Will Lorenz

PTA#36MID

Selected as emergency (including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 20

186cm

Left foot

Drafted 2023 (Pick 57)

Debut 2024

Kew Rovers Football Club (Vic)/Oakleigh Chargers U18

Price

$284k

Average

52.0

+52.0L3 avg

Total Points

+1games

Breakeven

16 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+576rank

Position Rank

565

+11change

Value

18.30

+18.30L3 value

Career Avg

54.4

-2.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

54.4

-2.4vs season

Last Year Avg

58.3

-6.3vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

52.0

Prev: 33.7

5-Game Avg

52.0

Projected

Range: 35–73

Form Trend

Cold

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 19.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (52.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	68	16 below
BE2 (2-wk)	66	14 below
BE3 (3-wk)	66	14 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$284,100	+$0
2 wks	$284,100	+$0
3 wks	$275,900	$-8,200

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	< 3 games	—
2 wks	$258,900 – $253,300	$25k to $31k	(API: +$0)
3 wks	$238,200 – $228,000	$21k to $25k	(API: $-8,200)

Total$46k to $56k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Carlton

Away

Adelaide

Projected54

Opp Avg Conceded29.0

Venue Avg40.5

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Round 12: BYE

Round 13

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected47

Opp Avg Conceded8.0

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Carlton

Home

Adelaide

Sam Walsh

MID

Avg 98.7

vs CAR: 110.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 112.0 / you 29.0

Patrick Cripps

MID

Avg 93.9

vs CAR: 105.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 122.0 / you 29.0

George Hewett

MID

Avg 86.7

vs CAR: 92.8 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 128.0 / you 29.0

Cooper Lord

MID

Avg 77.0

vs CAR: 67.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 74.0 / you 29.0

Matthew Carroll

MID

Avg 68.0

vs CAR: 65.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 65.0 / you 29.0

Round 13 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 91.6

vs WCE: 80.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 82.0 / you 8.0

Brady Hough

MID

Avg 53.8

vs WCE: 50.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 48.0 / you 8.0

Jack Hutchinson

MID

Avg 48.0

vs WCE: 100.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 100.0 / you 8.0

Elijah Hewett

MID

Avg 40.5

vs WCE: 51.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 51.0 / you 8.0

Clay Hall

MID

Avg 0.0

vs WCE: 85.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 8.0

Round 14 vs Sydney

Home

Adelaide

Isaac Heeney

MID

Avg 123.4

vs SYD: 100.9 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Errol Gulden

MID

Avg 112.5

vs SYD: 83.8 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Justin McInerney

MID

Avg 99.2

vs SYD: 71.2 avg (6 gm)No shared games

Chad Warner

MID

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 87.8 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Matt Roberts

MID

Avg 76.7

vs SYD: 99.7 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	CarltonCAR	H	Adelaide	29.0	29.0	1	29	29	29.0(-25)	-0.3	10.2
12	BYE
13	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	8.0	8.0	1	8	8	8.0(-46)	+3.9	2.8
14	SydneySYD	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.7	—
15	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.8	—
16	AdelaideADE	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.7	—
17	North MelbourneNTH	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	—	+3.4	—
18	St KildaSTK	A	Marvel	31.0	31.0	1	31	31	31.0(-23)	-1.1	10.9
19	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	73.0	73.0	1	73	73	73.0(+19)	+0.3	25.7
20	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.1	—
21	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	—	-2.2	—
22	SydneySYD	A	SCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.7	—
23	MelbourneMEL	H	Adelaide	—	—	—	—	—	31.0(-23)	+1.9	—
24	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.2	—