Zach Reid

ESS#31DEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Age 23

202cm

Right foot

Drafted 2020 (Pick 10)

Debut 2021

Leongatha (Vic)/(Gippsland U18

Cold

Price

$295k

$-18kthis week

Average

57.3

+49.3L3 avg

Total Points

573

+10games

Breakeven

12 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+270rank

Position Rank

261

+9change

Value

19.40

+16.71L3 value

Career Avg

62.6

-5.3vs season

Last 3 Seasons

73.9

-16.6vs season

Last Year Avg

79.8

-22.5vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Cold

3-Game Avg

49.3

Prev: 53.0

5-Game Avg

55.4

Projected

Range: 42–72

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 15.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (57.3)

BE1 (1-wk)	69	12 below
BE2 (2-wk)	48	9 above
BE3 (3-wk)	71	14 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$289,800	$-5,500
2 wks	$289,300	$-500
3 wks	$282,300	$-7,000

Total Price Change$136k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$296,200 – $296,400	+$1k to +$1k	(API: $-5,500)
2 wks	$300,200 – $301,200	+$4k to +$5k	(API: $-500)
3 wks	$297,100 – $297,300	$3k to $4k	(API: $-7,000)

Total+$2k to +$2k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded58.3

Venue Avg51.1

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Round 12

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected47

Opp Avg Conceded38.0

Venue Avg38.0

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Round 13

Carlton

Away

MCG

Projected55

Opp Avg Conceded33.0

Venue Avg51.1

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Jack Ross

FWD

Avg 99.1

vs RIC: 94.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 92.0 / you 58.3

Maurice Rioli

FWD

Avg 46.8

vs RIC: 41.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 43.7 / you 58.3

Dion Prestia

FWD

Avg 69.7

vs RIC: 88.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 121.5 / you 44.0

Tom Lynch

FWD

Avg 61.5

vs RIC: 72.2 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 82.5 / you 44.0

Rhyan Mansell

FWD

Avg 85.0

vs RIC: 39.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 40.0 / you 87.0

Round 12 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Matthew Owies

FWD

Avg 48.7

vs WCE: 57.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 57.5 / you 35.5

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 81.1 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 90.0 / you 38.0

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 76.3

vs WCE: 71.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 103.0 / you 38.0

Jack Graham

FWD

Avg 72.0

vs WCE: 80.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 38.0

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs WCE: 81.9 avg (13 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 73.0 / you 38.0

Round 13 vs Carlton

Home

MCG

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 64.6

vs CAR: 61.5 avg (12 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 69.0 / you 99.5

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 70.3

vs CAR: 81.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 117.0 / you 33.0

Matthew Cottrell

FWD

Avg 50.0

vs CAR: 57.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 33.0

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 89.2 avg (10 gm)No shared games

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs CAR: 61.5 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	58.3	67.2	3	87	24	58.3(-4)	+3.2	19.8
12	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	38.0	38.0	1	38	38	37.5(-25)	+0.5	12.9
13	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	33.0	33.0	1	33	33	55.2(-7)	-0.2	11.2
14	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	104.0	104.0	1	104	104	104.0(+41)	+0.9	35.2
15	BYE
16	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	102.0	102.0	1	102	102	102.0(+39)	-0.5	34.5
17	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	38.0(-25)	+1.6	—
18	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	53.0	53.0	1	53	53	53.0(-10)	-1.6	—
19	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.3	—
20	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	33.3	33.5	3	45	15	31.5(-31)	+0.6	11.3
21	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	36.0	36.0	1	36	36	36.0(-27)	+1.0	12.2
22	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	—	—	—	—	—	33.0(-30)	-2.5	—
23	SydneySYD	H	MCG	99.5	102.2	2	133	66	99.5(+37)	-1.9	33.7
24	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	62.5	64.6	2	88	37	73.0(+10)	-1.9	21.2