Zach Guthrie

GEE#39DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 27

188cm

Right foot

Drafted 2016 (Pick 33)

Debut 2017

Sunbury (Vic)/Calder U18

Price

$402k

Average

75.6

+81.0L3 avg

Total Points

756

+10games

Breakeven

18 below avg

Ownership

0.7%

+129rank

Position Rank

135

-6change

Value

18.80

+20.14L3 value

Career Avg

69.7

+5.9vs season

Last 3 Seasons

79.5

-3.9vs season

Last Year Avg

81.2

-5.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

81.0

Prev: 79.0

5-Game Avg

81.8

Projected

Range: 68–90

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 11.6

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (75.6)

BE1 (1-wk)	94	18 below
BE2 (2-wk)	89	13 below
BE3 (3-wk)	78	2 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$395,500	$-6,600
2 wks	$391,100	$-4,400
3 wks	$391,400	+$300

Total Price Change$37k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$404,200 – $404,600	+$2k to +$3k	(API: $-6,600)
2 wks	$406,200 – $407,000	+$2k to +$2k	(API: $-4,400)
3 wks	$410,900 – $412,700	+$5k to +$6k	(API: +$300)

Total+$9k to +$11k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Sydney

Away

GMHBA

Projected79

Opp Avg Conceded49.5

Venue Avg71.8

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 12

Carlton

Home

MCG

Projected79

Opp Avg Conceded76.4

Venue Avg69.4

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 13

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected79

Opp Avg Conceded61.0

Venue Avg63.9

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Sydney

Home

GMHBA

Jake Lloyd

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs SYD: 90.4 avg (16 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 87.6 / you 49.5

Tom Papley

FWD

Avg 77.5

vs SYD: 72.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 76.4 / you 47.7

Hayden McLean

FWD

Avg 95.0

vs SYD: 57.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 56.5 / you 57.2

Chad Warner

FWD

Avg 88.8

vs SYD: 86.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 86.4 / you 61.0

James Jordon

FWD

Avg 66.2

vs SYD: 45.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 45.4 / you 58.8

Round 12 vs Carlton

Away

MCG

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 64.6

vs CAR: 63.5 avg (11 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 65.5 / you 49.5

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 70.3

vs CAR: 60.5 avg (10 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 77.6 / you 76.4

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs CAR: 63.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 58.5 / you 80.5

Mitch McGovern

FWD

Avg 66.3

vs CAR: 60.0 avg (8 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 72.8 / you 59.8

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 68.4 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 51.7 / you 79.0

Round 13 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Alex Neal-Bullen

FWD

Avg 70.2

vs ADE: 69.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 66.3 / you 75.5

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 68.4

vs ADE: 70.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 75.7 / you 70.3

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 62.6

vs ADE: 65.9 avg (19 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 75.3 / you 64.2

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 88.2

vs ADE: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 75.2 / you 78.2

Darcy Fogarty

FWD

Avg 57.3

vs ADE: 65.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 66.6 / you 74.2

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	49.5	65.9	8	76	15	54.8(-15)	-1.9	15.2
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	76.4	73.8	5	91	67	69.0(-1)	-0.2	18.9
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	64.0	82.8	7	95	26	72.5(+3)	+1.0	19.1
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	73.2	76.1	5	97	44	74.2(+5)	+3.1	18.7
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	89.5	97.0	4	109	58	82.6(+13)	+0.4	22.3
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	62.0	78.0	6	98	20	65.4(-4)	-1.6	18.5
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	61.3	76.0	9	100	17	72.3(+3)	-1.3	18.9
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	70.1	84.8	10	108	24	74.9(+5)	+1.6	20.6
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	78.7	106.9	6	119	27	79.1(+9)	+0.9	25.9
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	61.7	79.4	6	100	28	72.9(+3)	-1.2	17.8
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	75.9	86.7	8	114	46	77.9(+8)	+0.3	22.7
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	77.1	67.1	7	142	57	72.6(+3)	-0.5	16.5
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	67.4	85.6	8	133	21	83.5(+14)	+3.2	22.0