Zak Johnson

ESS#40DEF

Foot. Expected recovery time is to be confirmed.

Age 19

186cm

Right foot

Drafted 2024 (Pick 70)

Debut 2025

St Marys GJFC/Northern U18

Price

$263k

Average

54.2

+49.0L3 avg

Total Points

271

+5games

Breakeven

16 above avg

Ownership

0.2%

+403rank

Position Rank

419

-16change

Value

20.59

+18.62L3 value

Career Avg

50.6

+3.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

50.6

+3.6vs season

Last Year Avg

50.6

+3.6vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

49.0

Prev: 53.7

5-Game Avg

54.2

Projected

Range: 35–67

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 16.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (54.2)

BE1 (1-wk)	38	16 above
BE2 (2-wk)	53	1 above
BE3 (3-wk)	58	4 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$268,900	+$5,700
2 wks	$269,100	+$200
3 wks	$268,400	$-700

Total Price Change$10k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$248,300 – $244,900	$15k to $18k	(API: +$5,700)
2 wks	$235,400 – $229,200	$13k to $16k	(API: +$200)
3 wks	$248,500 – $245,200	+$13k to +$16k	(API: $-700)

Total$15k to $18k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 11

Richmond

Home

MCG

Projected51

Opp Avg Conceded41.0

Venue Avg56.2

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Round 12

West Coast

Home

Optus

Projected54

Opp Avg Conceded0.0

Venue Avg32.0

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Round 13

Carlton

Away

MCG

Projected56

Opp Avg Conceded54.0

Venue Avg56.2

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 11 vs Richmond

Away

MCG

Jack Ross

FWD

Avg 99.1

vs RIC: 94.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 109.0 / you 41.0

Rhyan Mansell

FWD

Avg 85.0

vs RIC: 39.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 18.0 / you 41.0

Seth Campbell

FWD

Avg 74.3

vs RIC: 61.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 77.0 / you 41.0

Dion Prestia

FWD

Avg 69.7

vs RIC: 88.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 67.0 / you 41.0

Tyler Sonsie

FWD

Avg 66.5

vs RIC: 45.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 39.0 / you 41.0

Round 12 vs West Coast

Away

Optus

Deven Robertson

FWD

Avg 84.5

vs WCE: 21.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 21.0 / you 48.0

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 92.9

vs WCE: 81.1 avg (9 gm)No shared games

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 88.5

vs WCE: 58.6 avg (7 gm)No shared games

Elliot Yeo

FWD

Avg 83.4

vs WCE: 88.6 avg (12 gm)No shared games

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 76.3

vs WCE: 71.4 avg (7 gm)No shared games

Round 13 vs Carlton

Home

MCG

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 77.3

vs CAR: 89.2 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 79.5 / you 54.0

Hudson O'Keeffe

FWD

Avg 29.7

vs CAR: 61.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 61.5 / you 54.0

Jesse Motlop

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs CAR: 63.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 74.0 / you 54.0

Harry McKay

FWD

Avg 70.3

vs CAR: 81.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 24.0

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 68.3

vs CAR: 61.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 79.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
11	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	41.0	41.0	1	41	41	41.0(-10)	+3.2	15.6
12	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	—	—	—	—	—	48.0(-3)	+0.5	—
13	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	54.0	54.0	2	84	24	53.0(+2)	-0.2	20.5
14	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.9	—
15	BYE
16	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	—	-0.5	—
17	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	79.0(+28)	+1.6	—
18	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	48.0	48.0	1	48	48	48.0(-3)	-1.6	18.2
19	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	22.0	22.0	1	22	22	22.0(-29)	-1.3	8.4
20	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0.6	—
21	AdelaideADE	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	48.0(-3)	+1.0	—
22	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	84.0	84.0	1	84	84	84.0(+33)	-2.5	31.9
23	SydneySYD	H	MCG	—	—	—	—	—	84.0(+33)	-1.9	—
24	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	—	—	—	—	—	24.0(-27)	-1.9	—