Zach Guthrie

GEE#39DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 27

188cm

Right foot

Drafted 2016 (Pick 33)

Debut 2017

Sunbury (Vic)/Calder U18

Price

$407k

$-33kthis week

Average

61.7

+61.7L3 avg

Total Points

185

+3games

Breakeven

136

74 below avg

Ownership

0.8%

+229rank

Position Rank

256

-27change

Value

15.17

+15.17L3 value

Career Avg

69.7

-8.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

79.5

-17.9vs season

Last Year Avg

81.2

-19.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

61.7

Prev: 69.3

5-Game Avg

61.7

Projected

Range: 59–89

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 15.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (61.7)

BE1 (1-wk)	136	74 below
BE2 (2-wk)	110	48 below
BE3 (3-wk)	73	11 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$379,000	$-27,500
2 wks	$359,200	$-19,800
3 wks	$357,400	$-1,800

Total Price Change$33k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$361,300 – $351,300	$45k to $55k	(API: $-27,500)
2 wks	$353,700 – $342,100	$8k to $9k	(API: $-19,800)
3 wks	$359,800 – $349,600	+$6k to +$8k	(API: $-1,800)

Total$47k to $57k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 4

Hawthorn

Home

MCG

Projected74

Opp Avg Conceded71.8

Venue Avg68.5

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Round 5

West Coast

Away

Norwood Oval

Projected65

Opp Avg Conceded64.5

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Medium (#7)

Round 6

Western Bulldogs

Away

GMHBA

Projected69

Opp Avg Conceded87.0

Venue Avg70.8

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 4 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Jack Gunston

FWD

Avg 92.0

vs HAW: 72.7 avg (22 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 61.6 / you 62.0

Connor Macdonald

FWD

Avg 91.0

vs HAW: 64.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 67.3 / you 85.0

Dylan Moore

FWD

Avg 84.3

vs HAW: 72.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 71.8 / you 85.0

Mabior Chol

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs HAW: 57.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 61.5 / you 83.8

Nick Watson

FWD

Avg 91.3

vs HAW: 67.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 67.3 / you 79.3

Round 5 vs West Coast

Home

Norwood Oval

Jack Graham

FWD

Avg 78.7

vs WCE: 75.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 78.0 / you 56.3

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 104.5

vs WCE: 91.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 95.8 / you 65.3

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs WCE: 76.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 93.0 / you 71.5

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 52.0

vs WCE: 57.2 avg (13 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 73.5 / you 68.8

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs WCE: 79.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 79.8 / you 70.0

Round 6 vs Western Bulldogs

Home

GMHBA

Aaron Naughton

FWD

Avg 86.0

vs WBD: 65.6 avg (12 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 67.4 / you 87.0

Rhylee West

FWD

Avg 58.0

vs WBD: 62.5 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 62.5 / you 88.8

Adam Treloar

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs WBD: 109.5 avg (15 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 112.2 / you 81.8

Cody Weightman

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs WBD: 75.7 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 78.3 / you 88.7

Buku Khamis

FWD

Avg 55.3

vs WBD: 64.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 64.6 / you 94.8

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
4	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	71.8	81.7	6	102	45	79.0(+9)	+0.6	20.9
5	West CoastWCE	H	Norwood Oval	64.5	70.4	6	100	49	66.4(-3)	+0.5	17.4
6	Western BulldogsWBD	H	GMHBA	87.0	83.2	7	106	59	88.2(+19)	-0.7	20.5
7	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	69.4	81.9	7	104	19	68.5(-1)	-1.9	19.0
8	North MelbourneNTH	H	GMHBA	77.1	67.1	7	142	57	72.6(+3)	-0.5	16.3
9	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	61.7	79.4	6	100	28	72.9(+3)	-1.2	17.7
10	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	62.0	78.0	6	98	20	65.4(-4)	-1.6	18.3
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	49.5	65.9	8	76	15	58.7(-11)	-1.9	15.0
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	76.4	73.8	5	91	67	71.4(+2)	-0.2	18.7
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	64.0	82.8	7	95	26	72.5(+3)	+1.0	18.9
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	73.2	76.1	5	97	44	73.0(+3)	+3.1	18.5
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	89.5	97.0	4	109	58	82.6(+13)	+0.3	22.0
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	62.0	78.0	6	98	20	65.4(-4)	-1.6	18.3
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	61.3	76.0	9	100	17	74.1(+4)	-1.3	18.7
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	70.1	84.8	10	108	24	73.7(+4)	+1.6	20.4
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	78.7	106.9	6	119	27	72.8(+3)	+0.9	25.7
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	61.7	79.4	6	100	28	72.9(+3)	-1.2	17.7
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	75.9	86.7	8	114	46	77.9(+8)	+0.3	22.5
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	77.1	67.1	7	142	57	72.6(+3)	-0.5	16.3
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	67.4	85.6	8	133	21	87.7(+18)	+3.2	21.8

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.8%

-0.1%

Rank

1234.0

1-wk Change

-0.1%

3-wk Change

-0.2%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

138

0.1%

Start %

92.3%

Bench %

7.7%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.68%-0.01%

2 Apr 6:25 am – 5 Apr 11:11 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
3 Adelaide
2
1 Fremantle
0 Gold Coast