	37.0	37.0	1	37	37	37.0(-5)	-2.5	19.1
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	29.0(-13)	-1.9	15.0